Cesena v Avellino prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Away saves over 1.5 the free pick for Cesena vs Avellino, Serie B on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:15 BST.
The match
Cesena host Avellino in Serie B on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Avellino saves over 1.5, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Cesena are winless in their last four matches.
Avellino have scored in six consecutive matches.
Form and the table
Six of Cesena’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Cesena’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Cesena have one win, five draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.43. Cesena have scored seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cesena have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Avellino’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Avellino’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Avellino have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.75. Avellino have scored 11 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Avellino have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Cesena (11th) and Avellino (eighth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Avellino the stronger side, 166 rating points above Cesena (Avellino 1583, Cesena 1417, after at least 87 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 31 January 2026, finished Avellino 3–1 Cesena.
Team news
Predicted Cesena XI (4-2-3-1): A. Siano, M. Ilić, A. Ciofi, J. Gelli, M. Mangraviti, D. Bisoli, R. Pagano, M. Guidi, X. Druiventak, X. Druiventak, C. Shpendi — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, X. Druiventak (4.2 per match over three appearances, one assist) and C. Shpendi (4.1 per match over seven appearances, six goals) have been Cesena’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cesena (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Shpendi averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 631 minutes, with a shot in five of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Avellino XI (3-5-2): T. Martinelli, A. Izzo, P. Enrici, M. Venturi, M. Palumbo, M. Besaggio, B. Moruzzi, L. Di Maggio, F. Missori, R. Russo, W. Cheddira — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Russo (6.9 per match over seven appearances, four goals and two assists) and L. Šimić (4.4 per match over four appearances) have been Avellino’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Avellino (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Russo averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 600 minutes, with a shot in five of the last seven appearances. L. Šimić averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 298 minutes.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie B · Stadio Dino Manuzzi
- Referee: Daniele Perenzoni
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Cesena 2 · draws 1 · Avellino 1 · 3.25 goals/game
- Recent form: Cesena 1W 3D 1L · Avellino 3W 1D 1L
TACTIX runs Cesena v Avellino (Serie B) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cesena for / against | Line | Avellino for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.38 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.63 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.63 for · 19.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.5 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Cesena
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Debenedetti n 8 | 15.3 | 3 | 1.5 | — |
| M. Dalla Vecchia n 8 | 23.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 | — |
| Matteo Guidi n 8 | 50.8 | 2.7 | 2 | — |
| C. Shpendi n 8 | 77.6 | 2.5 | 0.9 | — |
| M. Francesconi n 8 | 35.9 | 2.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fiori n 8 | 54.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| M. Olivieri n 8 | 65.8 | 1.7 | 1 |
| C. Shpendi n 8 | 77.6 | 1.6 | 1 |
| A. Debenedetti n 8 | 15.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Shpendi n 8 | 77.6 | 0.9 | 0 |
| T. Berti n 8 | 57.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| T. Corazza n 8 | 51 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| L. D'Andrea n 8 | 24.3 | 0 | 0.5 |
| X. Druiventak n 3 | 78.7 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Zaro n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| M. Francesconi n 8 | 35.9 | 2.8 |
| X. Druiventak n 3 | 78.7 | 2.3 |
| L. D'Andrea n 8 | 24.3 | 2.3 |
| R. Pagano n 8 | 80 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Siano n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
Avellino
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pandolfi n 8 | 30.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | — |
| D. Fila n 8 | 27.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | — |
| A. Favilli n 8 | 36.9 | 2.4 | 4 | — |
| C. Patierno n 8 | 64.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | — |
| T. Biasci n 8 | 27.6 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pandolfi n 8 | 30.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| W. Cheddira n 8 | 63 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| A. Favilli n 8 | 36.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| D. Fila n 8 | 27.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| T. Biasci n 8 | 27.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Favilli n 8 | 36.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| R. Russo n 8 | 86.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| W. Cheddira n 8 | 63 | 0.7 | 0 |
| B. Moruzzi n 8 | 70.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| M. Palumbo n 8 | 80.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Moruzzi n 8 | 70.3 | 3 |
| L. Šimić n 8 | 82.3 | 2.6 |
| L. Palmiero n 8 | 77.8 | 2.5 |
| P. Enrici n 8 | 88.8 | 2.4 |
| Michael Venturi n 8 | 52 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Martinelli n 8 | 90 | 3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Cesena v Avellino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-31 Avellino 3–1 Cesena
- 2025-11-09 Cesena 3–0 Avellino
- 2018-02-10 Avellino 1–1 Cesena
- 2017-09-15 Cesena 3–1 Avellino
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Cesena vs Avellino?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Cesena v Avellino is Away saves over 1.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Cesena and Avellino?
- In their last 4 meetings, Cesena won 2, Avellino won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cesena and Avellino?
- Recent form — Cesena 1W 3D 1L; Avellino 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.