Sassuolo v Parma prediction

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Sassuolo v Parma, Serie A on Sun, 20 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sassuolo host Parma in Serie A on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Parma have scored four goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Sassuolo have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Sassuolo have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.13. Sassuolo have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sassuolo have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Five of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Parma have one win, no draws and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.33 and conceding 1.67. Parma have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Sassuolo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Sassuolo (13th) and Parma (19th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sassuolo the stronger side, 118 rating points above Parma (Sassuolo 1532, Parma 1414, after at least 197 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Parma 1–0 Sassuolo.

Team news

Sassuolo have four names on the availability list: D. Boloca (out, Muscle Bruise), E. Pieragnolo (out, Jumpers Knee), Fali Candé (out, Jumpers Knee) and Y. Paz (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-21. Predicted Sassuolo XI (4-3-3): A. Murić, J. Doig, S. Cinquegrano, F. Leysen, D. Ćaleta-Car, N. Matić, D. Bakola, K. Thorstvedt, A. Laurienté, K. Bowie, S. Esposito — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darryl Bakola (5.4 per match over eight appearances, three assists) and Vasilije Adžić (4.5 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Sassuolo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sassuolo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darryl Bakola averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 577 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Vasilije Adžić averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Parma XI (3-4-2-1): E. Corvi, M. Troilo, E. Del Prato, D. Carlos, M. Keita, E. Valeri, S. Britschgi, A. Bernabé, V. Sierro, C. Ordoñez, E. Touré — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mariano Troilo (3.5 per match over eight appearances) and Emanuele Valeri (3.3 per match over nine appearances) have been Parma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Parma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mariano Troilo averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 715 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Emanuele Valeri averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 732 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sassuolo 1 · draws 2 · Parma 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L · Parma 1W 1D 3L

Sassuolo v Parma (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.25
Corners
against 6.13 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 6.63 / 5.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.5
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSassuolo for / againstLineParma for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 15.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10.5 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 6.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 14.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Sassuolo
Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kieron Bowie n 830.3
2.64/3
1.53/1
—
S. Cinquegrano n 778.7
1.55/2
1.34/3
—
A. Ghion n 845.4
1.54/2
2.76/2
—
S. Cinquegrano n 387.3
1.43/1
0.71/1
—
S. Esposito n 865.8
1.45/3
2.66/4
—
Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kieron Bowie n 830.3
4.56/3
3.75/3
A. Laurienté n 882.3
2.26/3
0.84/2
D. Berardi n 864.8
2.16/5
1.76/3
K. Thorstvedt n 846.8
1.96/2
1.24/1
B. Domínguez n 823.5
1.93/1
1.42/1
Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vasilije Adžić n 853.8
14/1
00/0
Kieron Bowie n 830.3
0.72/0
00/0
D. Bakola n 872.1
00/0
0.53/0
B. Domínguez n 823.5
0.51/0
00/0
C. Volpato n 859.4
0.42/0
00/0
Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Lipani n 832.3
4.26/2
I. Van der Brempt n 848.4
47/3
D. Bakola n 872.1
3.98/5
Rafael Obrador n 852.5
2.17/2
A. Ghion n 845.4
23/2
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 886.9
3.97/6
S. Turati n 889.1
3.27/4
Parma
Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ousmane Diallo n 423.3
3.93/1
2.92/1
—
Abdou Konate n 451.3
2.64/2
0.91/1
—
Vincent Sierro n 860.6
1.95/4
1.15/1
—
A. N'Diaye n 863.8
1.85/4
1.63/3
—
D. Drobnic n 478.8
1.73/3
00/0
—
Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David Romero n 850.6
3.87/5
1.84/2
S. Lontani n 858.6
2.56/4
12/2
E. Touré n 871.4
1.77/3
0.85/0
G. Fabbian n 847.8
1.44/1
0.52/0
M. Frigan n 828
1.23/0
0.82/0
Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Almqvist n 818.4
0.61/0
1.22/0
S. Lontani n 858.6
0.62/1
00/0
David Romero n 850.6
0.42/0
00/0
N. Elphege n 841.3
00/0
0.31/0
E. Touré n 871.4
00/0
0.21/0
Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdou Konate n 451.3
2.63/2
C. Ordoñez n 860.6
2.24/3
Mandela Keita n 873.5
27/3
A. N'Diaye n 863.8
1.87/2
P. Almqvist n 818.4
1.83/0
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
3.47/6
G. Daffara n 890
2.94/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sassuolo v Parma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SassuoloDWLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
ParmaDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sassuolo 1 · 2 draws · Parma 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 Parma 1–0 Sassuolo
  • 2026-01-03 Sassuolo 1–1 Parma
  • 2021-05-16 Parma 1–3 Sassuolo
  • 2021-01-17 Sassuolo 1–1 Parma
  • 2020-02-16 Sassuolo 0–1 Parma
  • 2019-09-25 Parma 1–0 Sassuolo
League standing · 2026/27
Sassuolo#13 pos8 pts7 pl-2 GD
Parma#19 pos4 pts7 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Sassuolo scored1.71
Parma scored0.57
Sassuolo conceded2
Parma conceded1.86

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Parma?
In their last 6 meetings, Sassuolo won 1, Parma won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sassuolo and Parma?
Recent form — Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L; Parma 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →