Mantova v Empoli result

Full-time · Mantova 3–1 Empoli

Serie B · · Stadio Danilo Martelli

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mantova · Empoli

The model’s pre-match pick

Mantova 3–1 Empoli — Mantova won this Serie B match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4285 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Mantova beat Empoli 3–1 at Stadio Danilo Martelli in Serie B on Sunday 30 August.

Empoli have scored in five consecutive matches.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Empoli: E. Saporiti (51’, assisted by M. Egan); Mantova: F. Ruocco (58’, assisted by A. Castellini), V. Vlahović (61’, assisted by S. Cella) and F. Benaissa-Yahia (90’, assisted by V. Vlahović).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Ruocco’s goal on 58 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Mantova 1.28, Empoli 0.46, from 16 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Colombo showed eight yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Mantova: A. Castellini (42’) and F. Bardi (51’); Empoli: Gerard Yepes (23’), K. Zedadka (49’), M. Curto (57’), L. Belardinelli (74’), L. Deli (86’) and L. Magnino (90+3’).

What it changes

Mantova have won their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, V. Vlahović (Mantova) 7.0, F. Benaissa-Yahia (Mantova) 5.8 and M. Egan (Empoli) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Mantova or Empoli (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3307 of 4285).

Next up

Mantova next host Palermo on 17 October 2026.

Empoli next travel to Ascoli on 17 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mantova: Mantova v Palermo, Saturday 17 October — the preview. Next for Empoli: Ascoli v Empoli, Saturday 17 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Mantova 3–1 Empoli · Serie B
  • Venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli · Mantova
  • Referee: A. Colombo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Mantova 0 · draws 1 · Empoli 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mantova 4W 0D 1L · Empoli 2W 2D 1L

Mantova 3–1 Empoli (Serie B): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMantova for / againstLineEmpoli for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.88 for · 15.38 against n 8
21.5standard
17.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: A. Colombo.

Mantova
Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Radaelli n 866.3
3.77/6
1.57/2
—
D. Mensah n 835.8
3.16/4
3.84/4
—
F. Paoletti n 824.1
2.85/1
00/0
—
R. Ilie n 850.8
2.25/3
0.94/0
—
C. Falletti n 821.3
2.13/1
1.62/1
—
Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Marras n 856.8
3.66/6
2.26/4
N. Buso n 826.5
35/2
1.73/1
L. Mancuso n 865.5
2.78/3
1.76/2
E. Gliozzi n 857.5
2.77/6
1.67/1
F. Ruocco n 865.1
1.75/3
0.93/1
Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Bragantini n 858.6
0.63/0
0.41/1
T. Marras n 856.8
0.63/0
0.21/0
E. Gliozzi n 857.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
S. Trimboli n 890
0.11/0
0.42/1
C. Falletti n 821.3
00/0
0.51/0
Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Radaelli n 866.3
2.96/5
A. Castellini n 888.1
2.38/5
F. Paoletti n 824.1
2.32/1
T. Marras n 856.8
26/2
Jonathan Silva n 838.6
27/0
Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 890
2.44/4
Empoli
Empoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Haas n 837.4
3.35/3
0.62/0
—
M. Nasti n 834
3.35/3
2.35/2
—
A. Candela n 882.8
2.37/5
0.53/1
—
S. Shpendi n 877.9
2.27/5
16/1
—
B. Popov n 836.4
2.24/2
1.54/1
—
Empoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Popov n 836.4
2.86/3
0.62/0
E. Saporiti n 848.3
2.66/3
1.25/0
S. Shpendi n 877.9
1.97/5
14/3
M. Nasti n 834
1.34/0
0.31/0
J. Ceesay n 850.5
1.15/0
0.42/0
Empoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Saporiti n 848.3
0.73/0
0.51/1
S. Shpendi n 877.9
0.42/1
0.11/0
S. Elia n 847.4
00/0
0.51/1
T. Ebuehi n 857.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
G. Guarino n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Empoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gerard Yepes n 883.1
37/6
B. Moruzzi n 872.1
2.86/3
M. Curto n 878.3
2.76/5
E. Saporiti n 848.3
2.66/2
T. Ebuehi n 857.5
1.67/1
Empoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Seghetti n 390
33/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MantovaEmpoli
46%Possession54%
1.28Expected goals (xG)0.46
16Shots6
9Shots on target2
6Shots off target3
1Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box2
3Corners6
1Offsides1
13Fouls20
2Yellow cards6
0Red cards0
1Saves6
366Passes409
78%Pass accuracy78%

Mantova player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Bardi90000000Y6.6
S. Cella9001001206.7
A. Castellini90012111Y7.2
Jonathan Silva9000000207.3
S. Trimboli9000103007.2
F. Benaissa-Yahia9010210207.3
Bodin Tomašević8300001306.9
F. Ruocco7810110007.6
L. Ignacchiti5600001006.9
R. Ilie5600211106.5
E. Gliozzi5500210006.3
V. Vlahović sub3511211008.2
I. Cajazzo sub3400110006.3
R. Kouda sub3400110007.3
E. Košpo sub1300000106.9
J. Longonda sub1200110106.6

Empoli player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Seghetti9000000006.7
L. Magnino90001001Y5.9
M. Curto90000002Y5.9
C. Cauz9000000206.5
M. Egan9001001106.9
S. Shpendi9000210006.3
E. Saporiti8610210007.7
N. Corrado8600001006.6
Gerard Yepes72000003Y6.7
F. Distefano7200001006.9
K. Zedadka55000011Y6.6
L. Belardinelli sub35000001Y6.3
L. Deli sub18000000Y6.2
B. Popov sub1800000006.2
A. Orlandi sub1000000006.5
Roberto Berizzi sub1000001106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mantova v Empoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MantovaWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
EmpoliLWDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Mantova 0 · 1 draw · Empoli 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Empoli 2–2 Mantova
  • 2025-12-21 Mantova 0–1 Empoli
League standing · 2026/27
Mantova#2 pos14 pts6 pl+7 GD
Empoli#13 pos6 pts6 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Mantova scored2.17
Empoli scored1
Mantova conceded1
Empoli conceded1.67

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mantova vs Empoli?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mantova v Empoli was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Mantova and Empoli?
In their last 2 meetings, Mantova won 0, Empoli won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mantova and Empoli?
Recent form — Mantova 4W 0D 1L; Empoli 2W 2D 1L.

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