Viborg v FC Midtjylland prediction

Superliga · · Energi Viborg Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Viborg v FC Midtjylland, Superliga on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Viborg host FC Midtjylland in the Superliga (Denmark) on Monday 19 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Viborg or FC Midtjylland (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Viborg have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last 15 matches — every result checked. FC Midtjylland have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked.

Form and the table

Seven of Viborg’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Viborg’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Viborg have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.71. Viborg have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Seven of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, FC Midtjylland have four wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 8 away matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 0.63. FC Midtjylland have scored 19 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Midtjylland have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Viborg (third) and FC Midtjylland (second) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Midtjylland the stronger side, 46 rating points above Viborg (FC Midtjylland 1860, Viborg 1814, after at least 172 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Viborg are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC Midtjylland. The most recent meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished FC Midtjylland 3–3 Viborg.

Team news

Viborg have four names on the availability list: M. Riahi (out, Knee Injury), R. Mitchell (out, Injury), T. Freriks (out, Knock) and Y. Njoh (out, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Viborg XI (4-3-3): K. Kiilerich, L. Kirkegaard, O. Bundgaard, Ž. Zaletel, H. Bidstrup, J. Grønning, A. Beck, M. Søndergaard, D. Hanza, S. Jalal, C. Nouck — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Thomas Jørgensen (4.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and A. Beck (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Viborg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Viborg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thomas Jørgensen averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 946 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Beck averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 756 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

FC Midtjylland have six names on the availability list: E. Olafsson (out, Illness), Junior Brumado (out, Knee Injury), M. Erlic (out, Foot Injury), M. Gogorza (out, Hip Injury), M. Jensen (out, Foot Injury) and V. Bak (out, Inactive) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted FC Midtjylland XI (3-4-1-2): N. Bakker, R. Kristensen, M. Bech Sorensen, B. Junior, P. Billing, P. Bravo, D. Castillo, K. Wätjen, S. Johannesen, F. Etim, S. Iheanacho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darío Osorio (5.2 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) and Philip Billing (4.1 per match over 15 appearances, three assists) have been FC Midtjylland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Midtjylland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darío Osorio averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1127 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Philip Billing averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1217 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Superliga · Energi Viborg Arena
  • Referee: Sandi Putros
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Viborg 1 · draws 3 · FC Midtjylland 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Viborg 2W 1D 2L · FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L

TACTIX runs Viborg v FC Midtjylland (Superliga) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.86 / 4.86
Corners
against 5.29 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.43 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 3.57 / 3.86 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
0.57 / 1.29
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameViborg for / againstLineFC Midtjylland for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
2.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.86 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
14.57 for · 12.57 against n 7
19.5standard
12.71 for · 14.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.43 for · 3.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.71 for · 3.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.29 for · 12.14 against n 7
21.5standard
12.71 for · 14.86 against n 7
Cards shown
0.57 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.29 for · 2 against n 7
Viborg
Viborg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Coulibaly n 820.5
2.74/1
1.63/0
—
Dorian Hanza n 880.8
28/5
0.75/0
—
V. Lunddal Friðriksson n 828.5
24/1
00/0
—
J. Grønning n 890
1.88/5
1.57/3
—
M. Søndergaard n 866.8
1.55/3
0.53/0
—
Viborg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen n 811
6.13/1
22/0
Giulio n 315.3
3.92/0
21/0
C. Nouck n 875.4
2.76/4
0.74/1
Dorian Hanza n 880.8
26/4
16/1
Frederik Damkjer n 811.1
22/0
00/0
Viborg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen n 811
11/0
00/0
M. Søndergaard n 866.8
0.52/1
0.32/0
Dorian Hanza n 880.8
0.64/0
0.11/0
C. Nouck n 875.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
Philip Keller n 816.5
00/0
0.71/0
Viborg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giulio n 315.3
3.92/0
Philip Keller n 816.5
3.45/0
J. Grønning n 890
2.88/5
Ruben Alte n 830
2.65/2
O. Bundgaard n 887.3
2.36/6
Viborg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Kiilerich n 890
2.65/5
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 533.8
3.74/2
3.24/2
—
Julius Emefile n 534.8
3.63/2
1.63/0
—
F. Etim n 868.6
2.38/4
2.86/5
—
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/4
2.15/3
—
K. Wätjen n 855.6
1.86/3
0.21/0
—
FC Midtjylland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Etim n 868.6
3.46/5
1.84/4
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.55/3
0.83/1
S. Iheanacho n 854.1
2.35/3
0.84/0
Cho Gue-Sung n 849.6
26/3
0.93/1
M. Rajović n 817
21/1
1.31/1
FC Midtjylland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Etim n 868.6
0.74/0
0.53/0
Cho Gue-Sung n 849.6
0.73/0
0.21/0
S. Iheanacho n 854.1
0.63/0
0.21/0
M. Rajović n 817
00/0
0.71/0
D. Castillo n 861.3
0.42/0
00/0
FC Midtjylland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 533.8
3.75/2
Julius Emefile n 534.8
3.12/2
K. Wätjen n 855.6
2.46/3
R. Kristensen n 885.1
2.16/5
D. Osorio n 854.3
1.96/2
FC Midtjylland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Olafsson n 890
2.87/5
N. Bakker n 888.9
2.84/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Viborg v FC Midtjylland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ViborgLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FC MidtjyllandWWDWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 3 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Viborg 1 · 3 draws · FC Midtjylland 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-04 FC Midtjylland 3–3 Viborg
  • 2026-03-22 Viborg 1–1 FC Midtjylland
  • 2025-12-07 Viborg 3–3 FC Midtjylland
  • 2025-09-20 FC Midtjylland 2–0 Viborg
  • 2024-11-10 Viborg 1–0 FC Midtjylland
  • 2024-09-29 FC Midtjylland 3–1 Viborg
League standing · 2026/27
Viborg#3 pos20 pts10 pl+9 GD
FC Midtjylland#2 pos22 pts10 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Viborg scored1.7
FC Midtjylland scored1.9
Viborg conceded0.8
FC Midtjylland conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Viborg v FC Midtjylland?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Viborg v FC Midtjylland is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Viborg and FC Midtjylland?
In their last 6 meetings, Viborg won 1, FC Midtjylland won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Viborg and FC Midtjylland?
Recent form — Viborg 2W 1D 2L; FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →