Al-Ittihad FC v Al Diriyah prediction
Team pages: Al-Ittihad FC · Al Diriyah
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Al-Ittihad FC v Al Diriyah, Pro League on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 16:30 BST.
The match
Al-Ittihad FC host Al Diriyah in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Friday 23 October (kick-off 16:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Al-Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Both teams scored in 13 of Al-Ittihad FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).
Al-Ittihad FC have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
11 of Al-Ittihad FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Al-Ittihad FC have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.86. Al-Ittihad FC have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Ittihad FC have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Three of Al Diriyah’s last 9 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in three of Al Diriyah’s last 9 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Al Diriyah have three wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 4 away matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00. Al Diriyah have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al Diriyah have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Al-Ittihad FC are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Al Diriyah are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Al-Ittihad FC (fourth) and Al Diriyah (eighth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Ittihad FC the stronger side, 191 rating points above Al Diriyah (Al-Ittihad FC 1745, Al Diriyah 1554, after at least nine rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Al-Ittihad FC XI (4-2-3-1): P. Rajković, F. Abdi, D. Pereira, H. Kadesh, J. Šimić, H. Aouar, D. Lopy, S. Bergwijn, A. Al Ghamdi, M. Ali, Y. En-Nesyri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Bergwijn (5.6 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and two assists) and R. Rios (4.1 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Al-Ittihad FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ittihad FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Bergwijn averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 797 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. R. Rios averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 973 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Al Diriyah XI (4-4-2): N. Vasilj, C. Mbemba, B. Djimsiti, A. Al Faraj, H. Al Sibyani, I. Gueye, E. Millot, C. Diandy, A. Boulbina, D. Núñez, Ó. Rodríguez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Boulbina (4.2 per match over six appearances, two goals) and I. Gueye (4.1 per match over eight appearances) have been Al Diriyah’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Diriyah (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Boulbina averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 535 minutes, with a shot in five of the last nine appearances. I. Gueye averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1159 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Pro League · King Abdullah Sports City
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Al-Ittihad FC 2W 1D 2L · Al Diriyah 1W 2D 2L
Al-Ittihad FC v Al Diriyah (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Al-Ittihad FC for / against | Line | Al Diriyah for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.25 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.13 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saleh Al Shehri n 8 | 11 | 5.1 | 3.1 | — |
| R. Rios n 8 | 67.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 | — |
| Farhah Al Shamrani n 7 | 15 | 2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| F. Abdi n 8 | 77.4 | 2.2 | 0.3 | — |
| D. Lopy n 8 | 79 | 1.9 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ilenikhena n 8 | 55.1 | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| S. Bergwijn n 8 | 81.3 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Y. En-Nesyri n 8 | 64.6 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Saleh Al Shehri n 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| G. Wijnaldum n 8 | 64.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ilenikhena n 8 | 55.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| S. Bergwijn n 8 | 81.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Y. En-Nesyri n 8 | 64.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Marwan Al-Sahafi n 8 | 35.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| R. Rios n 8 | 67.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Farhah Al Shamrani n 7 | 15 | 4.3 |
| Saleh Al Shehri n 8 | 11 | 4.1 |
| Mukhtar Ali n 8 | 41 | 3.6 |
| F. Abdi n 8 | 77.4 | 3.1 |
| Ahmed Al Julaydan n 8 | 41.1 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Rajković n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| Mohammed Al Absi n 7 | 69.7 | 2 |
Al Diriyah
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshari Al Nemer n 8 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | — |
| Khalid Al Asiri n 3 | 28.3 | 3.2 | 2.1 | — |
| S. Al Farhan n 8 | 38.6 | 2.9 | 0.3 | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Faraj n 8 | 79.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| A. Al Malki n 8 | 55.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meshari Al Nemer n 8 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| Óscar Rodríguez n 8 | 63.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| G. Laborde n 8 | 79.1 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| D. Núñez n 8 | 85 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meshari Al Nemer n 8 | 12.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Óscar Rodríguez n 8 | 63.8 | 0 | 0.7 |
| D. Núñez n 8 | 85 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| C. Diandy n 8 | 69 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| A. Boulbina n 8 | 63.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. Gueye n 8 | 88.1 | 3.7 |
| S. Al Farhan n 8 | 38.6 | 2.9 |
| A. Al Malki n 8 | 55.9 | 2.4 |
| Abdulaziz Al Faraj n 8 | 79.5 | 2.3 |
| C. Diandy n 8 | 69 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Amin Al Bukhari n 8 | 76.8 | 3.1 |
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| W. Abdullah n 5 | 90 | 2.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Al-Ittihad FC v Al Diriyah — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Al-Ittihad FC v Al Diriyah?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Ittihad FC v Al Diriyah is Home or Away.
- What is the recent form of Al-Ittihad FC and Al Diriyah?
- Recent form — Al-Ittihad FC 2W 1D 2L; Al Diriyah 1W 2D 2L.
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