Lyon W v Inter Milano W prediction

UEFA Champions League Women · · Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Lyon W v Inter Milano W, UEFA Champions League Women on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4561 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lyon W host Inter Milano W in UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Lyon W or Inter Milano W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

13 of Lyon W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in seven of Lyon W’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Lyon W have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 0.86.

Three of Inter Milano W’s last 6 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (50%). Both teams scored in four of Inter Milano W’s last 6 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Inter Milano W have one win, one draw and two defeats in their last 4 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50.

Inter Milano W are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Lyon W (second) and Inter Milano W (sixth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lyon W the stronger side, 490 rating points above Inter Milano W (Lyon W 2317, Inter Milano W 1827, after at least six rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League Women · Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Lyon W 2W 1D 2L · Inter Milano W 3W 1D 1L

Lyon W v Inter Milano W (UEFA Champions League Women): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 1.67
Goals
against 1 / 1.17 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 6 matches
7.75 / 3
Corners
against 2.5 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
6.13 / 2.17
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 2.33 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.38 / 1.83
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.67 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLyon W for / againstLineInter Milano W for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.67 for · 1.17 against n 6
Corners won
7.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3 for · 3.5 against n 6
Shots
20 for · 7.5 against n 8
19.5standard
6.67 for · 7.17 against n 6
Shots on target
6.13 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
2.17 for · 2.33 against n 6
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
5.67 for · 8.5 against n 6
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.83 for · 2.67 against n 6
Lyon W
Lyon W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Damaris Berta Egurrola n 851.6
2.45/3
0.21/0
—
Sofie Svava n 467.3
2.33/2
0.31/0
—
Kadidiatou Diani n 873.6
1.86/3
0.64/0
—
Marie-Antoinette Katoto n 829.5
1.53/1
1.13/0
—
Melchie Dumornay n 882.5
1.46/2
1.16/2
—
Lyon W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ines Benyahia n 312.7
7.12/1
2.41/0
Korbin Shrader n 847.6
3.37/4
0.73/0
Melchie Dumornay n 882.5
37/5
1.24/3
Tabitha Chawinga n 865.5
2.68/5
1.56/2
Vicki Bècho n 831.4
2.53/2
1.12/1
Lyon W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lindsey Heaps n 881.1
0.85/1
0.32/0
Kadidiatou Diani n 873.6
0.52/1
0.53/0
Tabitha Chawinga n 865.5
0.74/0
0.31/1
Jule Brand n 861.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
Marie-Antoinette Katoto n 829.5
0.41/0
0.41/0
Lyon W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jule Brand n 861.5
47/5
Korbin Shrader n 847.6
3.36/5
Sofie Svava n 467.3
33/2
Vicki Bècho n 831.4
2.95/3
Damaris Berta Egurrola n 851.6
2.66/3
Lyon W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Claudia Endler n 895
1.53/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lyon W v Inter Milano W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Lyon WLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Inter Milano WWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Lyon W#2 pos4 pts2 pl+8 GD
Inter Milano W#6 pos4 pts2 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Lyon W scored4
Inter Milano W scored1
Lyon W conceded0
Inter Milano W conceded0.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Lyon W v Inter Milano W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lyon W v Inter Milano W is Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Lyon W and Inter Milano W?
Recent form — Lyon W 2W 1D 2L; Inter Milano W 3W 1D 1L.

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