Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş prediction

Süper Lig · · Papara Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş, Süper Lig on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Trabzonspor host Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig on Monday 19 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Trabzonspor or Beşiktaş (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Trabzonspor have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Beşiktaş have scored in seven consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Trabzonspor have won their last three matches. 11 of Trabzonspor’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Trabzonspor’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Trabzonspor have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.00. Trabzonspor have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Eight of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Beşiktaş have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.14. Beşiktaş have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Beşiktaş have conceded eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Trabzonspor (fifth) and Beşiktaş (third) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Trabzonspor the stronger side, 54 rating points above Beşiktaş (Trabzonspor 1835, Beşiktaş 1781, after at least 331 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Beşiktaş 1–2 Trabzonspor.

Team news

Trabzonspor have five names on the availability list: A. Batagov (out, Knee Injury), M. Kabasakal (out, Red Card), O. Yokuslu (out, Knee Injury), O. Cevikkan (doubtful, Tendon Injury) and P. Onuachu (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Trabzonspor XI (4-2-3-1): A. Onana, S. Savić, C. Nwaiwu, M. Eskihellaç, W. Pina, Fabinho, E. Muçi, A. Simsir, O. Tufan, N. Saviolo, M. Salah — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Mohamed Salah (7.8 per match over eight appearances, eight goals and four assists) and Franculino (5.3 per match over five appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Trabzonspor’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Trabzonspor (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohamed Salah averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 1085 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Franculino averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 772 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Beşiktaş have three names on the availability list: D. Vlahovic (out, Illness), M. Rashica (out, Injury) and V. Cerny (out, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Beşiktaş XI (4-1-4-1): A. Nübel, E. Agbadou, A. Murillo, R. Yılmaz, E. Topçu, O. Kökçü, S. Özcan, L. Trossard, J. Olaitan, W. Ndidi, O. Hyeon-Gyu — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Dušan Vlahović (5.1 per match over six appearances, six goals) and J. Olaitan (4.2 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Beşiktaş’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Beşiktaş (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dušan Vlahović averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 459 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances. J. Olaitan averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 611 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

The referee

C. Aydin takes charge; across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 5.8 yellow cards a game and 0.27 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Süper Lig · Papara Park
  • Referee: C. Aydin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Trabzonspor 1 · draws 2 · Beşiktaş 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Trabzonspor 4W 0D 1L · Beşiktaş 4W 0D 1L

Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş (Süper Lig): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 2.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.5
Corners
against 5.13 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.63 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.82 yellows
Referee · C. Aydin
2.36 home / 3.45 away
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTrabzonspor for / againstLineBeşiktaş for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.25our book
2.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 15.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 15.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 3.25 against n 8

Referee: C. Aydin — 5.82 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 24.73 fouls over 11 matches (2.36 to the home side, 3.45 to the away side).

Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Mendy n 826.5
35/2
0.41/0
—
B. Bouchouari n 871.6
2.26/4
2.76/4
—
S. Akaydin n 871
2.16/5
0.64/0
—
S. Lopes Cabral n 847.6
1.76/1
1.95/3
—
O. Tufan n 840.8
1.73/2
2.24/2
—
Trabzonspor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mohamed Salah n 876.6
3.18/7
1.96/4
Franculino n 852.1
2.86/2
2.24/2
E. Muçi n 854.9
2.35/3
14/1
R. Malinovskyi n 853.9
1.95/2
0.41/1
M. Mimaroğlu n 866.9
1.76/2
1.56/2
Trabzonspor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mohamed Salah n 876.6
1.25/2
0.64/0
Franculino n 852.1
0.93/1
0.42/0
M. Mimaroğlu n 866.9
0.32/0
0.53/0
E. Muçi n 854.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
P. Onuachu n 856.9
0.62/1
00/0
Trabzonspor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Melih Kabasakal n 857.9
3.57/4
B. Mendy n 826.5
3.45/1
Fabinho n 860.8
36/4
T. Jabol-Folcarelli n 876.5
2.46/6
B. Bouchouari n 871.6
2.46/4
Trabzonspor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Onana n 890
4.38/7
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Ndidi n 833.8
2.74/2
0.71/1
—
Ü. Akdağ n 870.4
1.96/5
0.64/0
—
E. Agbadou n 874.1
1.86/4
0.32/0
—
Tiago Djaló n 867.9
1.86/3
0.83/1
—
A. Murillo n 878.9
1.66/4
1.47/3
—
Beşiktaş — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rashica n 822.9
4.46/2
2.53/1
Oh Hyeon-Gyu n 853.4
46/3
2.15/3
Dušan Vlahović n 876.4
3.78/8
2.18/4
V. Černý n 867.3
2.37/4
1.25/1
I. Fakili n 847.9
2.36/2
0.94/0
Beşiktaş — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dušan Vlahović n 876.4
1.25/2
00/0
Oh Hyeon-Gyu n 853.4
0.62/1
0.42/0
O. Kökçü n 870.8
0.32/0
0.63/1
V. Černý n 867.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Olaitan n 865.3
00/0
0.73/1
Beşiktaş — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Ouattara n 847.4
2.86/2
Ü. Akdağ n 870.4
2.67/5
Emirhan Topçu n 880.4
2.55/5
E. Agbadou n 874.1
2.37/4
Tiago Djaló n 867.9
2.37/4
Beşiktaş — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 890
1.93/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TrabzonsporWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
BeşiktaşWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Trabzonspor 1 · 2 draws · Beşiktaş 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 Beşiktaş 1–2 Trabzonspor
  • 2025-12-14 Trabzonspor 3–3 Beşiktaş
  • 2025-02-15 Beşiktaş 2–1 Trabzonspor
  • 2024-09-15 Trabzonspor 1–1 Beşiktaş
  • 2024-05-23 Beşiktaş 3–2 Trabzonspor
  • 2024-02-04 Beşiktaş 2–0 Trabzonspor
League standing · 2026/27
Trabzonspor#5 pos13 pts7 pl+11 GD
Beşiktaş#3 pos15 pts7 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Trabzonspor scored2.29
Beşiktaş scored2.29
Trabzonspor conceded0.71
Beşiktaş conceded1.14

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş?
In their last 6 meetings, Trabzonspor won 1, Beşiktaş won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş?
Recent form — Trabzonspor 4W 0D 1L; Beşiktaş 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →