Lecce v Sassuolo prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Via del Mare

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce vs Sassuolo, Serie A on Sun, 13 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lecce host Sassuolo in Serie A on Sunday 13 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Sassuolo have scored in nine consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Lecce have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.86. Lecce have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Sassuolo are winless in their last three matches. 10 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, Sassuolo have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.86. Sassuolo have scored 12 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sassuolo have conceded 14 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Lecce (13th) and Sassuolo (11th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sassuolo the stronger side, 80 rating points above Lecce (Sassuolo 1547, Lecce 1467, after at least 196 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce.

Team news

Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, J. Siebert, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, K. Gaspar, L. Coulibaly, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, S. Pierotti, K. N’Dri, A. Ahmed Fatah — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Lassana Coulibaly (4.2 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Tiago Gabriel (4.2 per match over six appearances, two goals) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lassana Coulibaly averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 628 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. Tiago Gabriel averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 421 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last six appearances.

Sassuolo have four names on the availability list: D. Boloca (out, Muscle Bruise), E. Pieragnolo (out, Jumpers Knee), Fali Candé (out, Jumpers Knee) and Y. Paz (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted Sassuolo XI (4-3-3): A. Murić, J. Doig, S. Cinquegrano, F. Leysen, D. Ćaleta-Car, N. Matić, D. Bakola, K. Thorstvedt, A. Laurienté, K. Bowie, S. Esposito — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darryl Bakola (5.4 per match over eight appearances, three assists) and Vasilije Adžić (4.5 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Sassuolo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sassuolo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darryl Bakola averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 577 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Vasilije Adžić averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Via del Mare
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 2 · draws 2 · Sassuolo 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lecce 1W 0D 4L · Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L

Lecce v Sassuolo (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.5
Corners
against 4 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 6.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 0.75 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLecce for / againstLineSassuolo for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
Lecce
Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Paco Esteban n 433.8
3.33/2
22/1
—
Y. Ramadani n 868.3
25/3
1.26/1
—
M. Kaba n 845.5
26/2
3.25/4
—
Joël Monteiro n 865.9
1.94/3
0.21/0
—
O. Ngom n 853
1.94/3
0.41/1
—
Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Geubbels n 857
3.27/5
1.25/1
W. Cheddira n 863
2.78/6
1.87/2
Joël Monteiro n 865.9
1.95/3
1.54/3
L. Banda n 867.9
1.87/3
1.34/3
A. Ahmed Fatah n 846.5
1.75/2
1.24/1
Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joël Monteiro n 865.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
W. Cheddira n 863
0.73/1
00/0
L. Banda n 867.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
A. Ahmed Fatah n 846.5
0.52/0
00/0
I. Ilić n 844.4
00/0
0.51/1
Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Ramadani n 868.3
3.58/5
Kialonda Gaspar n 865.1
3.36/6
Danilo Veiga n 890
2.88/6
O. Ngom n 853
2.56/3
K. N’Dri n 842.4
2.44/3
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
4.36/6
Sassuolo
Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kieron Bowie n 830.3
2.64/3
1.53/1
—
S. Cinquegrano n 778.7
1.55/2
1.34/3
—
A. Ghion n 845.4
1.54/2
2.76/2
—
S. Cinquegrano n 387.3
1.43/1
0.71/1
—
S. Esposito n 865.8
1.45/3
2.66/4
—
Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kieron Bowie n 830.3
4.86/4
3.75/3
D. Berardi n 864.8
2.37/5
1.76/3
A. Laurienté n 882.3
2.26/3
0.84/2
K. Thorstvedt n 846.8
2.26/3
1.24/1
B. Domínguez n 823.5
1.93/1
1.42/1
Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vasilije Adžić n 853.8
14/1
00/0
Kieron Bowie n 830.3
0.72/0
00/0
D. Bakola n 872.1
00/0
0.53/0
B. Domínguez n 823.5
0.51/0
00/0
C. Volpato n 858.8
0.42/0
00/0
Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Lipani n 832.3
4.26/2
I. Van der Brempt n 848.4
47/3
D. Bakola n 872.1
3.98/5
Rafael Obrador n 852.5
2.17/2
A. Ghion n 845.4
23/2
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 886.9
3.97/6
S. Turati n 889.1
3.27/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lecce v Sassuolo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LecceLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
SassuoloDWLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lecce 2 · 2 draws · Sassuolo 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce
  • 2025-10-18 Lecce 0–0 Sassuolo
  • 2024-09-24 Lecce 0–2 Sassuolo
  • 2024-04-21 Sassuolo 0–3 Lecce
  • 2023-10-06 Lecce 1–1 Sassuolo
  • 2023-02-25 Lecce 0–1 Sassuolo
League standing · 2026/27
Lecce#13 pos6 pts6 pl-6 GD
Sassuolo#11 pos8 pts7 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Lecce scored1
Sassuolo scored1.71
Lecce conceded2
Sassuolo conceded2

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Sassuolo?
In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 2, Sassuolo won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and Sassuolo?
Recent form — Lecce 1W 0D 4L; Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L.

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