Brighton v Kauno Žalgiris prediction
Team pages: Brighton · Kauno Žalgiris
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Brighton v Kauno Žalgiris, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Brighton host Kauno Žalgiris in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Brighton to win, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Brighton have scored in eight consecutive matches. Brighton are unbeaten in their last five matches.
Form and the table
11 of Brighton’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in five of Brighton’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Brighton have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 0.57.
Seven of Kauno Žalgiris’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Kauno Žalgiris’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Kauno Žalgiris have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 2.00.
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, Mats Wieffer (5.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Pascal Groß (5.7 per match over nine appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mats Wieffer averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 362 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances. Pascal Groß averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 898 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Amex Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Brighton 4W 1D 0L · Kauno Žalgiris 2W 0D 3L
TACTIX runs Brighton v Kauno Žalgiris (UEFA Europa Conference League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 12 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Brighton for / against | Line | Kauno Žalgiris for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 3.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 4.25our book | 0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 6.5 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots | 18.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 6.75 for · 3 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 4.75 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 15.33 for · 6.67 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.75 against n 4 Last 5 |
Brighton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José María Andrés Baixauli n 8 | 60.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 | — |
| P. David n 8 | 28.5 | 2.4 | 0.8 | — |
| M. Svoboda n 8 | 72.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Hadjam n 8 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Costinha n 8 | 29 | 1.9 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. David n 8 | 28.5 | 3.9 | 0.8 |
| C. Kostoulas n 8 | 67.1 | 2.8 | 1 |
| J. Hinshelwood n 8 | 71.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| G. Rutter n 8 | 30.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| D. Gómez n 8 | 77.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Groß n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| J. Hinshelwood n 8 | 71.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| P. David n 8 | 28.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| C. Kostoulas n 8 | 67.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| G. Rutter n 8 | 30.9 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Gómez n 8 | 77.3 | 3.3 |
| J. Hadjam n 8 | 48.1 | 2.6 |
| M. Wieffer n 8 | 64.4 | 2.3 |
| G. Rutter n 8 | 30.9 | 2.2 |
| M. Svoboda n 8 | 72.5 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Steele n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| B. Verbruggen n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Kauno Žalgiris
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Burba n 7 | 22 | 1.2 | 0.6 | — |
| F. Baldassarra n 8 | 44.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | — |
| N. Iyobosa Edokpolor n 8 | 62.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Moutachy n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 1.4 | — |
| F. Ourega n 8 | 72.5 | 0.5 | 3.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Burba n 7 | 22 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Vykintas Slivka n 8 | 65.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| J. Moutachy n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| N. Iyobosa Edokpolor n 8 | 62.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| F. Baldassarra n 8 | 44.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vykintas Slivka n 8 | 65.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| N. Iyobosa Edokpolor n 8 | 62.8 | 0 | 0.2 |
| J. Moutachy n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| T. Svedkauskas n 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Ourega n 8 | 72.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Burba n 7 | 22 | 1.8 |
| J. Moutachy n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
| N. Iyobosa Edokpolor n 8 | 62.8 | 1.4 |
| Vykintas Slivka n 8 | 65.6 | 1 |
| L. Racic n 8 | 24.6 | 0.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Brighton v Kauno Žalgiris — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Brighton v Kauno Žalgiris?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton v Kauno Žalgiris is Home win (best price 1.04 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of Brighton and Kauno Žalgiris?
- Recent form — Brighton 4W 1D 0L; Kauno Žalgiris 2W 0D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.