Inter v Sassuolo prediction

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Sassuolo, Serie A on Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Inter host Sassuolo in Serie A on Sunday 3 January (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Inter have scored 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Sassuolo have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Inter have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.57. Inter have conceded nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

10 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Sassuolo have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.86. Sassuolo have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sassuolo have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Sassuolo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Inter (first) and Sassuolo (13th) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter the stronger side, 484 rating points above Sassuolo (Inter 2016, Sassuolo 1532, after at least 311 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, finished Sassuolo 0–5 Inter.

Team news

Predicted Inter XI (3-5-2): J. Martínez, M. Akanji, A. Bastoni, Y. Bisseck, N. Barella, A. Diouf, F. Dimarco, P. Zieliński, P. Sučić, F. Esposito, M. Thuram — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lautaro Martínez (5.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) and Carlos Augusto (4.8 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Inter’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Inter (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lautaro Martínez averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1203 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Carlos Augusto averages 0.5 tackles per 90 over 348 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last six appearances.

Sassuolo have four names on the availability list: D. Boloca (out, Muscle Bruise), E. Pieragnolo (out, Jumpers Knee), Fali Candé (out, Jumpers Knee) and Y. Paz (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-20. Predicted Sassuolo XI (4-3-3): A. Murić, J. Doig, S. Cinquegrano, F. Leysen, D. Ćaleta-Car, N. Matić, D. Bakola, K. Thorstvedt, A. Laurienté, K. Bowie, S. Esposito — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darryl Bakola (5.4 per match over eight appearances, three assists) and Vasilije Adžić (4.5 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Sassuolo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sassuolo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darryl Bakola averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 577 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Vasilije Adžić averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 4 · draws 0 · Sassuolo 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter 3W 1D 1L · Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L

Inter v Sassuolo (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 4.5
Corners
against 3.63 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.13 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 6.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameInter for / againstLineSassuolo for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
23.75 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
8.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
Inter
Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Thuram n 862
2.26/4
1.63/3
—
F. Esposito n 847.4
2.13/3
3.38/4
—
A. Bonny n 821.4
2.13/1
2.14/0
—
Lautaro Martínez n 870.1
1.96/3
1.13/2
—
B. Pavard n 866.5
1.76/4
0.72/2
—
Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lautaro Martínez n 870.1
4.77/7
2.66/4
M. Thuram n 862
3.68/7
1.56/1
A. Bonny n 821.4
2.63/2
2.63/2
F. Dimarco n 867
2.46/4
0.73/1
H. Mkhitaryan n 851.5
2.45/3
1.34/1
Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lautaro Martínez n 870.1
1.35/3
0.52/1
A. Bonny n 821.4
1.63/0
00/0
M. Thuram n 862
0.74/0
0.42/0
Carlos Augusto n 866
0.53/0
0.32/0
F. Esposito n 847.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bonny n 821.4
4.75/2
D. Spence n 846
4.26/4
H. Çalhanoğlu n 853.3
2.77/4
Y. Bisseck n 879.9
2.16/5
M. Akanji n 890
27/4
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 890
3.17/4
Sassuolo
Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kieron Bowie n 830.3
2.64/3
1.53/1
—
S. Cinquegrano n 778.7
1.55/2
1.34/3
—
A. Ghion n 845.4
1.54/2
2.76/2
—
S. Cinquegrano n 387.3
1.43/1
0.71/1
—
S. Esposito n 865.8
1.45/3
2.66/4
—
Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kieron Bowie n 830.3
4.56/3
3.75/3
A. Laurienté n 882.3
2.26/3
0.84/2
D. Berardi n 864.8
2.16/5
1.76/3
K. Thorstvedt n 846.8
1.96/2
1.24/1
B. Domínguez n 823.5
1.93/1
1.42/1
Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vasilije Adžić n 853.8
14/1
00/0
Kieron Bowie n 830.3
0.72/0
00/0
D. Bakola n 872.1
00/0
0.53/0
B. Domínguez n 823.5
0.51/0
00/0
C. Volpato n 859.4
0.42/0
00/0
Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Lipani n 832.3
4.26/2
I. Van der Brempt n 848.4
47/3
D. Bakola n 872.1
3.98/5
Rafael Obrador n 852.5
2.17/2
A. Ghion n 845.4
23/2
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 886.9
3.97/6
S. Turati n 889.1
3.27/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Inter v Sassuolo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InterWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
SassuoloDWLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter 4 · 0 draws · Sassuolo 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-08 Sassuolo 0–5 Inter
  • 2025-09-21 Inter 2–1 Sassuolo
  • 2024-05-04 Sassuolo 1–0 Inter
  • 2023-09-27 Inter 1–2 Sassuolo
  • 2023-05-13 Inter 4–2 Sassuolo
  • 2022-10-08 Sassuolo 1–2 Inter
League standing · 2026/27
Inter#1 pos19 pts7 pl+12 GD
Sassuolo#13 pos8 pts7 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Inter scored3
Sassuolo scored1.71
Inter conceded1.29
Sassuolo conceded2

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Sassuolo?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 4, Sassuolo won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and Sassuolo?
Recent form — Inter 3W 1D 1L; Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L.

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