Ilves v FC Differdange 03 result

Full-time · Ilves 3–1 FC Differdange 03

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Tammelan Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ilves 3–1 FC Differdange 03 — Ilves won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 1309 landed (95% range 64.6–69.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ilves beat FC Differdange 03 3–1 at Tammelan Stadion in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 July.

FC Differdange 03 are winless in their last four matches.

The goals

Ilves came from behind: FC Differdange 03 led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FC Differdange 03: S. Thill (45’, assisted by E. Rivas); Ilves: Y. Raap (57’, assisted by Jardell Kanga), Jardell Kanga (68’ pen) and Roope Riski (75’, assisted by Jardell Kanga). Y. Raap (68’), J. Bedouret (69’) and Gustavo Vintecinco (69’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jardell Kanga’s goal on 68 minutes.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or FC Differdange 03, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.2% of the time in the last 90 days (880 of 1309).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Result: Ilves 3–1 FC Differdange 03 · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: Tammelan Stadion · Tampere
  • Referee: J. Sundberg
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Ilves 0 · draws 1 · FC Differdange 03 0 · 0 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ilves 1W 2D 2L · FC Differdange 03 1W 1D 3L

Ilves 3–1 FC Differdange 03 (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ilves v FC Differdange 03 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
IlvesLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
FC Differdange 03LWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Ilves 0 · 1 draw · FC Differdange 03 0 · 0 goals/game
  • 2026-07-08 FC Differdange 03 0–0 Ilves
Goals per game
Ilves scored0.8
FC Differdange 03 scored1.2
Ilves conceded2.8
FC Differdange 03 conceded1.4

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Ilves v FC Differdange 03?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ilves v FC Differdange 03 was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and FC Differdange 03?
In their last 1 meetings, Ilves won 0, FC Differdange 03 won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ilves and FC Differdange 03?
Recent form — Ilves 1W 2D 2L; FC Differdange 03 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →