Beşiktaş v Başakşehir prediction

Süper Lig · · Tupras Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Beşiktaş · Başakşehir · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Beşiktaş v Başakşehir, Süper Lig on Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 637 times (65.8%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Beşiktaş host Başakşehir in the Süper Lig on Monday 26 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Eight of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Beşiktaş have seven wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 0.57. Beşiktaş have scored 16 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Beşiktaş have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Başakşehir’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Başakşehir’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Başakşehir have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 2.00. Başakşehir have scored 12 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Başakşehir have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Başakşehir are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Beşiktaş (fifth) and Başakşehir (10th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Beşiktaş the stronger side, 69 rating points above Başakşehir (Beşiktaş 1733, Başakşehir 1663, after at least 332 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Başakşehir 2–3 Beşiktaş.

Team news

Predicted Beşiktaş XI (4-1-4-1): A. Nübel, E. Agbadou, A. Murillo, R. Yılmaz, E. Topçu, S. Özcan, O. Kökçü, L. Trossard, J. Olaitan, V. Černý, D. Vlahović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dušan Vlahović (4.5 per match over seven appearances, six goals) and Orkun Kökçü (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Beşiktaş’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Beşiktaş (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dušan Vlahović averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 549 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Orkun Kökçü averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1025 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Başakşehir XI (4-2-3-1): M. Şengezer, E. Bayram, J. Opoku, C. Operi, Ö. Şahiner, O. Kemen, A. Skov Olsen, U. Güneş, E. Shomurodov, J. Kałuziński, B. Yıldırım — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Eldor Shomurodov (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Christopher Operi (3.4 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Başakşehir’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Başakşehir (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Eldor Shomurodov averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 1357 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Christopher Operi averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 629 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Süper Lig · Tupras Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Beşiktaş 3 · draws 2 · Başakşehir 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Beşiktaş 3W 0D 2L · Başakşehir 2W 1D 2L

Beşiktaş v Başakşehir (Süper Lig): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.38
Corners
against 3.88 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.5
Cards
against 3.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBeşiktaş for / againstLineBaşakşehir for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5our book
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
18.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
21.5standard
14.5 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Ndidi n 834.8
2.64/2
0.61/1
—
Ü. Akdağ n 870.4
1.96/5
0.64/0
—
Tiago Djaló n 867.9
1.86/3
0.83/1
—
A. Murillo n 889.1
1.67/5
1.37/3
—
Dušan Vlahović n 876.4
1.57/3
0.95/1
—
Beşiktaş — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rashica n 822.9
4.46/2
2.53/1
Oh Hyeon-Gyu n 843.8
3.96/2
2.14/2
Dušan Vlahović n 876.4
3.48/7
2.18/4
I. Fakili n 846.3
2.76/3
1.24/1
Leandro Trossard n 868.1
2.55/5
14/1
Beşiktaş — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dušan Vlahović n 876.4
1.25/2
00/0
Oh Hyeon-Gyu n 843.8
0.82/1
0.31/0
O. Kökçü n 870.8
0.32/0
0.63/1
J. Olaitan n 870.3
00/0
0.63/1
V. Černý n 865.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
Beşiktaş — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Ouattara n 847.6
3.17/2
Ü. Akdağ n 870.4
2.67/5
S. Özcan n 866.9
2.55/4
E. Agbadou n 874.1
2.47/4
Tiago Djaló n 867.9
2.37/4
Beşiktaş — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 890
2.54/3
Başakşehir
Başakşehir — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Yıldırım n 850.3
3.18/6
1.85/3
—
Ö. Şahiner n 858.4
2.55/3
0.84/0
—
D. Selke n 836.4
2.24/2
2.54/3
—
O. Kemen n 883.3
1.87/4
1.57/2
—
U. Bozok n 855.8
1.85/3
2.86/5
—
Başakşehir — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Višća n 816
3.53/1
1.42/0
I. Brnić n 851.3
2.97/3
1.85/2
Y. Sarı n 852.5
2.66/3
0.62/1
D. Selke n 836.4
2.25/1
0.62/0
U. Bozok n 855.8
1.85/2
0.83/1
Başakşehir — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
U. Bozok n 855.8
0.21/0
13/1
E. Shomurodov n 887.5
0.85/1
0.11/0
D. Selke n 836.4
0.62/0
00/0
A. Skov Olsen n 871.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Y. Sarı n 852.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Başakşehir — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Višća n 816
2.82/1
O. Ergün n 822.6
2.53/2
B. Özcan n 852.1
2.45/3
Hamza Güreler n 824.8
2.33/2
A. Fayzullaev n 851.3
24/3
Başakşehir — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Muhammed Şengezer n 890.5
3.47/6
Deniz Dilmen n 690
2.24/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Beşiktaş v Başakşehir — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BeşiktaşWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
BaşakşehirLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Beşiktaş 3 · 2 draws · Başakşehir 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-15 Başakşehir 2–3 Beşiktaş
  • 2025-09-13 Beşiktaş 2–1 Başakşehir
  • 2025-04-12 Beşiktaş 0–2 Başakşehir
  • 2024-11-10 Başakşehir 0–0 Beşiktaş
  • 2024-04-04 Başakşehir 1–1 Beşiktaş
  • 2023-11-12 Beşiktaş 1–0 Başakşehir
League standing · 2026/27
Beşiktaş#5 pos15 pts8 pl+6 GD
Başakşehir#10 pos11 pts8 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Beşiktaş scored2
Başakşehir scored1.5
Beşiktaş conceded1.25
Başakşehir conceded1.5

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Beşiktaş v Başakşehir?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Beşiktaş v Başakşehir is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Beşiktaş and Başakşehir?
In their last 6 meetings, Beşiktaş won 3, Başakşehir won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Beşiktaş and Başakşehir?
Recent form — Beşiktaş 3W 0D 2L; Başakşehir 2W 1D 2L.

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