Bologna v Lecce prediction
Team pages: Bologna · Lecce · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bologna v Lecce, Serie A on Sun, 28 Feb 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Bologna host Lecce in Serie A on Sunday 28 February (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
Bologna are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lecce, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Six of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Bologna have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.50. Bologna have scored six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bologna have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Lecce have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.22. Lecce have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.
Bologna (15th) and Lecce (12th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lecce the stronger side, 5 rating points above Bologna (Lecce 1577, Bologna 1572, after at least 197 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Lecce 1–2 Bologna.
Team news
Predicted Bologna XI (4-2-3-1): Ł. Skorupski, T. Heggem, A. Theate, E. Helland, M. Darmian, L. Ferguson, T. Pobega, N. Cambiaghi, N. Zortea, J. Miranda, A. Dovbyk — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Juan Miranda (4.1 per match over six appearances, two assists) and Lewis Ferguson (3.6 per match over seven appearances) have been Bologna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bologna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Juan Miranda averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 486 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Lewis Ferguson averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1475 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, J. Siebert, K. Gaspar, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, O. Gorter, K. N’Dri, S. Pierotti, N. Štulić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Gabriel (4.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Danilo Veiga (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Gabriel averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 511 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Danilo Veiga averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A
- Head-to-head (last 6): Bologna 4 · draws 2 · Lecce 0 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Bologna 1W 2D 2L · Lecce 2W 0D 3L
Bologna v Lecce (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bologna for / against | Line | Lecce for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.38 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.25 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.5 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Bologna
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ferguson n 8 | 90 | 2.6 | 1.4 | — |
| R. Piccoli n 8 | 67.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | — |
| T. Pobega n 8 | 65.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| N. Moro n 8 | 21.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | — |
| A. Dovbyk n 8 | 22.4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dovbyk n 8 | 22.4 | 3 | 1.5 |
| F. Bernardeschi n 8 | 68.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| J. Enem n 5 | 41 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| R. Orsolini n 8 | 49 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| R. Piccoli n 8 | 67.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dovbyk n 8 | 22.4 | 1 | 0 |
| R. Orsolini n 8 | 49 | 0.7 | 0 |
| J. Enem n 5 | 41 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Juan Miranda n 8 | 83.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8 | 72.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Emil Holm n 8 | 48.5 | 4.2 |
| Juan Miranda n 8 | 83.3 | 2.4 |
| T. Pobega n 8 | 65.6 | 2.2 |
| O. El Azzouzi n 8 | 79 | 2.1 |
| N. Moro n 8 | 21.3 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ł. Skorupski n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| M. Pessina n 6 | 88.7 | 2.4 |
Lecce
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paco Esteban n 5 | 31 | 2.9 | 2.3 | — |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 58.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| S. Pierotti n 8 | 65.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| O. Gandelman n 8 | 24.3 | 1.9 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Geubbels n 8 | 64.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| K. N’Dri n 8 | 49.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| M. Kaba n 8 | 40.4 | 2 | 1.7 |
| M. Berisha n 8 | 57.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Paco Esteban n 5 | 31 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| M. Berisha n 8 | 57.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| I. Ilić n 8 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| A. Ahmed Fatah n 8 | 43.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Olaf Gorter n 6 | 32.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kialonda Gaspar n 8 | 65.1 | 3.3 |
| Danilo Veiga n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 58.6 | 2.9 |
| J. Siebert n 8 | 71.5 | 2.7 |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Falcone n 8 | 90 | 4.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Bologna v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-10-11 Lecce 1–2 Bologna
- 2026-04-12 Bologna 2–0 Lecce
- 2025-09-28 Lecce 2–2 Bologna
- 2025-02-09 Lecce 0–0 Bologna
- 2024-11-02 Bologna 1–0 Lecce
- 2024-02-11 Bologna 4–0 Lecce
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Lecce?
- In their last 6 meetings, Bologna won 4, Lecce won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bologna and Lecce?
- Recent form — Bologna 1W 2D 2L; Lecce 2W 0D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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