Inter v AS Roma prediction

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v AS Roma, Serie A on Sun, 11 Apr 2027 17:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Inter host AS Roma in Serie A on Sunday 11 April (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Inter have scored 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

AS Roma have conceded three goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Inter have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.57. Inter have conceded nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Eight of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, AS Roma have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.43. AS Roma have scored 16 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Inter (first) and AS Roma (third) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter the stronger side, 64 rating points above AS Roma (Inter 2016, AS Roma 1952, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Inter are unbeaten in the last three meetings with AS Roma. The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished AS Roma 2–2 Inter.

Team news

Predicted Inter XI (3-5-2): J. Martínez, M. Akanji, A. Bastoni, Y. Bisseck, N. Barella, A. Diouf, F. Dimarco, P. Zieliński, P. Sučić, F. Esposito, M. Thuram — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lautaro Martínez (5.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) and Carlos Augusto (4.8 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Inter’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Inter (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lautaro Martínez averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1203 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Carlos Augusto averages 0.5 tackles per 90 over 348 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last six appearances.

Predicted AS Roma XI (3-4-2-1): M. Svilar, Hermoso, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, B. Cristante, Wesley, M. Koné, E. Lulli, N. Pisilli, N. Molina, P. Dybala — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (6.6 per match over nine appearances, nine goals and two assists) and Paulo Dybala (4.6 per match over eight appearances, four assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1041 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Paulo Dybala averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 631 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 4 · draws 1 · AS Roma 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter 3W 1D 1L · AS Roma 2W 2D 1L

Inter v AS Roma (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.63 / 2
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6.13
Corners
against 3.63 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.13 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameInter for / againstLineAS Roma for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
23.75 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
17.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
8.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 8.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
Inter
Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Thuram n 862
2.26/4
1.63/3
—
F. Esposito n 847.4
2.13/3
3.38/4
—
A. Bonny n 821.4
2.13/1
2.14/0
—
Lautaro Martínez n 870.1
1.96/3
1.13/2
—
B. Pavard n 866.5
1.76/4
0.72/2
—
Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lautaro Martínez n 870.1
4.77/7
2.66/4
M. Thuram n 862
3.68/7
1.56/1
A. Bonny n 821.4
2.63/2
2.63/2
F. Dimarco n 867
2.46/4
0.73/1
H. Mkhitaryan n 851.5
2.45/3
1.34/1
Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lautaro Martínez n 870.1
1.35/3
0.52/1
A. Bonny n 821.4
1.63/0
00/0
M. Thuram n 862
0.74/0
0.42/0
Carlos Augusto n 866
0.53/0
0.32/0
F. Esposito n 847.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bonny n 821.4
4.75/2
D. Spence n 846
4.26/4
H. Çalhanoğlu n 853.3
2.77/4
Y. Bisseck n 879.9
2.16/5
M. Akanji n 890
27/4
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 890
3.17/4
AS Roma
AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Koné n 849.6
3.26/3
2.56/3
—
S. Castro n 842.1
3.25/4
0.83/0
—
E. Ndicka n 873
2.57/3
0.83/2
—
K. Koulierakis n 841.5
2.45/3
1.13/1
—
D. Ghilardi n 841.8
1.94/2
1.14/0
—
AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Malen n 870.8
4.18/7
2.16/4
S. Castro n 842.1
48/4
0.52/0
P. Dybala n 878.9
3.18/6
1.15/3
L. Pellegrini n 858.1
2.97/3
1.24/1
Rodrigo Mora n 848.1
2.86/4
1.45/1
AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Malen n 870.8
14/2
0.32/0
L. Pellegrini n 858.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
P. Dybala n 878.9
00/0
0.62/1
M. Koné n 849.6
0.51/1
00/0
M. Soulé n 862.9
00/0
0.41/1
AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Ghilardi n 841.8
47/3
Nahuel Molina n 861.8
3.37/5
L. Balerdi n 859
2.75/3
Wesley n 872.6
2.35/4
M. de Roon n 849.8
2.36/2
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.87/5
P. Gollini n 890
1.94/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Inter v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InterWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
AS RomaDDLWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter 4 · 1 draw · AS Roma 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-09-19 AS Roma 2–2 Inter
  • 2026-04-05 Inter 5–2 AS Roma
  • 2025-10-18 AS Roma 0–1 Inter
  • 2025-04-27 Inter 0–1 AS Roma
  • 2024-10-20 AS Roma 0–1 Inter
  • 2024-02-10 AS Roma 2–4 Inter
League standing · 2026/27
Inter#1 pos19 pts7 pl+12 GD
AS Roma#3 pos17 pts7 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Inter scored3
AS Roma scored2.29
Inter conceded1.29
AS Roma conceded0.43

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Inter and AS Roma?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 4, AS Roma won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and AS Roma?
Recent form — Inter 3W 1D 1L; AS Roma 2W 2D 1L.

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