Sampdoria v Arezzo prediction
Team pages: Sampdoria · Arezzo
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Sampdoria vs Arezzo, Serie B on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 18:30 BST.
The match
Sampdoria host Arezzo in Serie B on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 18:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
Form and the table
Seven of Sampdoria’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Sampdoria’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Sampdoria have four wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.17. Sampdoria have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sampdoria have conceded 13 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Arezzo’s last 13 results went over 2.5 goals (54%). Both teams scored in five of Arezzo’s last 13 results (38%). Away from home, Arezzo have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.29. Arezzo have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arezzo have conceded 13 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Sampdoria (18th) and Arezzo (15th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sampdoria the stronger side, 10 rating points above Arezzo (Sampdoria 1383, Arezzo 1373, after at least six rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Sampdoria XI (4-3-3): P. Vindahl, S. Gartenmann, A. Di Pardo, M. Cicconi, F. Delli Carri, L. Henderson, A. Makoumbou, Y. Verschaeren, G. Tutino, D. Sinani, T. Lauritsen — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Insigne (3.7 per match over five appearances, three goals) and S. Gartenmann (3.2 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Sampdoria’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sampdoria (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Insigne averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 312 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances. S. Gartenmann averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 630 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Arezzo XI (4-3-3): A. Nunziante, S. Righetti, M. Gilli, A. Renzi, M. Coppolaro, A. Ioniţă, M. Sala, G. Iaccarino, P. Cianci, A. Cerri, A. Arena — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Righetti (3.8 per match over seven appearances, one assist) and Mattia Sala (3.5 per match over seven appearances) have been Arezzo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arezzo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Righetti averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 600 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances. Mattia Sala averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 476 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie B · Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
- Referee: Andrea Colombo
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Sampdoria 1W 0D 4L · Arezzo 1W 1D 3L
Sampdoria v Arezzo (Serie B): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sampdoria for / against | Line | Arezzo for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.43 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.25 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.71 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.43 for · 14.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.71 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: Andrea Colombo.
Sampdoria
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barák n 8 | 33.3 | 2.7 | 0 | — |
| L. Henderson n 8 | 83.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| O. Abildgaard n 8 | 70.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| F. Depaoli n 8 | 31.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | — |
| M. Coda n 8 | 39 | 1.7 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Insigne n 8 | 72.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| L. Henderson n 8 | 83.3 | 2 | 0.9 |
| G. Tutino n 8 | 50.3 | 2 | 0.9 |
| M. Coda n 8 | 39 | 2 | 0.3 |
| D. Sinani n 8 | 60.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Insigne n 8 | 72.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| T. Begić n 8 | 38.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| T. Lauritsen n 8 | 66.5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Y. Verschaeren n 8 | 61 | 0 | 0.4 |
| F. Depaoli n 8 | 31.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Depaoli n 8 | 31.6 | 2.1 |
| A. Di Pardo n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| M. Viti n 8 | 89.4 | 1.9 |
| M. Palma n 8 | 62.3 | 1.8 |
| F. Delli Carri n 8 | 72.5 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Vindahl n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
Arezzo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cerri n 8 | 52.1 | 3.5 | 2.2 | — |
| Muhamed Djamanca n 6 | 39.8 | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| S. Mawuli n 6 | 28.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | — |
| M. Viviani n 8 | 41.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | — |
| J. Illanes n 8 | 82.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mancuso n 8 | 59.3 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| A. Cerri n 8 | 52.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| C. Tavernelli n 8 | 50.9 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| E. Pattarello n 5 | 43.4 | 2.1 | 0 |
| S. Mawuli n 6 | 28.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Cianci n 6 | 54.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| C. Tavernelli n 8 | 50.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| L. Mancuso n 8 | 59.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| A. Cerri n 8 | 52.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| M. Olivieri n 8 | 65.8 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Viviani n 8 | 41.4 | 4.9 |
| L. Chierico n 4 | 42.8 | 3.7 |
| Mattia Sala n 7 | 68 | 3 |
| A. Renzi n 6 | 91.7 | 2.6 |
| S. Mawuli n 6 | 28.3 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Nunziante n 7 | 91.4 | 2.4 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sampdoria v Arezzo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sampdoria v Arezzo is Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Betfair).
- What is the recent form of Sampdoria and Arezzo?
- Recent form — Sampdoria 1W 0D 4L; Arezzo 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.