AS Roma v Lecce prediction
Team pages: AS Roma · Lecce · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for AS Roma v Lecce, Serie A on Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
AS Roma host Lecce in Serie A on Sunday 21 March (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
AS Roma have conceded three goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
AS Roma are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lecce, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Eight of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, AS Roma have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 0.88. AS Roma have scored 16 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Lecce have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.22. Lecce have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.
AS Roma (third) and Lecce (12th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Roma the stronger side, 374 rating points above Lecce (AS Roma 1952, Lecce 1577, after at least 197 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 31 August 2026, finished Lecce 0–4 AS Roma.
Team news
Predicted AS Roma XI (3-4-2-1): M. Svilar, Hermoso, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, B. Cristante, Wesley, M. Koné, E. Lulli, N. Pisilli, N. Molina, P. Dybala — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (6.6 per match over nine appearances, nine goals and two assists) and Paulo Dybala (4.6 per match over eight appearances, four assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1041 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Paulo Dybala averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 631 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, J. Siebert, K. Gaspar, L. Coulibaly, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, K. N’Dri, S. Pierotti, N. Štulić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Gabriel (4.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Danilo Veiga (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Gabriel averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 511 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Danilo Veiga averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Olimpico
- Head-to-head (last 6): AS Roma 5 · draws 1 · Lecce 0 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: AS Roma 2W 2D 1L · Lecce 2W 0D 3L
AS Roma v Lecce (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | AS Roma for / against | Line | Lecce for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.13 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.88 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.13 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.5 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
AS Roma
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Koné n 8 | 49.6 | 3.2 | 2.5 | — |
| S. Castro n 8 | 42.1 | 3.2 | 0.8 | — |
| E. Ndicka n 8 | 73 | 2.5 | 0.8 | — |
| K. Koulierakis n 8 | 41.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 | — |
| D. Ghilardi n 8 | 41.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malen n 8 | 70.8 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| S. Castro n 8 | 42.1 | 4 | 0.5 |
| P. Dybala n 8 | 78.9 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| L. Pellegrini n 8 | 58.1 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| Rodrigo Mora n 8 | 48.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malen n 8 | 70.8 | 1 | 0.3 |
| L. Pellegrini n 8 | 58.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| P. Dybala n 8 | 78.9 | 0 | 0.6 |
| M. Koné n 8 | 49.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| M. Soulé n 8 | 62.9 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Ghilardi n 8 | 41.8 | 4 |
| Nahuel Molina n 8 | 61.8 | 3.3 |
| L. Balerdi n 8 | 59 | 2.7 |
| Wesley n 8 | 72.6 | 2.3 |
| M. de Roon n 8 | 49.8 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Svilar n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| P. Gollini n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
Lecce
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paco Esteban n 5 | 31 | 2.9 | 2.3 | — |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 58.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| S. Pierotti n 8 | 65.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| O. Gandelman n 8 | 24.3 | 1.9 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Geubbels n 8 | 64.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| K. N’Dri n 8 | 49.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| M. Kaba n 8 | 40.4 | 2 | 1.7 |
| M. Berisha n 8 | 57.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Paco Esteban n 5 | 31 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| M. Berisha n 8 | 57.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| I. Ilić n 8 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| A. Ahmed Fatah n 8 | 43.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Olaf Gorter n 6 | 32.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kialonda Gaspar n 8 | 65.1 | 3.3 |
| Danilo Veiga n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 58.6 | 2.9 |
| J. Siebert n 8 | 71.5 | 2.7 |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Falcone n 8 | 90 | 4.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind AS Roma v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-31 Lecce 0–4 AS Roma
- 2026-03-22 AS Roma 1–0 Lecce
- 2026-01-06 Lecce 0–2 AS Roma
- 2025-03-29 Lecce 0–1 AS Roma
- 2024-12-07 AS Roma 4–1 Lecce
- 2024-04-01 Lecce 0–0 AS Roma
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Lecce?
- In their last 6 meetings, AS Roma won 5, Lecce won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of AS Roma and Lecce?
- Recent form — AS Roma 2W 2D 1L; Lecce 2W 0D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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