Lecce v Genoa prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Via del Mare

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v Genoa, Serie A on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lecce host Genoa in Serie A on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 17:30 UK).

Form and the table

Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Lecce have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Lecce have scored nine goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Six of Genoa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Genoa’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Genoa have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 1.00. Genoa have scored five goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Genoa have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Lecce (11th) and Genoa (18th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lecce the stronger side, 110 rating points above Genoa (Lecce 1577, Genoa 1467, after at least 197 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Lecce 1–0 Genoa.

Team news

Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, J. Siebert, K. Gaspar, L. Coulibaly, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, K. N’Dri, S. Pierotti, N. Štulić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Gabriel (4.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Danilo Veiga (4.0 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Gabriel averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 511 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Danilo Veiga averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.

Genoa have one name on the availability list: L. Venturino (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-19. Predicted Genoa XI (3-4-2-1): J. Bijlow, L. Østigård, A. Marcandalli, J. Vásquez, M. Ellertsson, M. Frendrup, D. Sow, B. Norton-Cuffy, S. Wiafe, S. El Shaarawy, M. Osmajić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Morten Frendrup (4.4 per match over eight appearances, one assist) and Junior Messias (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Genoa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Genoa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morten Frendrup averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 713 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Junior Messias averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 372 minutes, with a shot in five of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Via del Mare
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 2 · draws 2 · Genoa 2 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lecce 2W 0D 3L · Genoa 2W 1D 2L

Lecce v Genoa (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.13
Corners
against 3.38 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 6.38 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.63
Cards
against 0.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLecce for / againstLineGenoa for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Lecce
Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Paco Esteban n 531
2.93/2
2.33/1
—
O. Ngom n 858.6
2.15/4
0.62/1
—
S. Pierotti n 865.9
1.97/3
0.21/0
—
Joël Monteiro n 859.4
1.93/3
0.21/0
—
O. Gandelman n 824.3
1.93/1
00/0
—
Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Geubbels n 864.3
3.27/5
1.66/2
K. N’Dri n 849.5
2.34/3
1.12/1
M. Kaba n 840.4
24/2
1.74/1
M. Berisha n 857.8
1.96/3
0.84/0
A. Ahmed Fatah n 843.9
1.85/2
13/1
Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joël Monteiro n 859.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Berisha n 857.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
I. Ilić n 844.4
00/0
0.51/1
A. Ahmed Fatah n 843.9
0.52/0
00/0
Olaf Gorter n 632.3
0.51/0
00/0
Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kialonda Gaspar n 865.1
3.36/6
Danilo Veiga n 890
38/6
O. Ngom n 858.6
2.97/4
J. Siebert n 871.5
2.77/6
Joël Monteiro n 859.4
2.77/4
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
4.47/6
Genoa
Genoa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Wiafe n 851.8
2.26/3
0.94/0
—
L. Colombo n 863.3
1.87/2
26/5
—
M. Ellertsson n 886.9
1.78/5
1.36/3
—
D. Sow n 857
1.45/2
2.28/3
—
Franz-Ethan Meichtry n 831.9
1.43/1
2.13/2
—
Genoa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vítinha n 847.1
2.45/2
0.73/0
S. El Shaarawy n 837.5
2.44/3
0.92/1
H. Traorè n 848.1
2.16/2
0.73/0
Franz-Ethan Meichtry n 831.9
2.14/2
0.41/0
M. Osmajić n 884.8
1.97/4
0.75/0
Genoa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Colombo n 863.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
M. Osmajić n 884.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. Puczka n 546.2
00/0
0.41/0
J. Vásquez n 871.5
0.32/0
00/0
K. Ehizibue n 869
0.32/0
00/0
Genoa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Junior Messias n 846.5
4.16/4
Alexsandro Amorim n 846
3.26/4
C. Drameh n 854.4
3.15/3
D. Puczka n 546.2
3.15/1
M. Ellertsson n 886.9
38/8
Genoa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Stolz n 890
2.87/4
J. Bijlow n 890
2.55/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lecce v Genoa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LecceLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
GenoaDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lecce 2 · 2 draws · Genoa 2 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 Lecce 1–0 Genoa
  • 2025-08-23 Genoa 0–0 Lecce
  • 2025-03-14 Genoa 2–1 Lecce
  • 2025-01-05 Lecce 0–0 Genoa
  • 2024-01-28 Genoa 2–1 Lecce
  • 2023-09-22 Lecce 1–0 Genoa
League standing · 2026/27
Lecce#11 pos9 pts7 pl-3 GD
Genoa#18 pos4 pts7 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Lecce scored1.29
Genoa scored0.71
Lecce conceded1.71
Genoa conceded1.86

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Genoa?
In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 2, Genoa won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and Genoa?
Recent form — Lecce 2W 0D 3L; Genoa 2W 1D 2L.

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