Bayern Munich W v Real Madrid W prediction

UEFA Champions League Women · Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:45 GMT · FC Bayern Campus

Updated 22 Oct 2026, 14:20 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayern Munich W · Real Madrid W

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Bayern Munich W v Real Madrid W, UEFA Champions League Women on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bayern Munich W host Real Madrid W in UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of Bayern Munich W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Bayern Munich W have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Madrid W are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 12 of Bayern Munich W’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Bayern Munich W have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.29.

Eight of Real Madrid W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Real Madrid W’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Real Madrid W have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.86.

Bayern Munich W (fourth) and Real Madrid W (12th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayern Munich W the stronger side, 120 rating points above Real Madrid W (Bayern Munich W 2249, Real Madrid W 2129, after at least 54 rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:45 GMT · UEFA Champions League Women · FC Bayern Campus
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Bayern Munich W 2W 2D 1L · Real Madrid W 2W 2D 1L

Bayern Munich W v Real Madrid W (UEFA Champions League Women): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.5 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 5.13

Corners

against 4.88 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

0.88 / 1.88

Cards

against 1 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bayern Munich W for / against	Line	Real Madrid W for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.88 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	7.75 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5

Bayern Munich W

Bayern Munich W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Georgia Stanway n 8	80	2.1 5/4	1.3 5/3	—
A. Åehitler n 5	22.6	1.6 2/0	0.8 1/0	—
Glodis Viggosdottir n 8	82.8	1.1 4/4	0 0/0	—
L. Schüller n 8	21.4	1.1 2/0	1.1 1/1	—
Bernadette Amani n 4	87	1 3/1	0.3 1/0	—

Bayern Munich W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Pernille Harder n 8	83.8	2.1 8/5	1.3 6/3
J. DamnjanoviÄ n 6	52.7	1.7 4/1	0.3 1/0
A. Åehitler n 5	22.6	1.6 2/0	0.8 1/0
Georgia Stanway n 8	80	1.4 6/3	0.1 1/0
Vanessa Gilles n 8	80.1	1.3 6/3	0.6 4/0

Bayern Munich W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Pernille Harder n 8	83.8	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0
Klara Bühl n 8	88.6	0.1 1/0	1 5/2
A. Åehitler n 5	22.6	0.8 1/0	0 0/0
Linda Dallmann n 8	79.3	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Franziska Kett n 8	85	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0

Bayern Munich W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Åehitler n 5	22.6	6.4 4/3
Franziska Kett n 8	85	3.3 8/7
Linda Dallmann n 8	79.3	2.6 7/6
Bernadette Amani n 4	87	2.3 4/3
Arianna Caruso n 8	43.6	2.3 4/3

Bayern Munich W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ena Mahmutovic n 8	91.1	3.7 7/6

Real Madrid W

Real Madrid W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Athenea del Castillo n 8	56.5	3 6/4	2.6 7/4	—
I. Santiago n 4	17.5	2.6 2/0	1.3 1/0	—
N. Feller n 8	69.6	1.8 7/3	1.6 5/4	—
Paula Comendador n 4	13.8	1.6 1/0	0 0/0	—
F. Angeldahl n 8	87.8	1.2 5/3	0.8 5/1	—

Real Madrid W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Weir n 8	75	2.7 7/5	1.8 6/4
Alba Redondo n 8	49.1	2.5 4/3	1.4 3/2
L. Caicedo n 8	84.9	2.3 6/6	1.3 6/3
N. Feller n 8	69.6	1.8 7/3	1 4/1
S. Däbritz n 8	76.5	1.6 6/3	0.4 3/0

Real Madrid W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alba Redondo n 8	49.1	0.7 2/1	0.2 1/0
C. Weir n 8	75	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
L. Caicedo n 8	84.9	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
S. Holmgaard n 6	53	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Athenea del Castillo n 8	56.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Real Madrid W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Paula Comendador n 4	13.8	9.8 3/1
S. Däbritz n 8	76.5	3.2 7/5
Yasmim n 7	74.9	2.6 6/6
I. Santiago n 4	17.5	2.6 2/0
Eva Navarro n 8	89.9	2.3 7/4

Real Madrid W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Misa n 8	88	3.2 5/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bayern Munich W v Real Madrid W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bayern Munich WWDLDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Real Madrid WLWWDD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Bayern Munich W#4 pos4 pts2 pl+3 GD

Real Madrid W#12 pos2 pts2 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Bayern Munich W scored2.5

Real Madrid W scored1

Bayern Munich W conceded1

Real Madrid W conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Bayern Munich W v Real Madrid W?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayern Munich W v Real Madrid W is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Bayern Munich W and Real Madrid W?: Recent form — Bayern Munich W 2W 2D 1L; Real Madrid W 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 22 Oct 2026, 14:20 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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