Bologna v AS Roma prediction

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Bologna v AS Roma, Serie A on Sun, 06 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bologna host AS Roma in Serie A on Sunday 6 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

AS Roma have conceded three goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Six of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Bologna have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.50. Bologna have scored six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bologna have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.

Seven of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, AS Roma have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.43. AS Roma have scored 16 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Bologna (15th) and AS Roma (third) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Roma the stronger side, 380 rating points above Bologna (AS Roma 1952, Bologna 1572, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Bologna 0–2 AS Roma.

Team news

Predicted Bologna XI (4-2-3-1): Ł. Skorupski, T. Heggem, A. Theate, E. Helland, E. Holm, L. Ferguson, T. Pobega, N. Cambiaghi, F. Bernardeschi, N. Zortea, R. Piccoli — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Juan Miranda (4.1 per match over six appearances, two assists) and Lewis Ferguson (3.5 per match over seven appearances) have been Bologna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bologna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Juan Miranda averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 486 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Lewis Ferguson averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1475 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AS Roma XI (3-4-2-1): M. Svilar, Hermoso, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, B. Cristante, Wesley, M. Koné, E. Lulli, N. Pisilli, N. Molina, P. Dybala — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (6.2 per match over eight appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Paulo Dybala (4.6 per match over eight appearances, four assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 982 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Paulo Dybala averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 631 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bologna 2 · draws 2 · AS Roma 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bologna 1W 2D 2L · AS Roma 2W 2D 1L

Bologna v AS Roma (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2
Goals
against 1.63 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 5.25
Corners
against 6.25 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBologna for / againstLineAS Roma for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
16.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 8.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
Bologna
Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Ferguson n 890
2.68/6
1.46/4
—
R. Piccoli n 867.5
2.56/4
2.56/5
—
T. Pobega n 865.6
2.17/3
0.73/1
—
N. Moro n 821.3
2.13/1
1.62/1
—
A. Dovbyk n 822.4
24/0
11/1
—
Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Dovbyk n 822.4
34/2
1.53/0
F. Bernardeschi n 868.9
2.37/5
1.56/3
J. Rowe n 866.8
2.27/4
15/1
J. Enem n 541
2.25/0
0.92/0
R. Orsolini n 849
1.84/2
0.94/0
Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Dovbyk n 822.4
12/0
00/0
R. Orsolini n 849
0.73/0
00/0
J. Rowe n 866.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Enem n 541
0.41/0
00/0
Juan Miranda n 883.3
00/0
0.32/0
Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Emil Holm n 848.5
4.26/3
Juan Miranda n 883.3
2.48/6
T. Pobega n 865.6
2.27/3
O. El Azzouzi n 879
2.17/4
N. Moro n 821.3
2.13/1
Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
2.56/3
M. Pessina n 688.7
2.44/3
AS Roma
AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Koné n 849.6
3.26/3
2.56/3
—
E. Ndicka n 873
2.57/3
0.83/2
—
S. Castro n 846.9
2.44/3
14/0
—
K. Koulierakis n 854.9
2.36/4
14/1
—
L. Balerdi n 849.8
1.84/3
0.94/0
—
AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Malen n 871.9
3.98/7
26/4
S. Castro n 846.9
3.68/3
0.73/0
Rodrigo Mora n 838.8
3.55/4
1.54/1
P. Dybala n 878.9
3.18/6
1.15/3
M. Soulé n 862.5
2.57/3
1.14/1
AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Malen n 871.9
1.34/3
0.21/0
M. Soulé n 862.5
0.21/0
0.52/1
L. Pellegrini n 860.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
P. Dybala n 878.9
00/0
0.62/1
Rodrigo Mora n 838.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Ghilardi n 834.1
4.66/3
Nahuel Molina n 858.3
3.77/5
Wesley n 876.5
2.56/5
L. Balerdi n 849.8
2.55/2
M. de Roon n 843.3
2.35/2
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.87/5
P. Gollini n 890
2.45/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bologna v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BolognaDLDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
AS RomaWDDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bologna 2 · 2 draws · AS Roma 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Bologna 0–2 AS Roma
  • 2026-03-19 AS Roma 3–4 Bologna
  • 2026-03-12 Bologna 1–1 AS Roma
  • 2025-08-23 AS Roma 1–0 Bologna
  • 2025-01-12 Bologna 2–2 AS Roma
  • 2024-11-10 AS Roma 2–3 Bologna
League standing · 2026/27
Bologna#15 pos5 pts7 pl-4 GD
AS Roma#3 pos17 pts7 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Bologna scored0.86
AS Roma scored2.29
Bologna conceded1.43
AS Roma conceded0.43

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and AS Roma?
In their last 6 meetings, Bologna won 2, AS Roma won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bologna and AS Roma?
Recent form — Bologna 1W 2D 2L; AS Roma 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →