Ceara v RB Bragantino result

Full-time · Ceara 1–0 RB Bragantino

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ceara · RB Bragantino · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ceara 1–0 RB Bragantino — Ceara won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ceara beat RB Bragantino 1–0 at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 16 August. RB Bragantino are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ceara led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Ceara: Aylon (14’, assisted by A. Galeano).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Aylon’s goal on 14 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Ceara 0.64, RB Bragantino 0.21, from 10 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Ceara: Lucas Mugni (74’), Nicolas (82’) and Fernando Sobral (85’); RB Bragantino: Lucas Barbosa (45+1’), Gabriel Girotto (53’), Jhon Jhon (59’) and Guzmán Rodríguez (74’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Galeano (Ceara) 5.0, Aylon (Ceara) 4.8 and Richardson (Ceara) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

RB Bragantino next travel to Remo on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for RB Bragantino: Remo v RB Bragantino, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Ceara 1–0 RB Bragantino · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo · Fortaleza, Ceará
  • Referee: Yuri Elino Ferreira Da Cruz, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ceara 0 · draws 4 · RB Bragantino 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ceara 1W 1D 3L · RB Bragantino 0W 0D 5L

Ceara 1–0 RB Bragantino (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 3.88
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 3
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCeara for / againstLineRB Bragantino for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 15.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Yuri Elino Ferreira Da Cruz, Brazil.

Ceara
Ceara — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lele n 817.5
3.25/0
1.93/0
—
Fernando Sobral n 846.3
2.96/4
0.72/1
—
Richardson n 859.4
2.86/5
0.84/0
Gabriel Girotto
Aylon n 829.8
2.64/3
34/3
Lucas Barbosa
Lourenço n 841.4
2.25/2
1.44/1
Praxedes
Ceara — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lele n 817.5
3.94/2
1.92/1
Pedro Raul n 888
3.37/6
1.76/4
Pedro Henrique n 870.9
2.16/5
0.64/0
Fernandinho n 843.5
2.16/2
0.83/0
Bruno Tubarão n 817.8
1.92/1
1.31/1
Ceara — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lourenço n 841.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Galeano n 885
0.42/1
0.11/0
Guilherme Luiz n 723.7
00/0
0.51/0
Pedro Raul n 888
0.42/1
00/0
Lucas Mugni n 860.4
00/0
0.42/0
Ceara — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lucas Lima n 718.6
4.23/2
Rafael Ramos n 834.8
3.25/2
Richardson n 859.4
37/4
Fernando Sobral n 846.3
2.76/3
Guilherme Luiz n 723.7
2.72/2
Ceara — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fernando Miguel n 890.8
3.67/7
Bruno Ferreira n 886.8
1.84/4
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Sant'Anna n 854.6
1.95/4
0.42/0
—
Gabriel Girotto n 876.5
1.87/4
1.36/2
Richardson
Praxedes n 838.1
1.85/1
2.45/2
Lourenço
Lucas Barbosa n 866
1.75/3
2.46/5
Aylon
Nathan Mendes n 848.3
1.45/1
2.16/3
—
RB Bragantino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Praxedes n 838.1
2.74/3
0.92/1
T. Borbas n 828.9
2.34/1
1.93/1
Lucas Barbosa n 866
27/4
1.25/2
Isidro Pitta n 870.4
1.46/3
0.85/0
I. Laquintana n 841.9
1.34/1
0.83/0
RB Bragantino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Borbas n 828.9
1.22/1
00/0
Cauê Nascimento Santos n 346.3
00/0
0.61/0
I. Laquintana n 841.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
Guilherme n 874.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Jhon Jhon n 880.6
00/0
0.32/0
RB Bragantino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vinicinho n 839.4
3.15/2
A. Sant'Anna n 854.6
2.96/3
Cauê Nascimento Santos n 346.3
2.62/2
Gustavo Marques n 864.5
2.16/4
Nathan Mendes n 848.3
2.13/3
RB Bragantino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucão n 884.4
3.77/5
Cleiton n 891
3.26/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CearaRB Bragantino
44%Possession56%
0.64Expected goals (xG)0.21
10Shots9
4Shots on target2
4Shots off target6
2Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box3
3Corners4
2Offsides1
23Fouls16
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves3
348Passes447
80%Pass accuracy87%

Ceara player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bruno Ferreira9000000007.2
Fabiano9000001007
Marcos Victor9000100207.3
Willian Machado9000000007.3
A. Galeano9001001207
Pedro Raul9000112006.7
Nicolas89001001Y6.3
Diego8900101207.2
Richardson7100002507
Lourenço6600110007
Aylon6610220007.2
Lucas Mugni sub25000000Y6.3
Paulo Baya sub2500001006.6
Fernando Sobral sub20000000Y6.3
Rafael Ramos sub20000020–
Lucas Lima sub20010000–

RB Bragantino player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Cleiton9000000007.2
Nathan Mendes9000001006.9
Pedro Henrique9000000006.6
Guzmán Rodríguez90001000Y6.9
Vanderlan9000000106.7
Jhon Jhon90001020Y7.2
Eduardo Sasha9000210206.9
Praxedes8700200006.9
Eric Ramires7500000306.7
Gabriel Girotto75001012Y7
Lucas Barbosa66000012Y6.7
I. Laquintana sub2500110007
Fabinho sub1600000006.9
T. Borbas sub1600000006.5
Matheus Fernandes sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ceara v RB Bragantino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CearaLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
RB BragantinoLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ceara 0 · 4 draws · RB Bragantino 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-03-31 RB Bragantino 2–2 Ceara
  • 2022-08-21 RB Bragantino 1–1 Ceara
  • 2022-04-30 Ceara 0–1 RB Bragantino
  • 2021-10-17 Ceara 2–2 RB Bragantino
  • 2021-07-01 RB Bragantino 0–0 Ceara
  • 2021-01-17 Ceara 1–2 Bragantino
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Ceara#17 pos43 pts38 pl-6 GD
RB Bragantino#10 pos48 pts38 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Ceara scored0.89
RB Bragantino scored1.18
Ceara conceded1.05
RB Bragantino conceded1.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Ceara v RB Bragantino?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ceara v RB Bragantino was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Ceara and RB Bragantino?
In their last 6 meetings, Ceara won 0, RB Bragantino won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ceara and RB Bragantino?
Recent form — Ceara 1W 1D 3L; RB Bragantino 0W 0D 5L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →