Viborg v FC Midtjylland prediction
Team pages: Viborg · FC Midtjylland · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Viborg v FC Midtjylland, Superliga on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:00 BST.
The match
Viborg host FC Midtjylland in the Superliga (Denmark) on Monday 19 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Viborg or FC Midtjylland (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Viborg have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).
FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last 15 matches — every result checked. FC Midtjylland have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked.
Form and the table
Seven of Viborg’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Viborg’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Viborg have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.71. Viborg have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Seven of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, FC Midtjylland have four wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 8 away matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 0.63. FC Midtjylland have scored 19 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Midtjylland have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.
Viborg (third) and FC Midtjylland (second) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Midtjylland the stronger side, 46 rating points above Viborg (FC Midtjylland 1860, Viborg 1814, after at least 172 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Viborg are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC Midtjylland. The most recent meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished FC Midtjylland 3–3 Viborg.
Team news
Viborg have four names on the availability list: M. Riahi (out, Knee Injury), R. Mitchell (out, Injury), T. Freriks (out, Knock) and Y. Njoh (out, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Viborg XI (4-3-3): K. Kiilerich, L. Kirkegaard, O. Bundgaard, Ž. Zaletel, H. Bidstrup, J. Grønning, A. Beck, M. Søndergaard, D. Hanza, S. Jalal, C. Nouck — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Thomas Jørgensen (4.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and A. Beck (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Viborg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Viborg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thomas Jørgensen averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 946 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Beck averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 756 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
FC Midtjylland have six names on the availability list: E. Olafsson (out, Illness), Junior Brumado (out, Knee Injury), M. Erlic (out, Foot Injury), M. Gogorza (out, Hip Injury), M. Jensen (out, Foot Injury) and V. Bak (out, Inactive) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted FC Midtjylland XI (3-4-1-2): N. Bakker, R. Kristensen, M. Bech Sorensen, B. Junior, P. Billing, P. Bravo, D. Castillo, K. Wätjen, S. Johannesen, F. Etim, S. Iheanacho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darío Osorio (5.2 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) and Philip Billing (4.1 per match over 15 appearances, three assists) have been FC Midtjylland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Midtjylland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darío Osorio averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1127 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Philip Billing averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1217 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Superliga · Energi Viborg Arena
- Referee: Sandi Putros
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Viborg 1 · draws 3 · FC Midtjylland 2 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Viborg 2W 1D 2L · FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L
TACTIX runs Viborg v FC Midtjylland (Superliga) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Viborg for / against | Line | FC Midtjylland for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 2.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.86 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.57 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.71 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.43 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.71 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.29 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.71 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.57 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.29 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5 |
Viborg
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Coulibaly n 8 | 20.5 | 2.7 | 1.6 | — |
| Dorian Hanza n 8 | 80.8 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| V. Lunddal Friðriksson n 8 | 28.5 | 2 | 0 | — |
| J. Grønning n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 1.5 | — |
| M. Søndergaard n 8 | 66.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen n 8 | 11 | 6.1 | 2 |
| Giulio n 3 | 15.3 | 3.9 | 2 |
| C. Nouck n 8 | 75.4 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Dorian Hanza n 8 | 80.8 | 2 | 1 |
| Frederik Damkjer n 8 | 11.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen n 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| M. Søndergaard n 8 | 66.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Dorian Hanza n 8 | 80.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| C. Nouck n 8 | 75.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Philip Keller n 8 | 16.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Giulio n 3 | 15.3 | 3.9 |
| Philip Keller n 8 | 16.5 | 3.4 |
| J. Grønning n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| Ruben Alte n 8 | 30 | 2.6 |
| O. Bundgaard n 8 | 87.3 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Kiilerich n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
FC Midtjylland
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 5 | 33.8 | 3.7 | 3.2 | — |
| Julius Emefile n 5 | 34.8 | 3.6 | 1.6 | — |
| F. Etim n 8 | 68.6 | 2.3 | 2.8 | — |
| D. Osorio n 8 | 54.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | — |
| K. Wätjen n 8 | 55.6 | 1.8 | 0.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Etim n 8 | 68.6 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| D. Osorio n 8 | 54.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| S. Iheanacho n 8 | 54.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Cho Gue-Sung n 8 | 49.6 | 2 | 0.9 |
| M. Rajović n 8 | 17 | 2 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Etim n 8 | 68.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Cho Gue-Sung n 8 | 49.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| S. Iheanacho n 8 | 54.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| M. Rajović n 8 | 17 | 0 | 0.7 |
| D. Castillo n 8 | 61.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 5 | 33.8 | 3.7 |
| Julius Emefile n 5 | 34.8 | 3.1 |
| K. Wätjen n 8 | 55.6 | 2.4 |
| R. Kristensen n 8 | 85.1 | 2.1 |
| D. Osorio n 8 | 54.3 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Olafsson n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| N. Bakker n 8 | 88.9 | 2.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Viborg v FC Midtjylland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-04 FC Midtjylland 3–3 Viborg
- 2026-03-22 Viborg 1–1 FC Midtjylland
- 2025-12-07 Viborg 3–3 FC Midtjylland
- 2025-09-20 FC Midtjylland 2–0 Viborg
- 2024-11-10 Viborg 1–0 FC Midtjylland
- 2024-09-29 FC Midtjylland 3–1 Viborg
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Viborg v FC Midtjylland?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Viborg v FC Midtjylland is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Viborg and FC Midtjylland?
- In their last 6 meetings, Viborg won 1, FC Midtjylland won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Viborg and FC Midtjylland?
- Recent form — Viborg 2W 1D 2L; FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L.
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