Fiorentina v AS Roma prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Artemio Franchi

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fiorentina · AS Roma · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Fiorentina v AS Roma, Serie A on Sun, 09 May 2027 17:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Fiorentina host AS Roma in Serie A on Sunday 9 May (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Fiorentina have conceded 17 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

AS Roma have conceded three goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Fiorentina have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Fiorentina’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Fiorentina’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Fiorentina have two wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.22. Fiorentina have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Seven of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, AS Roma have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.43. AS Roma have scored 16 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Fiorentina are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Fiorentina (18th) and AS Roma (third) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Roma the stronger side, 504 rating points above Fiorentina (AS Roma 1952, Fiorentina 1447, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

AS Roma are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Fiorentina. The most recent meeting, on 24 August 2026, finished AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina.

Team news

Predicted Fiorentina XI (4-3-3): D. de Gea, R. Drăgușin, Á. Jiménez, Viery, Valde, C. Ndour, N. Fagioli, A. Atta, M. Pellegrino, A. Njie, Beto — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Franco Mastantuono (4.9 per match over nine appearances, three goals) and Nicolò Fagioli (3.5 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Fiorentina’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fiorentina (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Franco Mastantuono averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 798 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Nicolò Fagioli averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 763 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AS Roma XI (3-4-2-1): M. Svilar, Hermoso, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, B. Cristante, Wesley, M. Koné, E. Lulli, N. Pisilli, N. Molina, P. Dybala — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (6.2 per match over eight appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Paulo Dybala (4.6 per match over eight appearances, four assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 982 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Paulo Dybala averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 631 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fiorentina 1 · draws 1 · AS Roma 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fiorentina 2W 1D 2L · AS Roma 2W 2D 1L

Fiorentina v AS Roma (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2
Goals
against 2.13 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.38 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFiorentina for / againstLineAS Roma for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
16.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 8.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pongračić n 849.4
2.14/3
0.21/0
—
Viery n 862.3
1.87/3
0.52/1
—
C. Inao Oulaï n 849.4
1.86/2
2.35/3
—
A. Guðmundsson n 844.5
1.84/2
1.85/1
—
Beto n 826.5
1.73/1
00/0
—
Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kean n 856.9
37/5
26/4
Beto n 826.5
36/1
0.41/0
Franco Mastantuono n 865.3
2.97/5
1.96/2
A. Njie n 856.4
2.68/2
14/1
Pote n 838.6
2.35/2
0.62/0
Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Franco Mastantuono n 865.3
0.72/1
00/0
Pote n 838.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 868.8
0.53/0
00/0
Álex Jiménez n 868.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
M. Brescianini n 845.6
00/0
0.52/0
Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Viery n 862.3
3.36/4
Franco Mastantuono n 865.3
2.87/4
N. Fagioli n 880.4
2.47/5
Álex Jiménez n 868.6
2.35/4
C. Inao Oulaï n 849.4
2.37/1
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
2.66/4
AS Roma
AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Koné n 849.6
3.26/3
2.56/3
—
E. Ndicka n 873
2.57/3
0.83/2
—
S. Castro n 846.9
2.44/3
14/0
—
K. Koulierakis n 854.9
2.36/4
14/1
—
L. Balerdi n 849.8
1.84/3
0.94/0
—
AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Malen n 871.9
3.98/7
26/4
S. Castro n 846.9
3.68/3
0.73/0
Rodrigo Mora n 838.8
3.55/4
1.54/1
P. Dybala n 878.9
3.18/6
1.15/3
M. Soulé n 862.5
2.57/3
1.14/1
AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Malen n 871.9
1.34/3
0.21/0
M. Soulé n 862.5
0.21/0
0.52/1
L. Pellegrini n 860.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
P. Dybala n 878.9
00/0
0.62/1
Rodrigo Mora n 838.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Ghilardi n 834.1
4.66/3
Nahuel Molina n 858.3
3.77/5
Wesley n 876.5
2.56/5
L. Balerdi n 849.8
2.55/2
M. de Roon n 843.3
2.35/2
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.87/5
P. Gollini n 890
2.45/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fiorentina v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FiorentinaWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
AS RomaWDDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fiorentina 1 · 1 draw · AS Roma 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-08-24 AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina
  • 2026-05-04 AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina
  • 2025-10-05 Fiorentina 1–2 AS Roma
  • 2025-05-04 AS Roma 1–0 Fiorentina
  • 2024-10-27 Fiorentina 5–1 AS Roma
  • 2024-03-10 Fiorentina 2–2 AS Roma
League standing · 2026/27
Fiorentina#18 pos4 pts7 pl-9 GD
AS Roma#3 pos17 pts7 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Fiorentina scored1.14
AS Roma scored2.29
Fiorentina conceded2.43
AS Roma conceded0.43

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and AS Roma?
In their last 6 meetings, Fiorentina won 1, AS Roma won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fiorentina and AS Roma?
Recent form — Fiorentina 2W 1D 2L; AS Roma 2W 2D 1L.

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