Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha prediction

UEFA Champions League · · Chobani Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha, UEFA Champions League on Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.70 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 199 landed (95% range 71.6–83.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Fenerbahçe host Slavia Praha in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 20 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Fenerbahçe to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Slavia Praha are winless in their last 15 matches — every result checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Fenerbahçe’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Fenerbahçe’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Fenerbahçe have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 0.86.

10 of Slavia Praha’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Slavia Praha’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Slavia Praha have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.14 points per game, scoring 0.14 and conceding 2.14.

Fenerbahçe (28th) and Slavia Praha (31st) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Fenerbahçe the stronger side, 357 rating points above Slavia Praha (Fenerbahçe 1729, Slavia Praha 1372, after at least 20 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 November 2024, finished Slavia Praha 1–2 Fenerbahçe.

Team news

Predicted Fenerbahçe XI (4-2-3-1): M. Günok, M. Škriniar, N. Aké, N. Semedo, A. Brown, M. Guendouzi, N. Kanté, K. Aktürkoğlu, M. Greenwood, İ. Kahveci, Talisca — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Talisca (5.3 per match over seven appearances, five goals) and Vedat Muriqi (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, eight goals and one assist) have been Fenerbahçe’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fenerbahçe (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Talisca averages 4.5 shots per 90 over 564 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Vedat Muriqi averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 969 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Slavia Praha XI (4-4-2): J. Markovič, T. Vlček, D. Zima, Š. Chaloupek, A. N'Guessan, D. Šturm, E. Ayaosi, M. Sadílek, W. Nowak, M. Chytil, T. Chorý — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Chobani Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Fenerbahçe 1 · draws 0 · Slavia Praha 2 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fenerbahçe 3W 1D 1L · Slavia Praha 0W 0D 5L

Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha (UEFA Champions League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.88
Corners
against 4.63 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 7.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFenerbahçe for / againstLineSlavia Praha for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
0.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 17.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 7.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
15.88 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
İ. Yüksek n 862.5
2.26/5
0.94/1
—
İ. Kahveci n 863.4
25/3
1.15/1
—
M. Guendouzi n 885.4
1.66/4
0.94/2
—
B. Elmaz n 833.3
1.44/0
0.31/0
—
Nélson Semedo n 880.5
1.35/4
0.75/0
—
Fenerbahçe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 880
3.48/8
1.45/3
V. Muriqi n 861.1
2.85/4
2.24/3
O. Aydın n 854.5
2.56/3
0.63/0
R. Lukaku n 838.3
2.45/2
1.24/0
B. Elmaz n 833.3
2.44/2
13/0
Fenerbahçe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Muriqi n 861.1
1.13/1
00/0
İ. Kahveci n 863.4
0.42/0
0.52/1
K. Aktürkoğlu n 847.9
0.21/0
0.73/0
R. Lukaku n 838.3
0.62/0
0.31/0
O. Aydın n 854.5
0.21/0
0.63/0
Fenerbahçe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
İ. Yüksek n 862.5
58/6
M. Müldür n 847.5
3.36/3
N. Kanté n 884.5
2.36/4
N. Dorgeles n 825.4
2.24/1
L. Mercan n 838.8
25/1
Fenerbahçe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ederson n 890.1
3.26/5
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Mbodji n 841.8
34/4
0.52/0
—
T. Chorý n 840.8
35/3
1.95/2
—
C. Zafeiris n 871.5
2.48/4
1.13/2
—
J. Bořil n 868.1
26/3
0.21/0
—
D. Moses n 676.2
1.85/4
2.25/3
—
Slavia Praha — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Provod n 872.4
2.26/4
0.82/1
M. Cham n 823.3
1.93/1
12/0
D. Šturm n 889
1.45/4
0.64/1
D. Douděra n 869.9
1.13/2
0.31/1
E. Mbodji n 841.8
1.12/2
0.52/0
Slavia Praha — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Šturm n 889
0.42/1
0.32/0
D. Douděra n 869.9
0.21/0
0.32/0
M. Cham n 823.3
00/0
0.51/0
M. Sadílek n 867.5
0.21/0
00/0
T. Holeš n 856.1
00/0
0.21/0
Slavia Praha — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Youssoupha Sanyang n 861.1
4.87/5
D. Moses n 676.2
4.56/6
Wiktor Nowak n 872.1
4.18/5
E. Mbodji n 841.8
2.75/2
C. Zafeiris n 871.5
2.46/6
Slavia Praha — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Staněk n 890
58/6
J. Markovič n 695
3.24/4

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FenerbahçeDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Slavia PrahaLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Fenerbahçe 1 · 0 draws · Slavia Praha 2 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2024-11-28 Slavia Praha 1–2 Fenerbahçe
  • 2022-02-24 Slavia Praha 3–2 Fenerbahçe
  • 2022-02-17 Fenerbahçe 2–3 Slavia Praha
League standing · 2026/27
Fenerbahçe#28 pos1 pts2 pl-6 GD
Slavia Praha#31 pos0 pts2 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Fenerbahçe scored0.5
Slavia Praha scored1
Fenerbahçe conceded3.5
Slavia Praha conceded2.5

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha is Home win (best price 1.70 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha?
In their last 3 meetings, Fenerbahçe won 1, Slavia Praha won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha?
Recent form — Fenerbahçe 3W 1D 1L; Slavia Praha 0W 0D 5L.

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