Sampdoria v Palermo prediction

Serie B · · Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Sampdoria v Palermo, Serie B on Sat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sampdoria host Palermo in Serie B on Saturday 10 April (kick-off 14:00 UK).

The key numbers

Palermo have scored 16 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Palermo are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Palermo have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Sampdoria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Sampdoria’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Sampdoria have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. Sampdoria have scored seven goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sampdoria have conceded 15 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Palermo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Palermo’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Palermo have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.57. Palermo have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Sampdoria (19th) and Palermo (first) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Palermo the stronger side, 509 rating points above Sampdoria (Palermo 1836, Sampdoria 1327, after at least 124 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Palermo are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Sampdoria, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 7 September 2026, finished Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria.

Team news

Predicted Sampdoria XI (4-3-2-1): P. Vindahl, M. Cicconi, A. Di Pardo, S. Gartenmann, F. Delli Carri, L. Henderson, A. Makoumbou, Y. Verschaeren, L. Insigne, O. Abildgaard, G. Tutino — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Insigne (3.7 per match over five appearances, three goals) and Y. Verschaeren (3.3 per match over seven appearances, two assists) have been Sampdoria’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sampdoria (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Insigne averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 312 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances. Y. Verschaeren averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 460 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Palermo XI (4-2-3-1): M. Fortin, M. Bani, T. Augello, P. Ceccaroni, T. Cassandro, J. Segre, F. Ranocchia, D. Johnsen, D. Vavassori, A. Palumbo, J. Pohjanpalo — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Johnsen (7.3 per match over nine appearances, five goals and seven assists) and A. Palumbo (4.8 per match over seven appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Palermo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Palermo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Johnsen averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 625 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances. A. Palumbo averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 494 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie B · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sampdoria 0 · draws 3 · Palermo 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sampdoria 1W 0D 4L · Palermo 4W 1D 0L

Sampdoria v Palermo (Serie B): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 2.63
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.13
Corners
against 3.13 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.75 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSampdoria for / againstLinePalermo for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
17.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Sampdoria
Sampdoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Henderson n 880.1
2.48/6
0.74/1
—
O. Abildgaard n 870.5
2.47/5
1.96/4
—
A. Ferrari n 838.8
1.74/2
2.35/3
—
F. Depaoli n 835
1.64/1
1.94/2
—
S. Gartenmann n 890
1.56/3
15/1
—
Sampdoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Insigne n 872.8
2.57/4
1.47/2
G. Tutino n 852.6
2.47/3
1.15/0
L. Henderson n 880.1
2.24/4
14/1
Y. Verschaeren n 861.9
25/2
0.74/0
O. Abildgaard n 870.5
1.94/3
0.32/0
Sampdoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Insigne n 872.8
0.64/0
00/0
T. Lauritsen n 864.3
00/0
0.53/0
Y. Verschaeren n 861.9
00/0
0.53/0
T. Begić n 845.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Henderson n 880.1
0.32/0
00/0
Sampdoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Ferrari n 838.8
2.65/3
B. Meijer n 823.3
2.43/2
L. Ravanelli n 871.1
2.16/3
M. Viti n 889.4
1.97/4
F. Depaoli n 835
1.92/2
Sampdoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Vindahl n 890
1.94/4
Palermo
Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Estévez n 831.6
4.36/3
0.41/0
—
E. Gyasi n 832.3
2.85/2
0.71/1
—
A. Gabrielloni n 816.1
2.84/0
2.12/1
—
L. Mazzitelli n 834.8
2.65/3
1.64/1
—
F. Ranocchia n 873.1
2.58/5
0.96/0
—
Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Johnsen n 870.4
3.28/5
1.88/2
D. Vavassori n 876.6
2.57/3
1.25/2
J. Pohjanpalo n 873.3
2.57/2
1.44/2
A. Palumbo n 873
2.27/5
1.25/1
Gabriel Strefezza n 845.8
2.25/1
1.24/1
Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Johnsen n 870.4
0.85/0
15/1
A. Gabrielloni n 816.1
00/0
1.42/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 873.3
0.62/1
0.21/0
A. Palumbo n 873
0.53/0
0.21/0
Gabriel Strefezza n 845.8
0.73/0
00/0
Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Ranocchia n 873.1
3.18/6
T. Cassandro n 865.4
2.95/4
N. Estévez n 831.6
2.84/3
A. Bozzolan n 854.8
2.75/4
Hernani n 847.8
2.65/3
Palermo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Fortin n 889.4
4.27/7
M. Perin n 874.1
2.45/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sampdoria v Palermo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SampdoriaLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
PalermoWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sampdoria 0 · 3 draws · Palermo 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-09-07 Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria
  • 2026-02-10 Sampdoria 3–3 Palermo
  • 2025-12-12 Palermo 1–0 Sampdoria
  • 2025-03-08 Sampdoria 1–1 Palermo
  • 2024-11-24 Palermo 1–1 Sampdoria
  • 2024-05-17 Palermo 2–0 Sampdoria
League standing · 2026/27
Sampdoria#19 pos4 pts7 pl-8 GD
Palermo#1 pos19 pts7 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Sampdoria scored1
Palermo scored2.29
Sampdoria conceded2.14
Palermo conceded1

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Sampdoria and Palermo?
In their last 6 meetings, Sampdoria won 0, Palermo won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sampdoria and Palermo?
Recent form — Sampdoria 1W 0D 4L; Palermo 4W 1D 0L.

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