Bologna v Inter prediction
Team pages: Bologna · Inter · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Bologna vs Inter, Serie A on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 17:00 BST.
The match
Bologna host Inter in Serie A on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Inter to win, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Inter have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. Inter have scored 18 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Six of Bologna’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Bologna’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Bologna have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.50. Bologna have scored five goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bologna have conceded seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Inter are unbeaten in their last three matches. 11 of Inter’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Inter’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Inter have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.29. Inter have conceded eight goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Bologna (13th) and Inter (first) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter the stronger side, 411 rating points above Bologna (Inter 2000, Bologna 1588, after at least 348 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Inter are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bologna. The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Bologna 3–3 Inter.
Team news
Predicted Bologna XI (4-2-3-1): Ł. Skorupski, T. Heggem, E. Holm, E. Helland, A. Theate, L. Ferguson, N. Cambiaghi, T. Pobega, F. Bernardeschi, J. Odgaard, R. Piccoli — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Juan Miranda (4.0 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Lewis Ferguson (3.8 per match over six appearances) have been Bologna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bologna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Juan Miranda averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 396 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances. Lewis Ferguson averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1385 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Inter XI (3-5-2): J. Martínez, M. Akanji, A. Bastoni, Y. Bisseck, N. Barella, A. Diouf, F. Dimarco, P. Zieliński, P. Sučić, L. Martínez, F. Esposito — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Hakan Çalhanoğlu (5.3 per match over five appearances, three goals) and Lautaro Martínez (5.0 per match over six appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Inter’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Inter (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Hakan Çalhanoğlu averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 467 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Lautaro Martínez averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1113 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Bologna 1 · draws 3 · Inter 2 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Bologna 1W 2D 2L · Inter 3W 1D 1L
TACTIX runs Bologna v Inter (Serie A) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 12 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bologna for / against | Line | Inter for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 2.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.25 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 20.88 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.75 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.75 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Bologna
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ferguson n 8 | 90 | 2.8 | 1.4 | — |
| R. Piccoli n 8 | 75 | 2.3 | 2.6 | — |
| Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8 | 70.3 | 2.2 | 3.5 | — |
| T. Pobega n 8 | 66.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | — |
| N. Moro n 8 | 20.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Castro n 8 | 46.9 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| F. Bernardeschi n 8 | 66.3 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| J. Rowe n 8 | 65 | 2.3 | 1 |
| R. Piccoli n 8 | 75 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| R. Orsolini n 8 | 49.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Orsolini n 8 | 49.9 | 0.7 | 0 |
| R. Freuler n 8 | 87.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Mikel Amondarain n 8 | 68.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| J. Rowe n 8 | 65 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Juan Miranda n 8 | 83.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Emil Holm n 8 | 48.5 | 4.2 |
| Juan Miranda n 8 | 83.3 | 2.4 |
| L. Ferguson n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| João Mário n 8 | 67.1 | 2.2 |
| N. Moro n 8 | 20.5 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Pessina n 6 | 88.7 | 2.4 |
| Ł. Skorupski n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
Inter
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thuram n 8 | 55 | 2.7 | 2.5 | — |
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| B. Pavard n 8 | 66.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| F. Esposito n 8 | 54.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | — |
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 82.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.1 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| M. Thuram n 8 | 55 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 58.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| H. Mkhitaryan n 8 | 53 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| P. Zieliński n 8 | 75.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.1 | 1 | 0.5 |
| M. Thuram n 8 | 55 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| F. Esposito n 8 | 54.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| H. Mkhitaryan n 8 | 53 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu n 8 | 58 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bonny n 8 | 31.8 | 3.9 |
| D. Spence n 8 | 52.8 | 3.8 |
| M. Cocchi n 8 | 45.8 | 2.7 |
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 82.8 | 2.3 |
| Y. Bisseck n 8 | 79.9 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Josep Martínez n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Bologna v Inter — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-23 Bologna 3–3 Inter
- 2026-01-04 Inter 3–1 Bologna
- 2025-12-19 Bologna 1–1 Inter
- 2025-04-20 Bologna 1–0 Inter
- 2025-01-15 Inter 2–2 Bologna
- 2024-03-09 Bologna 0–1 Inter
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Bologna vs Inter?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bologna v Inter is Away win (best price 1.62 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Inter?
- In their last 6 meetings, Bologna won 1, Inter won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bologna and Inter?
- Recent form — Bologna 1W 2D 2L; Inter 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.