Al Riyadh v Al Taawon prediction

Pro League · · Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Al Riyadh v Al Taawon, Pro League on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al Riyadh host Al Taawon in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Al Riyadh or Al Taawon (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Al Taawon have scored four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Eight of Al Riyadh’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Al Riyadh’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Al Riyadh have four wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 1.33. Al Riyadh have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al Riyadh have conceded 17 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

Seven of Al Taawon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Al Taawon’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Al Taawon have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.75. Al Taawon have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Al Riyadh are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Al Riyadh (12th) and Al Taawon (17th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al Riyadh the stronger side, 190 rating points above Al Taawon (Al Riyadh 1538, Al Taawon 1348, after at least 110 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Al Taawon are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Al Riyadh. The most recent meeting, on 15 May 2026, finished Al Taawon 1–1 Al Riyadh.

Team news

Predicted Al Riyadh XI (4-2-3-1): M. Borjan, M. Al-Khaibari, S. Hazazi, S. Alessa, R. Abascal, V. Lekhal, T. Okou, B. Mensah, K. Keita, F. Al Jayzani, Trézéguet — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Mensah (4.3 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) and Teddy Okou (4.2 per match over eight appearances, three goals) have been Al Riyadh’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Riyadh (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Mensah averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 450 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances. Teddy Okou averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 662 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Al Taawon XI (3-4-2-1): Mailson, M. Al Mufarrij, Z. Belaïd, M. Petkov, A. El Mahdioui, O. Dorley, M. Al Kuwaykibi, P. Guiagon, R. Al Tulayhi, Y. El Bahraoui, A. Hamed Allah — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Petkov (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and A. Hamed Allah (3.9 per match over seven appearances, three goals) have been Al Taawon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Taawon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Petkov averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1022 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. A. Hamed Allah averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 612 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Al-Shabab Club Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al Riyadh 2 · draws 2 · Al Taawon 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al Riyadh 2W 2D 1L · Al Taawon 1W 2D 2L

Al Riyadh v Al Taawon (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.63
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.29
Corners
against 7.13 / 4.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.63 / 2.86
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.25 / 2.14
Cards
against 1 / 1.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl Riyadh for / againstLineAl Taawon for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.29 for · 4.14 against n 7
Shots
11 for · 15.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.57 for · 12 against n 7
Shots on target
2.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
9.86 for · 13.57 against n 7
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
2.14 for · 1.86 against n 7
Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hussain Al-Raqwani n 513.6
2.61/1
00/0
—
b. A. Al Shurafaa H. b. A. n 329
2.12/0
4.12/1
—
B. Mensah n 882.4
28/3
2.38/6
—
Faisal Al Sobhi n 542.2
1.73/1
00/0
—
A. M. Al Harthi n 541.2
1.74/0
3.54/2
—
Al Riyadh — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Leandro Antunes n 874.1
3.27/5
2.16/3
C. Fall n 872.8
2.27/4
0.63/1
Trézéguet n 856.8
1.85/4
0.42/0
B. Mensah n 882.4
1.47/2
0.32/0
Hussain Al-Raqwani n 513.6
1.31/0
1.31/0
Al Riyadh — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Trézéguet n 856.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
Leandro Antunes n 874.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Teddy Okou n 882.8
0.43/0
00/0
B. Mensah n 882.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Abascal n 879.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Al Riyadh — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sultan Alessa n 888.8
2.57/5
Sulaiman Hazazi n 878.3
2.47/5
Hussain Qasim n 843.5
2.35/3
b. A. Al Shurafaa H. b. A. n 329
2.12/0
B. Mensah n 882.4
1.96/4
Al Riyadh — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Milan Borjan n 890
3.57/6
Al Taawon
Al Taawon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bassem Al-Arini n 527
3.34/1
2.73/1
—
Nasser Al Haleel n 854.9
3.17/6
14/1
—
Abdulrahman Hendi n 519
1.92/0
9.54/3
—
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji n 854.4
1.74/3
1.74/3
—
Mohammed Al Aqal n 829.8
1.54/0
1.94/1
—
Al Taawon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Saif Rashad n 833.5
2.75/2
1.74/1
Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi n 860
2.36/3
0.63/0
Y. El Bahraoui n 858.5
2.36/4
0.84/0
M. Petkov n 872.1
2.26/5
0.85/0
A. Hamed Allah n 887.8
1.87/4
16/1
Al Taawon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi n 860
0.21/0
0.42/0
A. Hamed Allah n 887.8
0.53/1
00/0
Y. El Bahraoui n 858.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Parfait Guiagon n 858.3
0.21/0
00/0
Nasser Al Haleel n 854.9
0.21/0
00/0
Al Taawon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji n 854.4
3.76/4
A. Hendi n 452.8
3.43/2
Nasser Al Haleel n 854.9
2.95/5
Faris Al Ghamdi n 834.8
2.95/3
Parfait Guiagon n 858.3
2.35/3
Al Taawon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Mailson n 890
2.66/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al Riyadh v Al Taawon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al RiyadhWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Al TaawonLDLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al Riyadh 2 · 2 draws · Al Taawon 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-15 Al Taawon 1–1 Al Riyadh
  • 2026-01-18 Al Riyadh 1–3 Al Taawon
  • 2025-05-20 Al Taawon 3–2 Al Riyadh
  • 2025-01-21 Al Riyadh 1–0 Al Taawon
  • 2024-05-09 Al Riyadh 0–0 Al Taawon
  • 2023-11-24 Al Taawon 1–2 Al Riyadh
League standing · 2026/27
Al Riyadh#12 pos9 pts8 pl-8 GD
Al Taawon#17 pos4 pts9 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Al Riyadh scored1.13
Al Taawon scored0.44
Al Riyadh conceded2.13
Al Taawon conceded1.78

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al Riyadh v Al Taawon?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al Riyadh v Al Taawon is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Riyadh and Al Taawon?
In their last 6 meetings, Al Riyadh won 2, Al Taawon won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al Riyadh and Al Taawon?
Recent form — Al Riyadh 2W 2D 1L; Al Taawon 1W 2D 2L.

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