Chelsea W v Roma W prediction

UEFA Champions League Women · · Stamford Bridge

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea W · Roma W

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Chelsea W v Roma W, UEFA Champions League Women on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chelsea W host Roma W in UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Chelsea W are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Chelsea W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Chelsea W’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Chelsea W have eight wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.78 points per game, scoring 2.44 and conceding 0.89.

10 of Roma W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Roma W’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Roma W have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 3.29.

Chelsea W (seventh) and Roma W (16th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chelsea W the stronger side, 472 rating points above Roma W (Chelsea W 2307, Roma W 1834, after at least 40 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 December 2025, finished Chelsea W 6–0 Roma W.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, L. James (7.5 per match over four appearances, four goals) and L. Bronze (7.4 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Chelsea W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chelsea W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. James averages 7.2 shots per 90 over 300 minutes. L. Bronze averages 4.5 tackles per 90 over 518 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League Women · Stamford Bridge
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Chelsea W 1 · draws 0 · Roma W 0 · 6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chelsea W 4W 1D 0L · Roma W 1W 2D 2L

Chelsea W v Roma W (UEFA Champions League Women): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.38 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7 / 3.38
Corners
against 2.75 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 8.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 0.88
Cards
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChelsea W for / againstLineRoma W for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 0.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 2.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
19.38 for · 8.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 17 against n 8
Shots on target
6.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 8.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.25 for · 8.38 against n 8
21.5standard
6.88 for · 6.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
Chelsea W
Chelsea W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Hamano n 856.1
2.25/4
0.61/1
—
L. James n 877.5
1.55/3
1.26/2
—
A. Potter n 858.6
1.35/1
0.42/0
—
K. Buchanan n 876.6
1.25/2
0.95/1
—
S. Baltimore n 837.9
1.22/1
0.31/0
—
Chelsea W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. James n 877.5
5.18/8
2.38/5
Aggie Beever-Jones n 847.4
4.35/4
1.24/1
M. Malard n 869.1
3.68/7
1.67/2
S. Nusken n 869
3.47/4
15/1
K. Walsh n 886.9
2.57/7
16/2
Chelsea W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. James n 877.5
0.95/1
0.11/0
M. Hamano n 856.1
0.84/0
0.21/0
K. Walsh n 886.9
0.32/0
0.42/1
S. Nusken n 869
0.53/0
0.21/0
E. Carpenter n 890.3
0.53/1
0.11/0
Chelsea W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Bronze n 888.3
46/6
A. Potter n 858.6
3.38/5
G. Dragoni n 844
3.14/4
W. Kaptein n 862.8
2.56/4
N. Björn n 859.5
2.56/3
Chelsea W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
H. Hampton n 891
2.56/4
Roma W
Roma W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Corelli n 828
4.85/5
1.23/0
—
A. Rieke n 372.7
2.53/2
0.82/0
—
R. Babajide n 347.7
1.91/1
0.61/0
—
V. Bergamaschi n 653.7
1.44/1
0.31/0
—
M. Pandini n 651.7
1.22/2
0.62/0
—
Roma W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Viens n 662.7
4.16/4
2.66/2
E. Haavi n 447.8
3.83/1
1.92/1
A. Corelli n 828
2.84/3
1.64/0
A. Pilgrim n 761
2.75/4
1.34/2
M. Giugliano n 775.7
2.55/3
1.43/2
Roma W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Corelli n 828
1.23/0
0.41/0
E. Haavi n 447.8
0.92/0
0.51/0
E. Viens n 662.7
1.23/1
00/0
Giulia Galli n 333.7
00/0
0.91/0
M. Giugliano n 775.7
0.21/0
0.73/1
Roma W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Kuhl n 847.8
3.35/4
A. Corelli n 828
3.24/1
G. Dragoni n 844
3.14/4
Lucia Di Guglielmo n 878.1
2.67/5
M. Giugliano n 775.7
2.56/6
Roma W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Baldi n 490
6.54/3
O. Lukasova n 491
4.73/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Chelsea W v Roma W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chelsea WWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Roma WDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Chelsea W 1 · 0 draws · Roma W 0 · 6 goals/game
  • 2025-12-10 Chelsea W 6–0 Roma W
League standing · 2026/27
Chelsea W#7 pos4 pts2 pl+1 GD
Roma W#16 pos1 pts2 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Chelsea W scored0.5
Roma W scored0
Chelsea W conceded0
Roma W conceded3

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Chelsea W v Roma W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea W v Roma W is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea W and Roma W?
In their last 1 meetings, Chelsea W won 1, Roma W won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea W and Roma W?
Recent form — Chelsea W 4W 1D 0L; Roma W 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

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