Internacional v Botafogo prediction

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Beira Rio

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Internacional vs Botafogo, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 20:30 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Internacional host Botafogo in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 20:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Internacional or Botafogo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Six of Internacional’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Internacional’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Internacional have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.86. Internacional have scored 33 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Internacional have conceded 40 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Five of Botafogo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Botafogo’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Botafogo have one win, one draw and four defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 2.17. Botafogo have scored 43 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Botafogo have conceded 48 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Internacional (17th) and Botafogo (13th) are four points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Botafogo the stronger side, 3 rating points above Internacional (Botafogo 1486, Internacional 1483, after at least 334 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Botafogo 2–2 Internacional.

Team news

Predicted Internacional XI (4-2-3-1): M. Cunha, G. Mercado, B. Gomes, G. Maripán, B. Aguirre, Vitinho, R. Villagra, T. Maia, B. Henrique, A. Bernabei, A. Patrick — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alexandro Bernabei (3.9 per match over 33 appearances, seven goals and two assists) and Alan Patrick (3.6 per match over 31 appearances, six goals and six assists) have been Internacional’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Internacional (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Alexandro Bernabei averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 2844 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Alan Patrick averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 2243 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Botafogo XI (4-2-3-1): G. Batista, N. Ferraresi, Vitinho, A. Telles, L. Monzón, Danilo, Huguinho, Á. Montoro, C. Medina, H. Ziyech, A. Cabral — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Danilo (4.3 per match over 34 appearances, 13 goals and three assists) and A. Barboza (3.9 per match over 22 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Botafogo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Botafogo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Danilo averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 3168 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Barboza averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 3286 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio Beira Rio
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Internacional 2 · draws 1 · Botafogo 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Internacional 2W 1D 2L · Botafogo 2W 1D 2L

Internacional v Botafogo (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.88
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 3.38 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInternacional for / againstLineBotafogo for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
16.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
17 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
Internacional
Internacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alerrandro n 835
3.95/4
0.61/1
—
Alexandro Bernabei n 874.8
2.76/5
0.94/2
—
A. Sanabria n 833.3
2.75/1
24/2
—
Braian Aguirre n 859.3
2.57/3
0.42/0
—
Ronaldo n 832
2.53/2
0.41/0
—
Internacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Braian Aguirre n 859.3
2.87/5
0.93/2
Alerrandro n 835
2.34/2
00/0
Vitinho n 880.9
2.27/4
1.15/2
Bruno Henrique n 848.5
2.16/2
0.73/0
Alan Patrick n 873
24/3
0.63/1
Internacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alan Patrick n 873
0.32/0
0.53/0
Bruno Henrique n 848.5
0.52/0
0.21/0
Vitinho n 880.9
0.64/0
00/0
Allex n 824.5
0.51/0
00/0
Thiago Maia n 858.8
00/0
0.42/0
Internacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Matheus Bahia n 848.5
3.76/3
Bruno Gomes n 889
3.57/7
Jose Juninho n 836.3
3.15/3
Paulinho Paula n 845.3
36/4
Allex n 824.5
2.82/1
Internacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Anthoni n 883
2.66/3
Matheus Cunha n 880.9
2.15/2
Botafogo
Botafogo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Barria n 825.1
2.75/1
0.92/0
—
Kauan Toledo n 839.3
2.67/2
24/1
—
Huguinho n 872.6
1.97/3
1.97/3
—
Junior Santos n 840.8
1.74/2
1.13/1
—
Arthur Cabral n 879.3
1.67/3
0.63/1
—
Botafogo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tiquinho Soares n 827.8
3.25/2
1.63/1
Arthur Cabral n 879.3
3.17/5
0.94/2
Junior Santos n 840.8
2.84/4
0.62/0
K. Barria n 825.1
2.23/2
0.92/0
H. Ziyech n 840.5
1.94/2
0.62/0
Botafogo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álvaro Montoro n 866.1
0.21/0
0.52/1
Danilo n 885.1
0.42/1
00/0
Danilo n 861.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Tiquinho Soares n 827.8
0.41/0
00/0
Kauan Toledo n 839.3
00/0
0.31/0
Botafogo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kauan Toledo n 839.3
3.77/3
N. Ferraresi n 891.8
2.77/6
M. Ponte n 844.1
2.33/3
Allan n 844
2.35/3
Marcal n 857
26/2
Botafogo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gabriel Batista n 891.8
47/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Internacional v Botafogo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InternacionalWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BotafogoWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Internacional 2 · 1 draw · Botafogo 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Botafogo 2–2 Internacional
  • 2025-10-04 Internacional 2–0 Botafogo
  • 2025-05-11 Botafogo 4–0 Internacional
  • 2024-12-05 Internacional 0–1 Botafogo
  • 2024-07-20 Botafogo 1–0 Internacional
  • 2023-12-07 Internacional 3–1 Botafogo
League standing · 2026
Internacional#17 pos32 pts31 pl-7 GD
Botafogo#13 pos36 pts30 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Internacional scored1.06
Botafogo scored1.43
Internacional conceded1.29
Botafogo conceded1.6

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Internacional vs Botafogo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Internacional v Botafogo is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Internacional and Botafogo?
In their last 6 meetings, Internacional won 2, Botafogo won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Internacional and Botafogo?
Recent form — Internacional 2W 1D 2L; Botafogo 2W 1D 2L.

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