FC Midtjylland v Lyngby prediction

Superliga · · MCH Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for FC Midtjylland v Lyngby, Superliga on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Midtjylland host Lyngby in the Superliga (Denmark) on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Midtjylland or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Lyngby are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. FC Midtjylland have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, FC Midtjylland have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.71 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.00. FC Midtjylland have scored 19 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Midtjylland have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Six of Lyngby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Lyngby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Lyngby have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.63. Lyngby have scored 15 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lyngby have conceded 24 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

FC Midtjylland (second) and Lyngby (12th) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Midtjylland the stronger side, 477 rating points above Lyngby (FC Midtjylland 1860, Lyngby 1383, after at least 205 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Lyngby. The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Lyngby 1–1 FC Midtjylland.

Team news

Predicted FC Midtjylland XI (3-4-1-2): N. Bakker, R. Kristensen, M. Bech Sorensen, B. Junior, P. Billing, P. Bravo, D. Castillo, K. Wätjen, S. Johannesen, F. Etim, S. Iheanacho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darío Osorio (5.2 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) and Philip Billing (4.1 per match over 15 appearances, three assists) have been FC Midtjylland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Midtjylland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darío Osorio averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1127 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Philip Billing averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1217 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lyngby XI (4-4-2): D. Kochen, M. Fischer, O. Buur, M. Garananga, R. Tytens, L. Sandgrav, G. Fraulo, J. Thomasen, O. Højer, S. Colyn, Í. Þorvaldsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Colyn (5.1 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and two assists) and C. Winther (3.8 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Lyngby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyngby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Colyn averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 812 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. C. Winther averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 672 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Superliga · MCH Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Midtjylland 3 · draws 1 · Lyngby 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L · Lyngby 1W 2D 2L

FC Midtjylland v Lyngby (Superliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.86 / 4.5
Corners
against 4.29 / 5.83 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.71 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.86 / 5.83 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.29 / 2.83
Cards
against 2 / 2.67 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFC Midtjylland for / againstLineLyngby for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.83 against n 6
Shots
12.71 for · 14.86 against n 7
19.5standard
13.5 for · 16.33 against n 6
Shots on target
4.71 for · 3.86 against n 7
8.5standard
4 for · 5.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
12.71 for · 14.86 against n 7
21.5standard
15 for · 13.67 against n 6
Cards shown
1.29 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
2.83 for · 2.67 against n 6
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 533.8
3.74/2
3.24/2
—
Julius Emefile n 534.8
3.63/2
1.63/0
—
F. Etim n 868.6
2.38/4
2.86/5
—
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/4
2.15/3
—
K. Wätjen n 855.6
1.86/3
0.21/0
—
FC Midtjylland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Etim n 868.6
3.46/5
1.84/4
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.55/3
0.83/1
S. Iheanacho n 854.1
2.35/3
0.84/0
Cho Gue-Sung n 849.6
26/3
0.93/1
M. Rajović n 817
21/1
1.31/1
FC Midtjylland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Etim n 868.6
0.74/0
0.53/0
Cho Gue-Sung n 849.6
0.73/0
0.21/0
S. Iheanacho n 854.1
0.63/0
0.21/0
M. Rajović n 817
00/0
0.71/0
D. Castillo n 861.3
0.42/0
00/0
FC Midtjylland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 533.8
3.75/2
Julius Emefile n 534.8
3.12/2
K. Wätjen n 855.6
2.46/3
R. Kristensen n 885.1
2.16/5
D. Osorio n 854.3
1.96/2
FC Midtjylland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Olafsson n 890
2.87/5
N. Bakker n 888.9
2.84/4
Lyngby
Lyngby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Steindorsson n 320.7
5.82/1
2.92/0
—
M. Anderson n 820.4
3.95/1
2.23/1
—
S. Colyn n 880.5
2.88/6
3.58/7
—
C. Allen n 719.9
2.64/0
1.93/0
—
Sanders Ngabo n 820.4
2.24/0
7.78/5
—
Lyngby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Colyn n 880.5
2.77/5
1.14/2
M. Anderson n 820.4
2.23/1
1.12/0
F. Gytkjær n 834.5
23/1
11/1
C. Allen n 719.9
1.92/1
0.61/0
Í. Þorvaldsson n 865.8
1.74/3
0.53/0
Lyngby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Anderson n 820.4
1.12/0
00/0
S. Colyn n 880.5
0.43/0
0.32/0
F. Gytkjær n 834.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Í. Þorvaldsson n 865.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
O. Buur n 883.4
00/0
0.43/0
Lyngby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Allen n 719.9
3.94/2
Oliver Højer n 849.3
37/4
D. F. Kristjansson n 828.3
2.84/1
C. Winther n 872.8
2.37/3
J. Thomasen n 859.5
2.16/3
Lyngby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Kochen n 885
2.85/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Midtjylland v Lyngby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC MidtjyllandWWDWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 3 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
LyngbyWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Midtjylland 3 · 1 draw · Lyngby 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-08-16 Lyngby 1–1 FC Midtjylland
  • 2025-02-16 FC Midtjylland 1–0 Lyngby
  • 2024-08-16 Lyngby 1–2 FC Midtjylland
  • 2023-10-27 FC Midtjylland 2–1 Lyngby
  • 2023-08-06 Lyngby 4–1 FC Midtjylland
  • 2023-05-07 Lyngby 2–1 FC Midtjylland
League standing · 2026/27
FC Midtjylland#2 pos22 pts10 pl+9 GD
Lyngby#12 pos8 pts11 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
FC Midtjylland scored1.9
Lyngby scored1.36
FC Midtjylland conceded1
Lyngby conceded2.18

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win FC Midtjylland v Lyngby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Midtjylland v Lyngby is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Midtjylland and Lyngby?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 3, Lyngby won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Midtjylland and Lyngby?
Recent form — FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L; Lyngby 1W 2D 2L.

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