AEK Athens FC v Panetolikos prediction

The match

AEK Athens FC host Panetolikos in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is AEK Athens FC to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

AEK Athens FC have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Panetolikos have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of AEK Athens FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of AEK Athens FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, AEK Athens FC have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 0.25. AEK Athens FC have scored 16 goals, the second-most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). AEK Athens FC have conceded three goals, the second-fewest of the 14 clubs.

Seven of Panetolikos’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Panetolikos’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Panetolikos have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.29. Panetolikos have scored eight goals, the seventh-most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Panetolikos have conceded 11 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.

AEK Athens FC (fourth) and Panetolikos (ninth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AEK Athens FC the stronger side, 458 rating points above Panetolikos (AEK Athens FC 1964, Panetolikos 1506, after at least 306 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

AEK Athens FC are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Panetolikos. The most recent meeting, on 14 December 2025, finished Panetolikos 0–5 AEK Athens FC.

Team news

Predicted AEK Athens FC XI (4-4-2): T. Strakosha, H. Moukoudi, S. Pilios, F. Relvas, L. Rota, R. Marin, L. Majer, M. Vitális, M. Gaćinović, L. Jović, B. Varga — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Răzvan Marin (5.5 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and four assists) and Barnabás Varga (4.6 per match over eight appearances, six goals) have been AEK Athens FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AEK Athens FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Răzvan Marin averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1089 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Barnabás Varga averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 643 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Panetolikos XI (4-1-4-1): Y. Kucherenko, C. Mavrias, G. Granath, N. Stajić, C. Manrique, M. Djenepo, A. Bassi, D. Esteban, M. Nakamba, N. Eraković, J. Piedrahita — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Diego Esteban (4.2 per match over seven appearances, one goal and two assists) and Y. Kucherenko (3.8 per match over six appearances, one assist) have been Panetolikos’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Panetolikos (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Diego Esteban averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 525 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Y. Kucherenko averages 3.2 saves per 90 over 540 minutes, with two or more saves in five of the last six appearances.