Genoa v Parma prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Genoa v Parma, Serie A on Sun, 24 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Genoa host Parma in Serie A on Sunday 24 January (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Parma have scored four goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Six of Genoa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Genoa’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Genoa have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.63. Genoa have scored five goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Genoa have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Five of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Parma have one win, no draws and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.33 and conceding 1.67. Parma have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Genoa (17th) and Parma (19th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Genoa the stronger side, 53 rating points above Parma (Genoa 1467, Parma 1414, after at least 197 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Parma are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Genoa. The most recent meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished Parma 2–1 Genoa.

Team news

Predicted Genoa XI (4-2-3-1): J. Bijlow, L. Østigård, A. Marcandalli, J. Vásquez, S. Otoa, M. Ellertsson, M. Frendrup, D. Sow, B. Norton-Cuffy, A. Amorim, M. Osmajić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Morten Frendrup (4.4 per match over eight appearances, one assist) and Junior Messias (4.2 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Genoa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Genoa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morten Frendrup averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 713 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Junior Messias averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 372 minutes, with a shot in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Parma XI (3-4-2-1): E. Corvi, M. Troilo, E. Del Prato, D. Carlos, M. Keita, E. Valeri, S. Britschgi, A. Bernabé, V. Sierro, C. Ordoñez, E. Touré — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mariano Troilo (3.5 per match over eight appearances) and Emanuele Valeri (3.3 per match over nine appearances) have been Parma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Parma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mariano Troilo averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 715 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Emanuele Valeri averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 732 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Genoa 2 · draws 2 · Parma 2 · 1.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Genoa 2W 1D 2L · Parma 1W 1D 3L

Genoa v Parma (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGenoa for / againstLineParma for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
10.5 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 14.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Genoa
Genoa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Wiafe n 851.8
2.26/3
0.94/0
—
L. Colombo n 863.3
1.87/2
26/5
—
M. Ellertsson n 886.9
1.78/5
1.36/3
—
D. Sow n 857
1.45/2
2.28/3
—
Franz-Ethan Meichtry n 831.9
1.43/1
2.13/2
—
Genoa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vítinha n 847.1
2.45/2
0.73/0
H. Traorè n 848.1
2.16/2
0.73/0
S. El Shaarawy n 837.5
2.14/2
0.92/1
Franz-Ethan Meichtry n 831.9
2.14/2
0.41/0
T. Baldanzi n 866.8
1.95/2
0.52/1
Genoa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Colombo n 863.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
M. Osmajić n 884.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. Puczka n 546.2
00/0
0.41/0
J. Vásquez n 871.5
0.32/0
00/0
K. Ehizibue n 869
0.32/0
00/0
Genoa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Junior Messias n 846.5
4.16/4
C. Drameh n 854.4
3.15/3
Alexsandro Amorim n 846.5
3.16/4
D. Puczka n 546.2
3.15/1
M. Ellertsson n 886.9
38/8
Genoa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Stolz n 890
2.87/4
J. Bijlow n 890
2.55/4
Parma
Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ousmane Diallo n 423.3
3.93/1
2.92/1
—
Abdou Konate n 451.3
2.64/2
0.91/1
—
Vincent Sierro n 860.6
1.95/4
1.15/1
—
A. N'Diaye n 863.8
1.85/4
1.63/3
—
D. Drobnic n 478.8
1.73/3
00/0
—
Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David Romero n 850.6
3.87/5
1.84/2
S. Lontani n 858.6
2.56/4
12/2
E. Touré n 871.4
1.77/3
0.85/0
G. Fabbian n 847.8
1.44/1
0.52/0
M. Frigan n 828
1.23/0
0.82/0
Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Almqvist n 818.4
0.61/0
1.22/0
S. Lontani n 858.6
0.62/1
00/0
David Romero n 850.6
0.42/0
00/0
N. Elphege n 841.3
00/0
0.31/0
E. Touré n 871.4
00/0
0.21/0
Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdou Konate n 451.3
2.63/2
C. Ordoñez n 860.6
2.24/3
Mandela Keita n 873.5
27/3
A. N'Diaye n 863.8
1.87/2
P. Almqvist n 818.4
1.83/0
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
3.47/6
G. Daffara n 890
2.94/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Genoa v Parma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GenoaDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
ParmaDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Genoa 2 · 2 draws · Parma 2 · 1.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-20 Parma 2–1 Genoa
  • 2026-01-18 Parma 0–0 Genoa
  • 2025-10-19 Genoa 0–0 Parma
  • 2025-01-12 Genoa 1–0 Parma
  • 2024-11-04 Parma 0–1 Genoa
  • 2023-02-05 Parma 2–0 Genoa
League standing · 2026/27
Genoa#17 pos4 pts7 pl-8 GD
Parma#19 pos4 pts7 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Genoa scored0.71
Parma scored0.57
Genoa conceded1.86
Parma conceded1.86

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Genoa and Parma?
In their last 6 meetings, Genoa won 2, Parma won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Genoa and Parma?
Recent form — Genoa 2W 1D 2L; Parma 1W 1D 3L.

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