Al Shabab v Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction

Pro League · · Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Al Shabab · Al-Ahli Jeddah · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Al Shabab v Al-Ahli Jeddah, Pro League on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.1% of 622 landed (95% range 62.3–69.7%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 423 of 644 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al Shabab host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Friday 30 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of Al-Ahli Jeddah’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Al Shabab are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Al-Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Al Shabab’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Al Shabab’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Al Shabab have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 2.33. Al Shabab have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al Shabab have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in nine of Al-Ahli Jeddah’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Al-Ahli Jeddah have six wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 1.56. Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored 23 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Ahli Jeddah have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Al Shabab (11th) and Al-Ahli Jeddah (fifth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Ahli Jeddah the stronger side, 296 rating points above Al Shabab (Al-Ahli Jeddah 1820, Al Shabab 1524, after at least 257 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Al Shabab 2–5 Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Team news

Predicted Al Shabab XI (4-4-2): M. Diaw, T. Jedvaj, M. Al Thani, M. Barry, D. Al Anazi, Y. Adli, J. Brownhill, Y. Carrasco, H. Al-Hammami, R. Martínez, R. Mathias — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Brownhill (5.8 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Ricardo Mathias (5.2 per match over four appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Al Shabab’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Shabab (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Brownhill averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 900 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ricardo Mathias averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 358 minutes.

Predicted Al-Ahli Jeddah XI (4-2-3-1): E. Mendy, Ibanez, M. Demiral, S. Yaslam, Z. Al Hawsawi, V. Atangana, E. Spertsyan, Trincão, Galeno, Z. Al Johani, I. Toney — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, I. Toney (7.1 per match over nine appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Trincão (5.7 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and three assists) have been Al-Ahli Jeddah’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ahli Jeddah (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), I. Toney averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 868 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Trincão averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 989 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Al-Shabab Club Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al Shabab 1 · draws 2 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al Shabab 2W 2D 1L · Al-Ahli Jeddah 4W 1D 0L

Al Shabab v Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 3.71
Corners
against 5.25 / 3.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.63 / 6.29
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.25 / 1.43
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl Shabab for / againstLineAl-Ahli Jeddah for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.71 for · 3.86 against n 7
Shots
15 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.57 for · 11.71 against n 7
Shots on target
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
6.29 for · 3.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
14.71 for · 14.14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.43 for · 2.43 against n 7
Al Shabab
Al Shabab — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Awad Al Nashri n 857.1
3.26/5
0.42/0
—
Daniel Podence n 846.9
2.66/3
1.45/1
—
Dhari Al Anazi n 879.3
2.17/5
1.35/3
—
Ricardo Mathias n 853.8
2.16/3
1.95/1
—
Ali Al Asmari n 839.6
25/2
1.73/2
—
Al Shabab — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Roger Martínez n 881.4
2.57/5
1.16/2
Ricardo Mathias n 853.8
2.55/4
1.54/2
A. Matuq n 368.7
2.22/2
0.92/0
Y. Carrasco n 890
27/6
1.37/2
Y. Adli n 887
1.66/4
0.11/0
Al Shabab — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ricardo Mathias n 853.8
0.42/0
0.42/0
Roger Martínez n 881.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
Ali Al Bulayhi n 872.3
0.63/1
00/0
J. Brownhill n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Y. Carrasco n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Al Shabab — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Awad Al Nashri n 857.1
4.96/6
Abdullah Matuq n 834.1
3.66/4
Sultan Al Anzi n 449.5
3.24/2
Ali Al Asmari n 839.6
2.64/2
Hammam Al-Hammami n 877.1
2.26/5
Al Shabab — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Diaw n 893.8
2.68/6
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh n 390
2.32/2
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Atangana n 886.4
3.18/6
1.76/4
—
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby n 867.4
2.76/5
15/1
—
Meshal Al Mutairi n 817.4
1.92/1
3.95/1
—
Trincão n 857.6
1.85/3
0.42/0
—
Naif Masoud n 825.5
1.84/0
00/0
—
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Toney n 881.6
3.77/7
2.56/6
Meshal Al Mutairi n 817.4
3.24/1
1.92/1
Trincão n 857.6
25/4
1.24/1
Galeno n 866.8
1.97/3
0.74/0
E. Spertsyan n 874.4
1.87/4
0.63/1
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Toney n 881.6
1.56/4
0.11/0
Trincão n 857.6
0.83/1
0.42/0
Firas Al-Buraikan n 844.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
Artem Bondarenko n 854.3
0.62/1
00/0
E. Spertsyan n 874.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Meshal Al Mutairi n 817.4
4.55/2
Firas Al-Buraikan n 844.4
4.37/5
S. Abu Al Shamat n 834.1
4.35/4
Zakaria Al Hawsawi n 855.3
4.17/5
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby n 867.4
3.77/6
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Mendy n 886.6
2.76/5
Abdulrahman Al Sanbi n 890
1.54/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al Shabab v Al-Ahli Jeddah — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al ShababLDWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Al-Ahli JeddahWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al Shabab 1 · 2 draws · Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-13 Al Shabab 2–5 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2025-10-17 Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1 Al Shabab
  • 2025-05-11 Al Shabab 3–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2025-01-10 Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–2 Al Shabab
  • 2024-05-11 Al Shabab 1–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2023-11-25 Al-Ahli Jeddah 0–0 Al Shabab
League standing · 2026/27
Al Shabab#11 pos11 pts10 pl0 GD
Al-Ahli Jeddah#5 pos18 pts9 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Al Shabab scored1.4
Al-Ahli Jeddah scored2.56
Al Shabab conceded1.4
Al-Ahli Jeddah conceded1.33

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al Shabab v Al-Ahli Jeddah?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al Shabab v Al-Ahli Jeddah is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Shabab and Al-Ahli Jeddah?
In their last 6 meetings, Al Shabab won 1, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al Shabab and Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Recent form — Al Shabab 2W 2D 1L; Al-Ahli Jeddah 4W 1D 0L.

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