Bahia v Atletico-MG prediction
Team pages: Bahia · Atletico-MG · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bahia v Atletico-MG, Serie A – Brazil on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 21:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Bahia host Atletico-MG in Serie A – Brazil on Wednesday 2 December (kick-off 21:00 UK).
The key numbers
Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Atletico-MG have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Seven of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Bahia have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.00. Bahia have scored 44 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Bahia have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Eight of Atletico-MG’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Atletico-MG’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Atletico-MG have no wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 5 away matches in all competitions — 0.60 points per game, scoring 0.60 and conceding 1.40. Atletico-MG have scored 42 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Atletico-MG have conceded 35 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Bahia (seventh) and Atletico-MG (sixth) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico-MG the stronger side, 54 rating points above Bahia (Atletico-MG 1743, Bahia 1689, after at least 335 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 21 July 2026, finished Atletico-MG 1–1 Bahia.
Team news
Predicted Bahia XI (4-3-3): Ronaldo, D. Duarte, L. Juba, R. Gómez, M. Victor, R. Nestor, N. Acevedo, J. Lucas, A. Véliz, E. Pulga, C. Olivera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Luciano Juba (4.0 per match over 31 appearances, 10 goals and one assist) and Nicolás Acevedo (3.5 per match over 31 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Bahia’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Bahia (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Luciano Juba averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 2643 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Nicolás Acevedo averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 2620 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Atletico-MG XI (4-2-3-1): G. Delfim, Natanael, Vitão, V. Hugo, K. Pascini, Alexsander, Fred, Cuello, M. Cisse, Maycon, Reinier — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuello (4.2 per match over 38 appearances, eight goals and eight assists) and Fred (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Atletico-MG’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico-MG (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuello averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 2792 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Fred averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1005 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Arena Fonte Nova
- Head-to-head (last 6): Bahia 3 · draws 2 · Atletico-MG 1 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Bahia 2W 0D 3L · Atletico-MG 4W 1D 0L
Bahia v Atletico-MG (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bahia for / against | Line | Atletico-MG for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.25 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.88 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 7.25 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.13 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.63 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Bahia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michel Araújo n 8 | 19.5 | 4 | 1.7 | — |
| Jean Lucas n 8 | 60.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| Çağatay Yılmaz n 7 | 30.4 | 2.1 | 4.6 | — |
| Román Gómez n 8 | 60.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| Ademir n 8 | 30.3 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ruan Pablo n 8 | 11.8 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Everaldo n 8 | 25 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Mateo Sanabria n 8 | 23.9 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| Alejo Véliz n 8 | 86.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Erick Pulga n 8 | 79.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Lucas n 8 | 60.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Michel Araújo n 8 | 19.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Erick Pulga n 8 | 79.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Everaldo n 8 | 25 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Mateo Sanabria n 8 | 23.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Erick n 8 | 55.3 | 2.9 |
| Marcos Victor n 8 | 50 | 2.9 |
| Ruan Pablo n 8 | 11.8 | 2.9 |
| Nicolás Acevedo n 8 | 79.6 | 2.4 |
| Everton Ribeiro n 8 | 20.1 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo n 8 | 90 | 5.1 |
Atletico-MG
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamady Cisse n 8 | 44.6 | 2.5 | 1.3 | — |
| T. Borbas n 8 | 42.4 | 2.1 | 2.7 | — |
| Fred n 8 | 80.3 | 1.8 | 2.5 | — |
| A. Franco n 8 | 81.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | — |
| T. Perez n 8 | 68.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Hugo n 8 | 43.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| T. Borbas n 8 | 42.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Cuello n 8 | 80.8 | 2.4 | 1 |
| A. Minda n 8 | 34.3 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Reinier n 8 | 52.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier n 8 | 52.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| T. Borbas n 8 | 42.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Victor Hugo n 8 | 43.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Bernard n 8 | 70.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Igor Gomes n 8 | 37.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Alexsander n 8 | 54.4 | 3.3 |
| T. Perez n 8 | 68.8 | 2.3 |
| Mamady Cisse n 8 | 44.6 | 2.3 |
| Natanael n 8 | 81 | 2.1 |
| Reinier n 8 | 52.4 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Delfim n 8 | 91.5 | 3.2 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Bahia v Atletico-MG — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-07-21 Atletico-MG 1–1 Bahia
- 2025-11-05 Atletico-MG 3–0 Bahia
- 2025-07-13 Bahia 2–1 Atletico-MG
- 2024-09-15 Bahia 3–0 Atletico-MG
- 2024-06-02 Atletico-MG 1–1 Bahia
- 2023-12-07 Bahia 4–1 Atletico-MG
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Atletico-MG?
- In their last 6 meetings, Bahia won 3, Atletico-MG won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bahia and Atletico-MG?
- Recent form — Bahia 2W 0D 3L; Atletico-MG 4W 1D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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