FC Nordsjaelland v CSKA Sofia prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Right to Dream Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Nordsjaelland · CSKA Sofia

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for FC Nordsjaelland v CSKA Sofia, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 199 landed (95% range 71.6–83.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Nordsjaelland host CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Nordsjaelland to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

CSKA Sofia have lost their last four matches.

Form and the table

FC Nordsjaelland are winless in their last three matches. Seven of FC Nordsjaelland’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of FC Nordsjaelland’s last 15 results (33%). At home, FC Nordsjaelland have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.14.

Seven of CSKA Sofia’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in four of CSKA Sofia’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, CSKA Sofia have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.43.

FC Nordsjaelland (17th) and CSKA Sofia (28th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Nordsjaelland the stronger side, 525 rating points above CSKA Sofia (FC Nordsjaelland 1864, CSKA Sofia 1339, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Justin Janssen (4.5 per match over 17 appearances, one goal and one assist) and P. Amoako (4.4 per match over 15 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been FC Nordsjaelland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Nordsjaelland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Justin Janssen averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1327 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. P. Amoako averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 999 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Right to Dream Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: FC Nordsjaelland 2W 2D 1L · CSKA Sofia 1W 0D 4L

FC Nordsjaelland v CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.29 / 3.57
Corners
against 4 / 1.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 3.43
Shots on target
against 5 / 2.71 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 3.71
Cards
against 1.57 / 1.43 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFC Nordsjaelland for / againstLineCSKA Sofia for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 4 against n 7
9.5standard
3.57 for · 1.43 against n 7
Shots
14.86 for · 16.71 against n 7
19.5standard
3 for · 1.43 against n 7
Shots on target
3.86 for · 5 against n 7
8.5standard
3.43 for · 2.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.71 for · 11.57 against n 7
21.5standard
8 for · 7.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.29 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
3.71 for · 1.43 against n 7
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ibrahim Adel n 868.9
2.18/3
1.86/3
—
V. Berthelsen n 832.5
2.14/2
12/1
—
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen n 836.8
1.85/1
0.31/0
—
Noah Markmann n 884.4
1.57/3
0.73/1
—
A. Lind n 860.8
1.54/2
27/3
—
FC Nordsjaelland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Amoako n 858.3
3.18/5
1.77/2
O. Solbakken n 867.4
35/5
25/5
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen n 836.8
2.45/2
2.15/1
A. Lind n 860.8
2.27/4
0.95/0
V. Berthelsen n 832.5
2.14/2
0.31/0
FC Nordsjaelland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen n 836.8
1.24/0
00/0
A. Lind n 860.8
0.63/0
0.42/0
M. Walker n 834.4
12/1
00/0
O. Solbakken n 867.4
0.73/1
0.21/0
N. Røjkjær n 849.6
0.52/0
0.21/0
FC Nordsjaelland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Justin Janssen n 890
3.98/7
Ibrahim Adel n 868.9
2.18/3
Lamine Sadio n 837.8
2.14/2
V. Berthelsen n 832.5
2.15/1
V. Nelsson n 889.1
24/3
FC Nordsjaelland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Hansen n 890
3.68/6
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Itu n 431
3.63/2
0.71/0
—
S. Godoy n 645.5
24/2
12/1
—
M. Ebong n 886.8
1.86/5
1.26/3
—
Léo Pereira n 880.9
1.76/3
2.17/5
—
I. Solet Bomawoko n 542.6
1.72/2
0.41/0
—
CSKA Sofia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Pittas n 882.4
2.97/6
1.45/4
Léo Pereira n 880.9
2.46/5
1.45/3
S. Sensi n 831
2.25/1
0.72/0
J. Zwarts n 659
25/2
1.55/1
S. Godoy n 645.5
23/2
0.31/0
CSKA Sofia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Zwarts n 659
0.83/0
00/0
S. Sensi n 831
0.41/0
0.41/0
I. Pittas n 882.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
Léo Pereira n 880.9
0.42/1
00/0
Bruno Jordão n 750.9
0.31/0
00/0
CSKA Sofia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Itu n 431
3.63/1
Á. Martino n 889.5
2.58/7
Pastor n 889.9
27/4
Bruno Jordão n 750.9
1.53/2
S. Sensi n 831
1.52/2
CSKA Sofia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fedor Lapoukhov n 890
3.67/5

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Nordsjaelland v CSKA Sofia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC NordsjaellandWWLDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
CSKA SofiaWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
FC Nordsjaelland#17 pos1 pts1 pl0 GD
CSKA Sofia#28 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
FC Nordsjaelland scored1
CSKA Sofia scored1
FC Nordsjaelland conceded1
CSKA Sofia conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win FC Nordsjaelland v CSKA Sofia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Nordsjaelland v CSKA Sofia is Home win.
What is the recent form of FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia?
Recent form — FC Nordsjaelland 2W 2D 1L; CSKA Sofia 1W 0D 4L.

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