Fiorentina v Lecce prediction

The match

Fiorentina host Lecce in Serie A on Sunday 10 January (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Fiorentina have scored in five consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Nine of Fiorentina’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Fiorentina’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Fiorentina have three wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.00. Fiorentina have scored seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Fiorentina have conceded 14 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results (33%). Away from home, Lecce have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.38. Lecce have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Fiorentina (18th) and Lecce (13th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Fiorentina the stronger side, 5 rating points above Lecce (Fiorentina 1471, Lecce 1467, after at least 196 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 20 April 2026, finished Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina.

Team news

Fiorentina have one name on the availability list: R. Sottil (out, Back Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted Fiorentina XI (4-2-3-1): D. de Gea, R. Drăgușin, Á. Jiménez, Valde, Viery, C. Ndour, N. Fagioli, F. Mastantuono, C. Inao Oulaï, M. Brescianini, M. Pellegrino — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Franco Mastantuono (4.9 per match over eight appearances, three goals) and Cher Ndour (3.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Fiorentina’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fiorentina (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Franco Mastantuono averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 729 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Cher Ndour averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 858 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, J. Siebert, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, K. Gaspar, L. Coulibaly, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, S. Pierotti, K. N’Dri, A. Ahmed Fatah — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Lassana Coulibaly (4.2 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Tiago Gabriel (4.2 per match over six appearances, two goals) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lassana Coulibaly averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 628 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. Tiago Gabriel averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 421 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last six appearances.