Kifisia v Aris Thessalonikis prediction

Super League 1 · · Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kifisia · Aris Thessalonikis

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Kifisia v Aris Thessalonikis, Super League 1 on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 18:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kifisia host Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Kifisia or Aris Thessalonikis (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Kifisia are unbeaten in their last three matches. Five of Kifisia’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Kifisia’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Kifisia have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.86. Kifisia have scored six goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Kifisia have conceded seven goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Eight of Aris Thessalonikis’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Aris Thessalonikis’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Aris Thessalonikis have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.57. Aris Thessalonikis have scored eight goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Aris Thessalonikis have conceded 12 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Kifisia (ninth) and Aris Thessalonikis (fifth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aris Thessalonikis the stronger side, 76 rating points above Kifisia (Aris Thessalonikis 1687, Kifisia 1611, after at least 75 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Aris Thessalonikis are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Kifisia, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Aris Thessalonikis 1–1 Kifisia.

Team news

Predicted Kifisia XI (4-2-3-1): M. Ramírez, L. Abanda, H. Sousa, C. Jolibois, T. Manso, K. Roukounakis, I. Jagne, J. Antonisse, B. Martins, G. Sousa, J. Pombo — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jorge Pombo (6.1 per match over six appearances, three goals) and M. Ramírez (2.9 per match over six appearances) have been Kifisia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kifisia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jorge Pombo averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 460 minutes, with a shot in five of the last six appearances. M. Ramírez averages 2.6 saves per 90 over 630 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Aris Thessalonikis XI (4-2-3-1): R. Velho, Fabiano, O. Richards, N. Fadiga, B. Sutalo, U. Račić, B. Garré, T. Dele-Bashiru, G. Gianniotas, M. García, T. Kadewere — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, U. Račić (5.1 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) and Fabiano (5.0 per match over five appearances, three goals) have been Aris Thessalonikis’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aris Thessalonikis (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), U. Račić averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 540 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Fabiano averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League 1 · Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Kifisia 0 · draws 2 · Aris Thessalonikis 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kifisia 2W 1D 2L · Aris Thessalonikis 2W 1D 2L

Kifisia v Aris Thessalonikis (Super League 1): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.88
Corners
against 4.63 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.13 / 3 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKifisia for / againstLineAris Thessalonikis for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
17.38 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
17.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
16.75 for · 15.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 3 against n 8
Kifisia
Kifisia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alexandros Pothas n 343.3
4.21/1
0.71/0
—
Bernardo Martins n 851.6
3.77/6
2.68/2
—
Dimitris Theodoridis n 846.8
2.67/2
1.44/2
—
L. Abanda n 885.8
2.47/5
0.32/0
—
A. Christópoulos n 826.9
2.13/1
1.73/1
—
Kifisia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jorge Pombo n 875
37/6
1.56/3
Bernardo Martins n 851.6
2.66/2
0.93/1
A. Christópoulos n 826.9
2.54/2
0.82/0
Dimitris Theodoridis n 846.8
2.25/3
14/0
I. Jagne n 850
1.63/2
0.21/0
Kifisia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jorge Pombo n 875
0.63/1
00/0
Á. Sagal n 872.8
00/0
0.32/0
K. Apostolakis n 844.9
0.31/0
00/0
Roshon van Eijma n 874.6
0.21/0
00/0
Y. Larouci n 865.5
0.21/0
00/0
Kifisia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Apostolakis n 844.9
46/5
Bernardo Martins n 851.6
2.47/3
Tiago Manso n 875.5
2.25/4
Alexandros Pothas n 343.3
2.12/1
David Simón n 871.6
26/5
Kifisia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Ramírez n 890
2.55/3
Aris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Palacios n 863.8
2.65/4
4.17/6
—
Álvaro Tejero n 849.6
2.56/4
1.86/2
—
N. Fadiga n 876
2.48/6
1.25/3
—
B. Garré n 882.9
2.37/5
2.78/6
—
Loren Morón n 842.4
2.17/1
2.75/2
—
Aris Thessalonikis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Kouame n 845
3.25/4
1.34/1
T. Kadewere n 862.4
2.96/6
1.44/4
Rafa Mir n 846
2.96/4
2.26/2
U. Račić n 890
2.17/5
15/3
Loren Morón n 842.4
1.94/3
0.52/0
Aris Thessalonikis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Kouame n 845
0.83/0
00/0
T. Kadewere n 862.4
0.52/1
0.21/0
Manu García n 852.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
U. Račić n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
Fabiano n 890
0.42/1
00/0
Aris Thessalonikis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
U. Račić n 890
2.68/5
M. Hongla n 854.1
2.56/3
J. Pétris n 859.9
2.47/3
O. Richards n 870.8
2.25/5
M. Frýdek n 854.4
2.16/3
Aris Thessalonikis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Athanasiadis n 888.3
3.67/4
Ricardo Velho n 890
2.86/4

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kifisia v Aris Thessalonikis — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KifisiaLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Aris ThessalonikisWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Kifisia 0 · 2 draws · Aris Thessalonikis 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-22 Aris Thessalonikis 1–1 Kifisia
  • 2025-09-20 Kifisia 0–1 Aris Thessalonikis
  • 2024-01-27 Kifisia 0–1 Aris Thessalonikis
  • 2023-10-01 Aris Thessalonikis 1–1 Kifisia
League standing · 2026/27
Kifisia#9 pos8 pts6 pl-1 GD
Aris Thessalonikis#5 pos10 pts6 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Kifisia scored1
Aris Thessalonikis scored1.33
Kifisia conceded1.17
Aris Thessalonikis conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kifisia v Aris Thessalonikis?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kifisia v Aris Thessalonikis is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Kifisia and Aris Thessalonikis?
In their last 4 meetings, Kifisia won 0, Aris Thessalonikis won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kifisia and Aris Thessalonikis?
Recent form — Kifisia 2W 1D 2L; Aris Thessalonikis 2W 1D 2L.

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