Parma v Torino prediction

The match

Parma host Torino in Serie A on Monday 19 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Torino, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Parma have scored four goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Four of Parma’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Parma’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Parma have four wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.56 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.00. Parma have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Nine of Torino’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Torino’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Torino have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 1.33. Torino have scored seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Torino have conceded nine goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.

Parma (18th) and Torino (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Torino the stronger side, 97 rating points above Parma (Torino 1584, Parma 1487, after at least 196 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Torino 4–1 Parma.

Team news

Predicted Parma XI (3-4-2-1): E. Corvi, M. Troilo, E. Del Prato, D. Carlos, M. Keita, E. Valeri, V. Sierro, S. Britschgi, C. Ordoñez, A. Bernabé, E. Touré — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Simone Lontani (3.6 per match over seven appearances, three goals) and Mariano Troilo (3.1 per match over seven appearances) have been Parma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Parma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Simone Lontani averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 424 minutes, with a shot in five of the last seven appearances. Mariano Troilo averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 625 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.

Torino have two names on the availability list: F. Israel (out, Shoulder Injury) and P. Pellegri (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. Predicted Torino XI (3-5-2): L. Perri, S. Coco, P. Comuzzo, E. Cömert, K. Fitz-Jim, A. Cacciamani, R. Mandragora, G. Gineitis, D. Bragança, G. Simeone, N. Vlašić — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Rolando Mandragora (5.2 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Pietro Comuzzo (4.0 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Torino’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Torino (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rolando Mandragora averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Pietro Comuzzo averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 714 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.