Vasco DA Gama v Vitoria prediction

Serie A – Brazil · · São Januário

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria, Serie A – Brazil on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 21:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vasco DA Gama host Vitoria in Serie A – Brazil on Wednesday 2 December (kick-off 21:00 UK).

The key numbers

Vasco DA Gama are unbeaten in their last seven matches.

Vitoria have scored in five consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Seven of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Vasco DA Gama have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.57. Vasco DA Gama have scored 36 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Vasco DA Gama have conceded 42 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Vitoria’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in four of Vitoria’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, Vitoria have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.14 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.86. Vitoria have scored 33 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Vitoria have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Vasco DA Gama (14th) and Vitoria (12th) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vasco DA Gama the stronger side, 131 rating points above Vitoria (Vasco DA Gama 1615, Vitoria 1485, after at least 182 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 3 September 2026, finished Vitoria 0–2 Vasco DA Gama.

Team news

Predicted Vasco DA Gama XI (4-2-3-1): L. Jardim, R. Renan, P. Henrique, C. Cuesta, Cuiabano, T. Mendes, S. Sosa, A. Gómez, T. Tchê, A. Lescano, F. Colidio — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuiabano (5.2 per match over 28 appearances, two goals and four assists) and F. Colidio (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Vasco DA Gama’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vasco DA Gama (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuiabano averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 2097 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. F. Colidio averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 2178 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Vitoria XI (4-1-4-1): L. Arcanjo, L. Candido, Caca, Jamerson, Mateusinho, Erick, Matheuzinho, D. Tarzia, E. Martinez, C. Goncalves, Rene — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ze Vitor (3.9 per match over 26 appearances, one goal) and Erick (3.5 per match over 34 appearances, eight goals and six assists) have been Vitoria’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vitoria (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Ze Vitor averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1754 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Erick averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 2381 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · São Januário
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Vasco DA Gama 4 · draws 0 · Vitoria 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vasco DA Gama 4W 1D 0L · Vitoria 2W 1D 2L

As of 14 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Vasco DA Gama v Vitoria across every major market; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.38 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 4.25
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVasco DA Gama for / againstLineVitoria for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
16.5 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 15.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David n 828.4
3.24/4
24/1
—
Santiago Sosa n 867.1
2.76/4
0.21/0
—
Jair n 848
1.95/3
2.67/4
—
Claudio Spinelli n 841.8
1.95/2
1.64/1
—
Ramon Rique n 836.8
1.84/1
0.62/0
—
Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David n 828.4
44/3
24/1
F. Colidio n 871.3
3.58/6
1.95/4
Claudio Spinelli n 841.8
3.27/5
1.95/2
Adson n 849.4
35/4
1.14/1
Marino Hinestroza n 834.8
1.94/1
00/0
Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David n 828.4
1.23/0
00/0
F. Colidio n 871.3
0.32/0
0.53/0
Bruno Duarte n 863.3
0.42/0
0.42/0
Ramon Rique n 836.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Lescano n 871.1
0.53/0
00/0
Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cuiabano n 874.4
3.58/4
Ramon Rique n 836.8
2.84/3
Alan Saldivia n 885.3
2.66/5
Andrés Gómez n 864.6
2.35/5
Adson n 849.4
2.36/2
Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 890.9
2.46/4
Vitoria
Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Marinho n 835
2.94/2
5.57/5
—
Ze Vitor n 871.4
2.87/5
1.75/4
—
Renato Kayzer n 829.1
2.34/2
1.52/1
—
Walace n 836.4
2.25/2
1.23/1
—
D. Tarzia n 868.5
2.17/5
3.37/6
—
Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rene n 864
2.66/4
1.23/2
Osvaldo n 813
2.63/0
00/0
Marinho n 835
2.34/2
0.62/0
Ze Vitor n 871.4
2.27/4
0.53/0
Lucas Silva n 826.6
2.12/1
0.81/1
Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matheuzinho n 874.4
0.31/1
0.52/1
Erick n 867.4
0.52/1
0.32/0
Rene n 864
0.73/1
00/0
Mateusinho n 865.5
00/0
0.32/0
Lucas Arcanjo n 890.6
00/0
0.11/0
Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ze Vitor n 871.4
4.78/7
Marinho n 835
4.57/3
T. Pochettino n 831.3
47/3
Edenilson n 826.9
2.94/1
Mateusinho n 865.5
2.78/4
Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 890.6
48/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Vasco DA Gama v Vitoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Vasco DA GamaWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
VitoriaWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Vasco DA Gama 4 · 0 draws · Vitoria 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-09-03 Vitoria 0–2 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2026-08-27 Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Vitoria
  • 2026-07-16 Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2025-10-05 Vasco DA Gama 4–3 Vitoria
  • 2025-05-10 Vitoria 2–1 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2024-09-01 Vitoria 0–1 Vasco DA Gama
League standing · 2026
Vasco DA Gama#14 pos35 pts29 pl-6 GD
Vitoria#12 pos36 pts30 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Vasco DA Gama scored1.24
Vitoria scored1.1
Vasco DA Gama conceded1.45
Vitoria conceded1.47

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Vasco DA Gama and Vitoria?
In their last 6 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 4, Vitoria won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vasco DA Gama and Vitoria?
Recent form — Vasco DA Gama 4W 1D 0L; Vitoria 2W 1D 2L.

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