Qingdao Youth Island v Yunnan Yukun prediction

Super League – China · · Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Qingdao Youth Island v Yunnan Yukun, Super League – China on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:30 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Qingdao Youth Island host Yunnan Yukun in the Super League – China on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 08:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Qingdao Youth Island or Yunnan Yukun (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of Yunnan Yukun’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Qingdao Youth Island are winless in their last three matches. Six of Qingdao Youth Island’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Qingdao Youth Island’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Qingdao Youth Island have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.13. Qingdao Youth Island have scored 31 goals, the second-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Qingdao Youth Island have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Both teams scored in 11 of Yunnan Yukun’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, Yunnan Yukun have no wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.17 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 4.50. Yunnan Yukun have scored 56 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Yunnan Yukun have conceded 59 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs.

Qingdao Youth Island (sixth) and Yunnan Yukun (fifth) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Qingdao Youth Island the stronger side, 60 rating points above Yunnan Yukun (Qingdao Youth Island 1667, Yunnan Yukun 1607, after at least 58 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Yunnan Yukun 2–3 Qingdao Youth Island.

Team news

Predicted Qingdao Youth Island XI (4-2-3-1): H. Li, S. Memisevic, G. Wang, Y. Dong, B. Viana, C. Zhang, X. Zhang, Davidson, N. Luz, M. Jingchao, Aziz — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Davidson (6.1 per match over 27 appearances, nine goals and four assists) and Nelson Luz (5.9 per match over 25 appearances, eight goals and five assists) have been Qingdao Youth Island’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Qingdao Youth Island (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Davidson averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 2428 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Nelson Luz averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 2066 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Yunnan Yukun XI (4-3-3): Z. Wang, A. Burcă, T. Kit, T. Yi, Z. Yang, X. Xu, A. Ioniță, C. Vinícius, O. Maritu, B. Abdusalam, Cléber — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alexandru Ioniță (6.1 per match over 28 appearances, five goals and 13 assists) and Oscar Taty Maritu (5.9 per match over 28 appearances, 20 goals and nine assists) have been Yunnan Yukun’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Yunnan Yukun (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Alexandru Ioniță averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 2295 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Oscar Taty Maritu averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 2466 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League – China · Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Qingdao Youth Island 1 · draws 1 · Yunnan Yukun 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Qingdao Youth Island 1W 3D 1L · Yunnan Yukun 2W 1D 2L

Qingdao Youth Island v Yunnan Yukun (Super League – China): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.43
Corners
against 3.88 / 6.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.13 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.5 / 1
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameQingdao Youth Island for / againstLineYunnan Yukun for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.43 for · 6.71 against n 7
Shots
12.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.57 for · 14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.29 for · 5.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.29 for · 11.57 against n 7
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.43 against n 7
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Yakubu n 353
2.82/1
2.32/1
—
Jia Weiwei n 84.5
2.51/0
2.51/0
—
S. Jin n 410
2.31/0
00/0
—
Yang Zhanpeng n 840.5
2.25/2
1.13/1
—
Davidson n 890
28/4
3.48/7
—
Qingdao Youth Island — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aziz n 880.4
2.47/5
0.74/1
Nelson Luz n 878.4
2.46/6
0.43/0
S. Jin n 410
2.31/0
2.31/0
Yang Zhanpeng n 840.5
1.74/1
0.61/1
Davidson n 890
1.55/4
0.95/2
Qingdao Youth Island — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Davidson n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
Xinli Peng n 879.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Yang Zhanpeng n 840.5
0.31/0
00/0
Gengrui Wang n 872.1
00/0
0.21/0
Samir Memisevic n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Qingdao Youth Island — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yang Zhanpeng n 840.5
3.35/3
Nelson Luz n 878.4
2.77/6
Jia Weiwei n 84.5
2.51/0
Yu Dong n 885.1
2.28/4
Samir Memisevic n 890
2.17/5
Qingdao Youth Island — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Li Hao n 884.4
3.67/5
Hao Li n 890
37/5
Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Abdusalam Bunyamin n 566
2.75/3
0.52/0
—
Cléber n 860.6
2.45/4
1.35/1
—
Zilong Han n 816.3
2.12/1
2.13/0
—
Caio Vinícius n 884.5
1.67/3
2.47/6
—
Chenliang Zhang n 834.8
1.64/1
13/0
—
Yunnan Yukun — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Oscar Taty Maritu n 884.3
47/6
1.55/2
Zilong Han n 815.4
3.73/2
0.71/0
Zilong Han n 816.3
3.54/1
2.13/0
Cléber n 860.6
2.67/4
1.76/2
Alexandru Ioniță n 880
26/4
0.63/1
Yunnan Yukun — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Oscar Taty Maritu n 884.3
0.85/1
0.42/1
Cléber n 860.6
1.14/1
00/0
Abdusalam Bunyamin n 566
0.52/0
0.52/0
Liuyu Duan n 828
00/0
0.81/1
Caio Vinícius n 884.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
Yunnan Yukun — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Liuyu Duan n 828
2.85/2
Caio Vinícius n 884.5
2.76/6
Abdusalam Bunyamin n 566
2.74/2
Bunyamin Abdusalam n 865.6
2.67/3
Yuhao Zhao n 825
2.35/0
Yunnan Yukun — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Zhifeng Wang n 890.1
2.94/4
Yaxiong Bao n 890
2.56/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Qingdao Youth Island v Yunnan Yukun — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Qingdao Youth IslandDWDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Yunnan YukunLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Qingdao Youth Island 1 · 1 draw · Yunnan Yukun 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 Yunnan Yukun 2–3 Qingdao Youth Island
  • 2025-11-02 Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island
  • 2025-06-14 Qingdao Youth Island 0–0 Yunnan Yukun
League standing · 2026
Qingdao Youth Island#6 pos38 pts27 pl-5 GD
Yunnan Yukun#5 pos39 pts28 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Qingdao Youth Island scored1.15
Yunnan Yukun scored2
Qingdao Youth Island conceded1.33
Yunnan Yukun conceded2.11

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Qingdao Youth Island v Yunnan Yukun?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Qingdao Youth Island v Yunnan Yukun is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun?
In their last 3 meetings, Qingdao Youth Island won 1, Yunnan Yukun won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun?
Recent form — Qingdao Youth Island 1W 3D 1L; Yunnan Yukun 2W 1D 2L.

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