Asteras Tripolis v Larisa result

Full-time · Asteras Tripolis 3–1 Larisa

Super League 1 · Sat, 04 Apr 2026 16:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Asteras Tripolis · Larisa · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Asteras Tripolis 3–1 Larisa — Asteras Tripolis won this Super League 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Next for Asteras Tripolis: Asteras Tripolis v Levadiakos, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Asteras Tripolis 3–1 Larisa · Super League 1
Referee: V. Fotias
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Asteras Tripolis 3 · draws 2 · Larisa 1 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Asteras Tripolis 0W 1D 4L · Larisa 0W 3D 2L

Asteras Tripolis 3–1 Larisa (Super League 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 2.6

Corners

against 6 / 5.6 · 1 of the last 2 over 9.5

over 5 matches

2.4 / 2.2

Shots on target

against 5.2 / 5 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5

over 5 matches

1.6 / 3.4

Cards

against 1.6 / 1.4 · 0 of the last 2 over 3.5

over 5 matches

2.73 yellows

Referee · V. Fotias

1.09 home / 1.64 away

over 11 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Asteras Tripolis for / against	Line	Larisa for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 6 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	2.6 for · 5.6 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	7.4 for · 15.6 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	7.4 for · 17.8 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	2.4 for · 5.2 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	2.2 for · 5 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.6 for · 14.2 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	13.6 for · 15.6 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	1.6 for · 1.6 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	3.4 for · 1.4 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: V. Fotias — 2.73 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 16.45 fouls over 11 matches (1.09 to the home side, 1.64 to the away side).

Home 1.09Away 1.64

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Chidera Okoh n 7	36.9	3.5 4/2	1.4 3/1	—
S. Mitrovic n 8	45.3	3 6/3	1.7 6/1	—
K. Pomonis n 8	59.4	2.8 8/5	1.1 4/1	—
F. Macheda n 8	64.9	2.4 6/5	1.2 3/2	—
E. Yablonskiy n 8	70.6	2.1 6/5	1 5/1	—

Asteras Tripolis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Chidera Okoh n 7	36.9	2.8 5/2	1.7 3/1
N. Kaltsas n 8	45	2 6/1	0.8 3/0
J. Bartolo n 8	73.9	1.8 6/3	1.1 4/2
Kalvin Ketu n 8	77	1.2 5/2	0.6 3/1
F. Macheda n 8	64.9	0.9 5/0	0.5 3/0

Asteras Tripolis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Chidera Okoh n 7	36.9	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
J. Bartolo n 8	73.9	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
J. Chicco n 8	40.5	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Nicholas Gioacchini n 8	37.1	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
N. Alho n 8	71.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Asteras Tripolis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Sylla n 8	84.4	2.4 8/5
Eder González n 8	24	2.3 5/0
N. Kaltsas n 8	45	2 7/1
E. Yablonskiy n 8	70.6	1.9 7/2
J. Chicco n 8	40.5	1.7 3/2

Asteras Tripolis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Tsintotas n 8	90	3.4 5/4
N. Papadopoulos n 8	90	1.8 2/2

Larisa

Larisa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Z. Chatzistravos n 8	50.3	2.5 6/3	2 5/2	—
S. Mourgos n 8	42.9	2.1 6/2	2.1 4/2	—
Á. Sagal n 8	73.1	2 6/4	1.5 6/4	—
K. Apostolakis n 8	39.5	2 5/2	2.6 5/4	—
E. Pantelakis n 8	73.9	1.8 6/3	0.8 4/1	—

Larisa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Garate n 8	45.5	3 6/3	1 3/1
J. Ngoy n 8	18.8	2.4 3/1	0.6 1/0
G. Kakuta n 8	59.1	2.1 5/2	1.1 3/2
G. Pasas n 6	39.5	1.9 3/2	0.4 1/0
F. Pérez n 8	52.3	1.5 5/2	0.4 2/0

Larisa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Kakuta n 8	59.1	0.6 2/1	0.6 3/0
P. Sisto n 8	53.3	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
G. Pasas n 6	39.5	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
Á. Sagal n 8	73.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Ľ. Tupta n 8	64.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Larisa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ouattara n 5	44	4.1 5/3
K. Apostolakis n 8	39.5	4 5/5
V. Sourlis n 8	42.9	2.6 5/2
Z. Chatzistravos n 8	50.3	2.5 6/4
J. Atanasov n 8	67	2.4 6/4

Larisa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Anagnostopoulos n 8	90	3 5/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Asteras Tripolis		Larisa
38%	Possession	62%
1.41	Expected goals (xG)	0.74
11	Shots	11
4	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	4
4	Corners	8
2	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	3
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	1
319	Passes	527
80%	Pass accuracy	87%

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Asteras Tripolis v Larisa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Asteras TripolisLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

LarisaDLLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Asteras Tripolis 3 · 2 draws · Larisa 1 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-03-14 Larisa 1–1 Asteras Tripolis
2025-09-14 Asteras Tripolis 2–2 Larisa
2021-01-23 Asteras Tripolis 1–0 Larisa
2020-10-18 Larisa 1–3 Asteras Tripolis
2020-06-07 Larisa 1–2 Asteras Tripolis
2020-03-01 Larisa 3–0 Asteras Tripolis

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Asteras Tripolis#14 pos17 pts26 pl-19 GD

Larisa#12 pos23 pts26 pl-17 GD

Goals per game

Asteras Tripolis scored0.85

Larisa scored0.85

Asteras Tripolis conceded1.58

Larisa conceded1.5

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Asteras Tripolis v Larisa?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Asteras Tripolis v Larisa was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Asteras Tripolis and Larisa?: In their last 6 meetings, Asteras Tripolis won 3, Larisa won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Asteras Tripolis and Larisa?: Recent form — Asteras Tripolis 0W 1D 4L; Larisa 0W 3D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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