Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis prediction

Super League 1 · · Olympic Stadium of Athens

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis, Super League 1 on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

Form and momentum

Panathinaikos are unbeaten in their last twelve matches (last 15 results). Panathinaikos have scored in twelve consecutive matches (last 15 results). Ten of Panathinaikos’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in ten of Panathinaikos’s last 15 results (67%).

Asteras Tripolis are unbeaten in their last three matches (last 15 results). Seven of Asteras Tripolis’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Asteras Tripolis’s last 15 results (60%).

Head-to-head

Panathinaikos are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Asteras Tripolis (last 6 meetings). The most recent meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Asteras Tripolis 1–2 Panathinaikos.

The shape of the game

At home, Panathinaikos have three wins, five draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.13. Panathinaikos have scored twelve goals, the 2nd-highest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Panathinaikos have conceded two goals, the fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far).

At away, Asteras Tripolis have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.29. Asteras Tripolis have scored six goals, the 6th-highest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Asteras Tripolis have conceded ten goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Panathinaikos (1st) and Asteras Tripolis (10th) are ten points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Panathinaikos the stronger side, 434 rating points above Asteras Tripolis (1951 v 1517, after at least 302 rated matches each).

Players to watch

By TACTIX Impact, Santino Andino (4.8 per match over ten appearances, one goal and three assists) and V. Taborda (4.5 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Panathinaikos’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Panathinaikos: Santino Andino 1.5 key passes per 90 (766 minutes), a key pass in 8 of the last 10 appearances; V. Taborda 2.0 key passes per 90 (453 minutes), a key pass in 4 of the last 8 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

By TACTIX Impact, J. Bartolo (4.6 per match over five appearances, two goals) and J. Silva (3.6 per match over four appearances) have been Asteras Tripolis’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Asteras Tripolis: J. Bartolo 2.5 shots per 90 (398 minutes), a shot in 3 of the last 5 appearances; J. Silva 2.8 tackles per 90 (360 minutes) (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

Predicted line-ups

Predicted Panathinaikos XI (4-2-3-1): Iñaki Peña, S. de Vrij, D. Calabria, R. van Drongelen, G. Kiriakopoulos, Santino Andino, Etienne Camara, Kings Kangwa, L. García, V. Taborda, Andreas Tetteh — derived from the last 5 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Asteras Tripolis XI (3-4-3): N. Papadopoulos, F. Brorsson, J. Silva, D. Laskaris, Eder González, D. Kourbelis, G. Kotsiras, F. Orozco, J. Bartolo, F. Macheda, Ricardinho — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

As of 30 July 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis across every major market; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.88 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.13 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.13 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePanathinaikos for / againstLineAsteras Tripolis for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
3our book
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 9 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
8.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 13.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Louza n 846.1
3.76/5
25/3
—
Etienne Camara n 888.8
2.58/6
1.15/2
—
Santino Andino n 877.6
2.56/5
1.35/3
—
S. Kontouris n 841.1
2.55/3
0.82/1
—
L. García n 881.6
2.38/5
1.44/3
—
Panathinaikos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Dessers n 833.9
6.68/5
3.76/4
L. García n 881.6
3.28/8
1.26/3
A. Zaroury n 865.9
2.76/4
0.72/2
V. Taborda n 856.6
2.65/3
1.65/2
Andreas Tetteh n 849.6
2.53/3
1.13/2
Panathinaikos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Dessers n 833.9
1.33/1
00/0
V. Taborda n 856.6
0.63/0
0.42/0
Andreas Tetteh n 849.6
0.72/1
00/0
A. Ounahi n 857.8
0.62/1
00/0
A. Jagusic n 748.3
0.52/0
00/0
Panathinaikos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Etienne Camara n 888.8
3.27/5
A. Touba n 880.1
2.27/6
D. Calabria n 886.3
2.17/5
Santino Andino n 877.6
26/3
Kings Kangwa n 870.6
1.97/4
Panathinaikos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Iñaki Peña n 897.5
2.76/4
Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Christos Almyras n 825.4
3.55/3
3.16/1
—
A. Tereziou n 832.3
2.84/3
2.13/1
—
J. Bartolo n 879.8
1.86/4
0.73/1
—
D. Kourbelis n 870.5
1.85/3
1.96/5
—
A. Mendez n 690
1.56/2
1.56/3
—
Asteras Tripolis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Macheda n 860.1
2.66/5
1.15/1
J. Bartolo n 879.8
2.45/5
25/5
Kalvin Ketu n 875.5
1.96/4
0.95/1
A. Papakanellos n 819.9
1.72/1
1.72/1
A. Tereziou n 832.3
1.43/1
0.72/0
Asteras Tripolis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Macheda n 860.1
0.63/0
0.21/0
Ricardinho n 841.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Bartolo n 879.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Chrisopoulos n 460
0.41/0
00/0
A. Mendez n 690
00/0
0.32/0
Asteras Tripolis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Christos Almyras n 825.4
5.87/3
A. Papakanellos n 819.9
3.43/3
I. Bouzoukis n 854
3.17/5
D. Kourbelis n 870.5
2.66/5
Eder González n 884.9
2.47/5
Asteras Tripolis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Chatziemmanouil n 590
3.64/3
N. Papadopoulos n 890
2.45/3

TACTIX model preview

The TACTIX model has priced Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:

Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PanathinaikosWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Asteras TripolisLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Panathinaikos 5 · 0 draws · Asteras Tripolis 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 Asteras Tripolis 1–2 Panathinaikos
  • 2025-10-26 Panathinaikos 2–0 Asteras Tripolis
  • 2024-12-08 Asteras Tripolis 0–1 Panathinaikos
  • 2024-08-18 Panathinaikos 0–1 Asteras Tripolis
  • 2024-01-21 Panathinaikos 2–0 Asteras Tripolis
  • 2023-09-28 Asteras Tripolis 1–4 Panathinaikos
League standing · 2026/27
Panathinaikos#1 pos15 pts5 pl+10 GD
Asteras Tripolis#10 pos5 pts6 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Panathinaikos scored2.4
Asteras Tripolis scored1
Panathinaikos conceded0.4
Asteras Tripolis conceded1.67

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis?
In their last 6 meetings, Panathinaikos won 5, Asteras Tripolis won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis?
Recent form — Panathinaikos 5W 0D 0L; Asteras Tripolis 1W 2D 2L.

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