Fiorentina v Genoa prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Artemio Franchi

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Fiorentina v Genoa, Serie A on Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Fiorentina host Genoa in Serie A on Sunday 21 March (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Fiorentina have conceded 17 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Fiorentina have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Fiorentina’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Fiorentina’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Fiorentina have two wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.22. Fiorentina have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Six of Genoa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Genoa’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Genoa have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 1.00. Genoa have scored five goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Genoa have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Fiorentina are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Fiorentina (19th) and Genoa (18th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Genoa the stronger side, 20 rating points above Fiorentina (Genoa 1467, Fiorentina 1447, after at least 311 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Genoa are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Fiorentina. The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina.

Team news

Predicted Fiorentina XI (4-3-3): D. de Gea, R. Drăgușin, Á. Jiménez, Viery, Valde, C. Ndour, N. Fagioli, A. Atta, M. Pellegrino, A. Njie, Beto — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Franco Mastantuono (4.9 per match over nine appearances, three goals) and Nicolò Fagioli (3.5 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Fiorentina’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fiorentina (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Franco Mastantuono averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 798 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Nicolò Fagioli averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 763 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Genoa XI (3-4-2-1): J. Bijlow, L. Østigård, A. Marcandalli, J. Vásquez, M. Ellertsson, M. Frendrup, D. Sow, B. Norton-Cuffy, S. Wiafe, S. El Shaarawy, M. Osmajić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Morten Frendrup (4.4 per match over eight appearances, one assist) and Junior Messias (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Genoa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Genoa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morten Frendrup averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 713 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Junior Messias averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 372 minutes, with a shot in five of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fiorentina 2 · draws 3 · Genoa 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fiorentina 2W 1D 2L · Genoa 2W 1D 2L

Fiorentina v Genoa (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 0.75
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.13
Corners
against 3.38 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFiorentina for / againstLineGenoa for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
16.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pongračić n 849.4
2.14/3
0.21/0
—
Viery n 862.3
1.87/3
0.52/1
—
C. Inao Oulaï n 849.4
1.86/2
2.35/3
—
A. Guðmundsson n 844.5
1.84/2
1.85/1
—
Beto n 826.5
1.73/1
00/0
—
Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kean n 856.9
37/5
26/4
Beto n 826.5
36/1
0.41/0
Franco Mastantuono n 865.3
2.97/5
1.96/2
A. Njie n 856.4
2.68/2
14/1
Pote n 838.6
2.35/2
0.62/0
Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Franco Mastantuono n 865.3
0.72/1
00/0
Rolando Mandragora n 863
0.42/0
0.21/0
Pote n 838.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 868.8
0.53/0
00/0
Álex Jiménez n 868.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Viery n 862.3
3.36/4
Franco Mastantuono n 865.3
2.87/4
N. Fagioli n 880.4
2.47/5
Álex Jiménez n 868.6
2.35/4
C. Inao Oulaï n 849.4
2.37/1
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
2.66/4
Genoa
Genoa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Wiafe n 851.8
2.26/3
0.94/0
—
L. Colombo n 863.3
1.87/2
26/5
—
M. Ellertsson n 886.9
1.78/5
1.36/3
—
D. Sow n 857
1.45/2
2.28/3
—
Franz-Ethan Meichtry n 831.9
1.43/1
2.13/2
—
Genoa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vítinha n 847.1
2.45/2
0.73/0
S. El Shaarawy n 837.5
2.44/3
0.92/1
H. Traorè n 848.1
2.16/2
0.73/0
Franz-Ethan Meichtry n 831.9
2.14/2
0.41/0
M. Osmajić n 884.8
1.97/4
0.75/0
Genoa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Colombo n 863.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
M. Osmajić n 884.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. Puczka n 546.2
00/0
0.41/0
J. Vásquez n 871.5
0.32/0
00/0
K. Ehizibue n 869
0.32/0
00/0
Genoa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Junior Messias n 846.5
4.16/4
Alexsandro Amorim n 846
3.26/4
C. Drameh n 854.4
3.15/3
D. Puczka n 546.2
3.15/1
M. Ellertsson n 886.9
38/8
Genoa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Stolz n 890
2.87/4
J. Bijlow n 890
2.55/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fiorentina v Genoa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FiorentinaWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
GenoaDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fiorentina 2 · 3 draws · Genoa 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-10-10 Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina
  • 2026-05-10 Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa
  • 2025-11-09 Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina
  • 2025-02-02 Fiorentina 2–1 Genoa
  • 2024-10-31 Genoa 0–1 Fiorentina
  • 2024-04-15 Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa
League standing · 2026/27
Fiorentina#19 pos4 pts7 pl-9 GD
Genoa#18 pos4 pts7 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Fiorentina scored1.14
Genoa scored0.71
Fiorentina conceded2.43
Genoa conceded1.86

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Genoa?
In their last 6 meetings, Fiorentina won 2, Genoa won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fiorentina and Genoa?
Recent form — Fiorentina 2W 1D 2L; Genoa 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →