Parma v AS Roma prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v AS Roma, Serie A on Sun, 22 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Parma host AS Roma in Serie A on Sunday 22 November (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Parma have scored four goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

AS Roma have conceded three goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Five of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Parma have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.22. Parma have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Eight of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, AS Roma have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.43. AS Roma have scored 16 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Parma (19th) and AS Roma (third) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Roma the stronger side, 538 rating points above Parma (AS Roma 1952, Parma 1414, after at least 197 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

AS Roma are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Parma. The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Parma 2–3 AS Roma.

Team news

Predicted Parma XI (3-4-2-1): E. Corvi, M. Troilo, E. Del Prato, D. Carlos, M. Keita, E. Valeri, S. Britschgi, A. Bernabé, V. Sierro, C. Ordoñez, E. Touré — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mariano Troilo (3.5 per match over eight appearances) and Emanuele Valeri (3.3 per match over nine appearances) have been Parma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Parma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mariano Troilo averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 715 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Emanuele Valeri averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 732 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted AS Roma XI (3-4-2-1): M. Svilar, Hermoso, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, B. Cristante, Wesley, M. Koné, E. Lulli, N. Pisilli, N. Molina, P. Dybala — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (6.6 per match over nine appearances, nine goals and two assists) and Paulo Dybala (4.6 per match over eight appearances, four assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1041 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Paulo Dybala averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 631 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 1 · draws 0 · AS Roma 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Parma 1W 1D 3L · AS Roma 2W 2D 1L

Parma v AS Roma (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.5 / 2
Goals
against 1.88 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.13
Corners
against 5.75 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameParma for / againstLineAS Roma for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
17.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 8.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
Parma
Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ousmane Diallo n 423.3
3.93/1
2.92/1
—
Abdou Konate n 451.3
2.64/2
0.91/1
—
Vincent Sierro n 860.6
1.95/4
1.15/1
—
A. N'Diaye n 863.8
1.85/4
1.63/3
—
D. Drobnic n 478.8
1.73/3
00/0
—
Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David Romero n 850.6
3.87/5
1.84/2
S. Lontani n 858.6
2.56/4
12/2
E. Touré n 871.4
1.77/3
0.85/0
G. Fabbian n 847.8
1.44/1
0.52/0
M. Frigan n 828
1.23/0
0.82/0
Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Almqvist n 818.4
0.61/0
1.22/0
S. Lontani n 858.6
0.62/1
00/0
David Romero n 850.6
0.42/0
00/0
N. Elphege n 841.3
00/0
0.31/0
E. Touré n 871.4
00/0
0.21/0
Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdou Konate n 451.3
2.63/2
C. Ordoñez n 860.6
2.24/3
Mandela Keita n 873.5
27/3
A. N'Diaye n 863.8
1.87/2
P. Almqvist n 818.4
1.83/0
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
3.47/6
G. Daffara n 890
2.94/4
AS Roma
AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Koné n 849.6
3.26/3
2.56/3
—
S. Castro n 842.1
3.25/4
0.83/0
—
E. Ndicka n 873
2.57/3
0.83/2
—
K. Koulierakis n 841.5
2.45/3
1.13/1
—
D. Ghilardi n 841.8
1.94/2
1.14/0
—
AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Malen n 870.8
4.18/7
2.16/4
S. Castro n 842.1
48/4
0.52/0
P. Dybala n 878.9
3.18/6
1.15/3
L. Pellegrini n 858.1
2.97/3
1.24/1
Rodrigo Mora n 848.1
2.86/4
1.45/1
AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Malen n 870.8
14/2
0.32/0
L. Pellegrini n 858.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
P. Dybala n 878.9
00/0
0.62/1
M. Koné n 849.6
0.51/1
00/0
M. Soulé n 862.9
00/0
0.41/1
AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Ghilardi n 841.8
47/3
Nahuel Molina n 861.8
3.37/5
L. Balerdi n 859
2.75/3
Wesley n 872.6
2.35/4
M. de Roon n 849.8
2.36/2
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.87/5
P. Gollini n 890
1.94/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Parma v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParmaDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
AS RomaDDLWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Parma 1 · 0 draws · AS Roma 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Parma 2–3 AS Roma
  • 2025-10-29 AS Roma 2–1 Parma
  • 2025-02-16 Parma 0–1 AS Roma
  • 2024-12-22 AS Roma 5–0 Parma
  • 2021-03-14 Parma 2–0 AS Roma
  • 2020-11-22 AS Roma 3–0 Parma
League standing · 2026/27
Parma#19 pos4 pts7 pl-9 GD
AS Roma#3 pos17 pts7 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Parma scored0.57
AS Roma scored2.29
Parma conceded1.86
AS Roma conceded0.43

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Parma and AS Roma?
In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 1, AS Roma won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and AS Roma?
Recent form — Parma 1W 1D 3L; AS Roma 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →