Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk prediction
Team pages: Inter · Shakhtar Donetsk · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Inter host Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 21 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Inter have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked.
Shakhtar Donetsk are unbeaten in their last seven matches. Shakhtar Donetsk have scored in seven consecutive matches.
Form and the table
11 of Inter’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Inter’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Inter have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.57.
Nine of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Shakhtar Donetsk have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 away matches — 2.71 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 0.57.
Inter (29th) and Shakhtar Donetsk (11th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shakhtar Donetsk the stronger side, 46 rating points above Inter (Shakhtar Donetsk 1724, Inter 1678, after at least 58 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Inter are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Shakhtar Donetsk, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 24 November 2021, finished Inter 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk.
Team news
Predicted Inter XI (4-4-2): J. Martínez, Y. Bisseck, A. Bastoni, M. Akanji, C. Jones, A. Diouf, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, P. Zieliński, L. Martínez, M. Thuram — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Lautaro Martínez (5.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) and Carlos Augusto (4.8 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Inter’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Inter (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lautaro Martínez averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1203 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Carlos Augusto averages 0.5 tackles per 90 over 348 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last six appearances.
Predicted Shakhtar Donetsk XI (4-4-2): D. Riznyk, V. Bondar, M. Matvienko, V. Tobias, P. Henrique, O. Ocheretko, A. Santana, M. Gomes, G. Mendoza, K. Elias, N. Palmares — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, G. Mendoza (3.4 per match over four appearances, two goals and one assist) and Dmytro Riznyk (2.9 per match over six appearances) have been Shakhtar Donetsk’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Shakhtar Donetsk (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Mendoza averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 385 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last seven appearances. Dmytro Riznyk averages 1.0 saves per 90 over 630 minutes, with two or more saves in two of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Inter 2 · draws 3 · Shakhtar Donetsk 0 · 1.4 goals/game
- Recent form: Inter 3W 1D 1L · Shakhtar Donetsk 5W 0D 0L
As of 18 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Inter for / against | Line | Shakhtar Donetsk for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.75our book | 2 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7 for · 2.5 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots | 23.75 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.75 for · 8 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 8.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 2.5 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.75 for · 3 against n 4 Last 5 |
Inter
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thuram n 8 | 62 | 2.2 | 1.6 | — |
| F. Esposito n 8 | 47.4 | 2.1 | 3.3 | — |
| A. Bonny n 8 | 21.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| B. Pavard n 8 | 66.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.1 | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| M. Thuram n 8 | 62 | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| A. Bonny n 8 | 21.4 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 67 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| H. Mkhitaryan n 8 | 51.5 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| A. Bonny n 8 | 21.4 | 1.6 | 0 |
| M. Thuram n 8 | 62 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Carlos Augusto n 8 | 66 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| F. Esposito n 8 | 47.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bonny n 8 | 21.4 | 4.7 |
| D. Spence n 8 | 46 | 4.2 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu n 8 | 53.3 | 2.5 |
| Y. Bisseck n 8 | 79.9 | 2.1 |
| M. Akanji n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Josep Martínez n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon Gomes n 8 | 70.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | — |
| L. Traore n 8 | 45.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | — |
| Oleg Ocheretko n 8 | 65.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | — |
| Yehor Nazaryna n 8 | 48.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | — |
| P. Obah n 8 | 48.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mendoza n 8 | 59.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Luca Meirelles n 8 | 36.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Bruninho n 8 | 51.1 | 2 | 1.3 |
| Alisson Santana n 8 | 79 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mendoza n 8 | 59.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Luca Meirelles n 8 | 36.4 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Pedrinho n 8 | 57 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Lucas Ferreira n 8 | 31.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Gabriel Carvalho n 8 | 34.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marlon Gomes n 8 | 70.3 | 2.6 |
| Oleg Ocheretko n 8 | 65.4 | 2.6 |
| A. Matturro n 8 | 50.9 | 1.3 |
| Vinícius Tobias n 8 | 73.4 | 1.1 |
| G. Mendoza n 8 | 59.4 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Dmytro Riznyk n 8 | 90 | 0.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2021-11-24 Inter 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
- 2021-09-28 Shakhtar Donetsk 0–0 Inter
- 2020-12-09 Inter 0–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
- 2020-10-27 Shakhtar Donetsk 0–0 Inter
- 2020-08-17 Inter 5–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk?
- In their last 5 meetings, Inter won 2, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk?
- Recent form — Inter 3W 1D 1L; Shakhtar Donetsk 5W 0D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.