Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction

Pro League · · King Saud University Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Al-Nassr · Al-Ahli Jeddah · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli Jeddah, Pro League on Thu, 15 Apr 2027 19:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Nassr host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Thursday 15 April (kick-off 19:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Al-Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Al-Nassr have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 0.75. Al-Nassr have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Nassr have conceded seven goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

13 of Al-Ahli Jeddah’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in nine of Al-Ahli Jeddah’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Al-Ahli Jeddah have six wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 1.56. Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored 23 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Ahli Jeddah have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al-Nassr (third) and Al-Ahli Jeddah (fourth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Nassr the stronger side, 108 rating points above Al-Ahli Jeddah (Al-Nassr 1882, Al-Ahli Jeddah 1774, after at least 257 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Team news

Predicted Al-Nassr XI (4-4-2): Bento, N. Boushal, Í. Martínez, M. Simakan, A. Al Amri, S. Mané, S. Costa, Ângelo, K. Coman, J. Félix, C. Ronaldo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Mané (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and three assists) and João Félix (4.5 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Al-Nassr’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Nassr (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Mané averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1326 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. João Félix averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1401 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Al-Ahli Jeddah XI (4-2-3-1): E. Mendy, Ibanez, M. Demiral, S. Yaslam, Z. Al Hawsawi, V. Atangana, E. Spertsyan, Trincão, Galeno, Z. Al Johani, I. Toney — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, I. Toney (7.8 per match over eight appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Trincão (5.8 per match over nine appearances, six goals and three assists) have been Al-Ahli Jeddah’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ahli Jeddah (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), I. Toney averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 778 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Trincão averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 900 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · King Saud University Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al-Nassr 4 · draws 1 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L · Al-Ahli Jeddah 4W 1D 0L

Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
8.5 / 3.71
Corners
against 3.75 / 3.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.75 / 6.29
Shots on target
against 3 / 3.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.75 / 1.43
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl-Nassr for / againstLineAl-Ahli Jeddah for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
8.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.71 for · 3.86 against n 7
Shots
16 for · 9.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.57 for · 11.71 against n 7
Shots on target
5.75 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
6.29 for · 3.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
14.71 for · 14.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.43 for · 2.43 against n 7
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Samú Costa n 883.5
36/5
1.66/3
—
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
2.63/1
23/1
—
Nader Al Sharari n 89.8
2.32/0
2.32/0
—
Saad Al Nasser n 837.3
2.16/1
0.92/1
—
Abdullah Al Khaibari n 848.5
1.44/2
0.92/1
—
Al-Nassr — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
4.16/1
1.53/0
Cristiano Ronaldo n 885.9
3.78/7
1.77/4
S. Mané n 888.8
1.86/5
0.94/2
João Félix n 878.3
1.77/5
15/2
K. Coman n 869
1.55/3
13/2
Al-Nassr — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
12/0
00/0
Ângelo n 868
0.53/0
0.32/0
João Félix n 878.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
Ayman Yahya n 831
00/0
0.72/0
S. Mané n 888.8
0.31/1
0.32/0
Al-Nassr — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Al Ghamdi n 324.7
4.92/2
Saad Al Nasser n 837.3
36/1
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
2.63/1
Nawaf Boushal n 890
2.17/6
Samú Costa n 883.5
27/5
Al-Nassr — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nawaf Al Aqidi n 886.8
2.25/3
Bento n 880.3
11/1
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Atangana n 886.4
3.18/6
1.76/4
—
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby n 867.4
2.76/5
15/1
—
Ziyad Al Johani n 853.3
2.14/3
1.14/1
—
Meshal Al Mutairi n 817.4
1.92/1
3.95/1
—
Trincão n 857.6
1.85/3
0.42/0
—
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Toney n 881.6
3.77/7
2.56/6
Meshal Al Mutairi n 817.4
3.24/1
1.92/1
Galeno n 874.6
27/4
0.85/0
Trincão n 857.6
25/4
1.24/1
E. Spertsyan n 874.4
1.87/4
0.63/1
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Toney n 881.6
1.56/4
0.11/0
Trincão n 857.6
0.83/1
0.42/0
Firas Al-Buraikan n 844.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
Artem Bondarenko n 854.3
0.62/1
00/0
E. Spertsyan n 874.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zakaria Al Hawsawi n 851.5
4.87/5
Meshal Al Mutairi n 817.4
4.55/2
Firas Al-Buraikan n 844.4
4.37/5
S. Abu Al Shamat n 836.1
45/4
Naif Masoud n 833
3.85/3
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Mendy n 886.6
2.76/5
Abdulrahman Al Sanbi n 890
1.64/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli Jeddah — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-NassrWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Al-Ahli JeddahWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al-Nassr 4 · 1 draw · Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-29 Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2026-01-02 Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–2 Al-Nassr
  • 2025-02-13 Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–3 Al-Nassr
  • 2024-09-13 Al-Nassr 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2024-03-15 Al-Ahli Jeddah 0–1 Al-Nassr
  • 2023-09-22 Al-Nassr 4–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Nassr#3 pos19 pts8 pl+12 GD
Al-Ahli Jeddah#4 pos18 pts9 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Al-Nassr scored2.38
Al-Ahli Jeddah scored2.56
Al-Nassr conceded0.88
Al-Ahli Jeddah conceded1.33

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli Jeddah?
In their last 6 meetings, Al-Nassr won 4, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Recent form — Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L; Al-Ahli Jeddah 4W 1D 0L.

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