Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai Shenhua prediction

Super League – China · · Wuhan Sports Center Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai Shenhua, Super League – China on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 11:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.35 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 645 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Wuhan Three Towns host Shanghai Shenhua in the Super League – China on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 11:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Wuhan Three Towns have scored in five consecutive matches. Wuhan Three Towns are winless in their last four matches.

Shanghai Shenhua have scored 59 goals, the most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Form and the table

Six of Wuhan Three Towns’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Wuhan Three Towns’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Wuhan Three Towns have two wins, five draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.13. Wuhan Three Towns have scored 40 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Wuhan Three Towns have conceded 47 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Shanghai Shenhua are unbeaten in their last four matches. 10 of Shanghai Shenhua’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Shanghai Shenhua’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Shanghai Shenhua have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.57. Shanghai Shenhua have conceded 47 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Wuhan Three Towns (15th) and Shanghai Shenhua (eighth) are 12 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shanghai Shenhua the stronger side, 185 rating points above Wuhan Three Towns (Shanghai Shenhua 1788, Wuhan Three Towns 1603, after at least 151 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Shanghai Shenhua 2–2 Wuhan Three Towns.

Team news

Predicted Wuhan Three Towns XI (4-4-2): J. Fang, M. Tian, X. Haofeng, A. Li, G. He, A. Firmino, K. Bevis, A. Léautey, X. Zhang, J. Cádiz, G. Sauer — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jhonder Cádiz (6.0 per match over 27 appearances, 18 goals and six assists) and Gustavo Sauer (5.7 per match over 25 appearances, eight goals and six assists) have been Wuhan Three Towns’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Wuhan Three Towns (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Jhonder Cádiz averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 2375 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Gustavo Sauer averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 2174 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Shanghai Shenhua XI (4-2-3-1): X. Qinghao, Z. Chenjie, W. Manafá, C. Shinichi, L. Songyi, W. Xi, W. Haijian, G. Tianyi, L. Asué, X. Pengfei, R. Ratao — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Luís Asué (5.9 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and four assists) and M. Gueye (5.6 per match over seven appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Shanghai Shenhua’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Shanghai Shenhua (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Luís Asué averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 999 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. M. Gueye averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 536 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League – China · Wuhan Sports Center Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Wuhan Three Towns 1 · draws 1 · Shanghai Shenhua 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wuhan Three Towns 1W 3D 1L · Shanghai Shenhua 3W 1D 1L

As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai Shenhua across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
4.63 / 6.5
Corners
against 5.88 / 5.17 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5 / 7.67
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 5.83 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.25 / 1.17
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWuhan Three Towns for / againstLineShanghai Shenhua for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.75our book
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5.17 against n 6
Shots
17.38 for · 17.25 against n 8
19.5standard
18.17 for · 14.33 against n 6
Shots on target
5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
7.67 for · 5.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.33 for · 11.5 against n 6
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.17 for · 2.5 against n 6
Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zhechao Chen n 818.4
4.34/2
1.22/0
—
Jizheng Xiong n 836
2.85/4
2.53/1
—
Liu Binbin n 812.6
2.73/0
1.82/0
—
Shenyuan Li n 89.8
2.32/0
4.63/1
—
Wei Long n 812.1
1.92/0
0.91/0
—
Wuhan Three Towns — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jhonder Cádiz n 881.4
3.96/6
1.25/3
Jizheng Xiong n 836
3.85/3
0.92/1
Liu Binbin n 812.6
2.73/0
0.91/0
K. Bevis n 888.8
2.57/6
15/3
Zhechao Chen n 818.4
1.83/0
00/0
Wuhan Three Towns — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Liu Binbin n 812.6
00/0
0.91/0
Wei Long n 812.1
00/0
0.91/0
Gustavo Sauer n 886.6
0.42/1
0.32/0
Jhonder Cádiz n 881.4
0.74/1
00/0
K. Bevis n 888.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
Wuhan Three Towns — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Denny Wang Yi n 840.3
3.47/3
Jizheng Xiong n 836
2.86/3
Liu Binbin n 812.6
2.73/0
Shenyuan Li n 89.8
2.32/0
Ming Tian n 886.5
2.26/4
Wuhan Three Towns — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jingqi Fang n 890
3.67/5
Shanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Shenhua — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Liu Chengyu n 820.6
4.44/2
1.63/0
—
Han Jiawen n 316
3.81/1
3.82/0
—
Wu Qipeng n 833.1
3.15/2
0.72/0
—
Luís Asué n 870
2.48/4
1.65/4
—
Gao Tianyi n 855.4
2.26/3
1.23/2
—
Shanghai Shenhua — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Saulo Mineiro n 830.4
4.15/5
1.93/2
Luís Asué n 870
3.77/7
2.16/4
Xu Haoyang n 839.9
2.54/3
1.43/2
Rafael Ratao n 880.8
2.47/6
1.85/4
Xie Pengfei n 851.5
2.46/3
1.35/1
Shanghai Shenhua — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luís Asué n 870
14/1
0.32/0
João Teixeira n 870.4
00/0
0.83/1
Gao Tianyi n 855.4
00/0
0.82/2
Rafael Ratao n 880.8
0.73/1
0.11/0
Saulo Mineiro n 830.4
0.72/0
00/0
Shanghai Shenhua — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Wang Haijian n 862.8
2.94/3
Shilong Wang n 835.9
2.84/2
Gao Tianyi n 855.4
2.65/5
Yang Haoyu n 842.8
2.65/4
Yang Zexiang n 832.1
2.13/2
Shanghai Shenhua — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ma Zhen n 890.6
3.56/6
Xue Qinghao n 891.1
2.65/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai Shenhua — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Wuhan Three TownsWDDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Shanghai ShenhuaLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Wuhan Three Towns 1 · 1 draw · Shanghai Shenhua 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-20 Shanghai Shenhua 2–2 Wuhan Three Towns
  • 2025-08-31 Wuhan Three Towns 1–0 Shanghai Shenhua
  • 2025-04-19 Shanghai Shenhua 2–0 Wuhan Three Towns
  • 2024-07-29 Wuhan Three Towns 0–2 Shanghai Shenhua
  • 2024-04-09 Shanghai Shenhua 4–1 Wuhan Three Towns
  • 2023-08-13 Wuhan Three Towns 1–2 Shanghai Shenhua
League standing · 2026
Wuhan Three Towns#15 pos22 pts27 pl-7 GD
Shanghai Shenhua#8 pos34 pts27 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Wuhan Three Towns scored1.48
Shanghai Shenhua scored2.19
Wuhan Three Towns conceded1.74
Shanghai Shenhua conceded1.74

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai Shenhua?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai Shenhua is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.35 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua?
In their last 6 meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 1, Shanghai Shenhua won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua?
Recent form — Wuhan Three Towns 1W 3D 1L; Shanghai Shenhua 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →