Al-Nassr v Al-Ittihad FC prediction

Pro League · · King Saud University Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Al-Nassr · Al-Ittihad FC · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Nassr v Al-Ittihad FC, Pro League on Thu, 11 Mar 2027 18:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Nassr host Al-Ittihad FC in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Thursday 11 March (kick-off 18:00 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 13 of Al-Ittihad FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Al-Ittihad FC have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Al-Nassr have seven wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.44 points per game, scoring 2.11 and conceding 0.67. Al-Nassr have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Nassr have conceded seven goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Al-Ittihad FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Al-Ittihad FC have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 1.22. Al-Ittihad FC have scored 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Ittihad FC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Al-Nassr have won their last three matches in all competitions. Al-Nassr (third) and Al-Ittihad FC (fourth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Nassr the stronger side, 90 rating points above Al-Ittihad FC (Al-Nassr 1894, Al-Ittihad FC 1804, after at least 287 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Al-Nassr.

Team news

Predicted Al-Nassr XI (4-4-2): Bento, N. Boushal, Í. Martínez, A. Al Amri, M. Simakan, S. Mané, S. Costa, Ângelo, A. Al Khaibari, C. Ronaldo, J. Félix — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Félix (5.1 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) and S. Mané (4.9 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Al-Nassr’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Nassr (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Félix averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1449 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. S. Mané averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1374 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Al-Ittihad FC XI (4-2-3-1): P. Rajković, F. Abdi, D. Pereira, H. Kadesh, J. Šimić, H. Aouar, S. Bergwijn, D. Lopy, A. Al Ghamdi, M. Ali, Y. En-Nesyri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Bergwijn (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and two assists) and R. Rios (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Al-Ittihad FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ittihad FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Bergwijn averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 870 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. R. Rios averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1063 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · King Saud University Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al-Nassr 3 · draws 0 · Al-Ittihad FC 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L · Al-Ittihad FC 2W 1D 2L

Al-Nassr v Al-Ittihad FC (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
8.13 / 5.63
Corners
against 3.63 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.88 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl-Nassr for / againstLineAl-Ittihad FC for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
8.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
16.38 for · 8.75 against n 8
19.5standard
16.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Saad Haqawi n 315.7
3.81/1
1.91/0
—
Samú Costa n 886.1
3.46/6
1.76/3
—
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 821.6
2.63/1
1.62/1
—
Nader Al Sharari n 89.8
2.32/0
2.32/0
—
Saad Al Nasser n 837.3
2.16/1
0.92/1
—
Al-Nassr — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cristiano Ronaldo n 887.1
4.38/8
1.56/4
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 821.6
3.65/1
1.63/0
João Félix n 878.1
27/5
1.25/3
Saad Haqawi n 315.7
1.91/0
00/0
S. Mané n 888.8
1.56/4
0.53/1
Al-Nassr — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Saad Haqawi n 315.7
00/0
1.91/0
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 821.6
12/0
00/0
Sami Al Naji n 811.3
00/0
11/0
João Félix n 878.1
0.64/0
0.32/0
Ayman Yahya n 830.5
00/0
0.72/0
Al-Nassr — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Saad Haqawi n 315.7
5.71/1
R. Al Ghamdi n 324.7
4.92/2
Saad Al Nasser n 837.3
36/1
Samú Costa n 886.1
2.57/6
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 821.6
2.12/1
Al-Nassr — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nawaf Al Aqidi n 886.8
2.25/3
Bento n 880.3
1.11/1
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Saleh Al Shehri n 89.5
7.14/1
2.42/0
—
Farhah Al Shamrani n 715
2.63/0
2.63/0
—
R. Rios n 876.3
2.28/4
2.18/3
—
F. Abdi n 877.4
27/5
0.32/0
—
D. Lopy n 879
1.97/4
1.76/3
—
Al-Ittihad FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Ilenikhena n 857.1
3.57/5
1.86/3
Y. En-Nesyri n 859.3
3.28/4
1.96/4
S. Bergwijn n 879.8
38/5
1.87/3
Saleh Al Shehri n 89.5
2.42/0
00/0
G. Wijnaldum n 864.1
1.94/3
1.23/2
Al-Ittihad FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Ilenikhena n 857.1
0.83/1
0.62/1
Y. En-Nesyri n 859.3
1.14/2
00/0
Marwan Al-Sahafi n 832
00/0
0.72/0
R. Rios n 876.3
0.11/0
0.43/0
Ahmed Al Julaydan n 841.1
00/0
0.52/0
Al-Ittihad FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Saleh Al Shehri n 89.5
4.74/0
Farhah Al Shamrani n 715
4.33/2
Mukhtar Ali n 847.4
3.15/4
F. Abdi n 877.4
2.98/7
Ahmed Al Julaydan n 841.1
2.77/2
Al-Ittihad FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Rajković n 890
34/4
Mohammed Al Absi n 769.7
23/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Nassr v Al-Ittihad FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-NassrDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Al-Ittihad FCWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al-Nassr 3 · 0 draws · Al-Ittihad FC 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Al-Nassr
  • 2026-02-06 Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ittihad FC
  • 2025-09-26 Al-Ittihad FC 0–2 Al-Nassr
  • 2025-05-07 Al-Nassr 2–3 Al-Ittihad FC
  • 2024-12-06 Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Al-Nassr
  • 2024-05-27 Al-Nassr 4–2 Al-Ittihad FC
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Nassr#3 pos22 pts9 pl+13 GD
Al-Ittihad FC#4 pos20 pts9 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Al-Nassr scored2.22
Al-Ittihad FC scored2
Al-Nassr conceded0.78
Al-Ittihad FC conceded1.11

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Al-Nassr and Al-Ittihad FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Al-Nassr won 3, Al-Ittihad FC won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Nassr and Al-Ittihad FC?
Recent form — Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L; Al-Ittihad FC 2W 1D 2L.

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