Lincoln Red Imps FC v Twente prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Europa Point Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 1309 landed (95% range 64.5–69.6%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lincoln Red Imps FC host Twente in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Twente, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Twente are unbeaten in their last eight matches. Twente have scored in eight consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Nine of Lincoln Red Imps FC’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Lincoln Red Imps FC’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Lincoln Red Imps FC have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.00.

Nine of Twente’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Twente’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Twente have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.57.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Twente the stronger side, 224 rating points above Lincoln Red Imps FC (Twente 1707, Lincoln Red Imps FC 1483, after at least 15 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Daouda Weidmann (6.5 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and five assists) and Wout Weghorst (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Twente’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Twente (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daouda Weidmann averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 942 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Wout Weghorst averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1111 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Europa Point Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1W 1D 3L · Twente 4W 1D 0L

TACTIX runs Lincoln Red Imps FC v Twente (UEFA Europa Conference League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 7.5
Corners
against 8.25 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 4 matches
3.75 / 7.5
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 3 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 4 matches
3.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 3.25 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 4 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLincoln Red Imps FC for / againstLineTwente for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 8.25 against n 4
9.5standard
7.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
1 for · 4.25 against n 4
19.5standard
20.75 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5.5 against n 4
8.5standard
7.5 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 13 against n 4
21.5standard
11.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
3.75 for · 3.25 against n 4
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Torrilla n 881.4
2.17/4
2.27/6
—
Mandi n 879.8
1.88/3
2.87/6
—
K. Gómez n 861.1
1.86/4
1.86/3
—
Joe n 470.5
12/1
00/0
—
Toni García n 778
0.83/2
0.53/0
—
Lincoln Red Imps FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Gómez n 861.1
1.75/2
0.74/0
Nano n 875.1
1.35/3
0.32/0
Toni García n 778
15/1
0.32/0
Alvaro Romero n 335.7
0.81/0
0.81/0
Christian Rutjens n 582.6
0.72/1
0.42/0
Lincoln Red Imps FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Gómez n 861.1
0.63/0
00/0
Joe n 470.5
00/0
0.31/0
Christian Rutjens n 582.6
0.21/0
00/0
Jaylan Hankins n 889
00/0
00/0
G. Torrilla n 881.4
00/0
00/0
Lincoln Red Imps FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Torrilla n 881.4
3.57/6
Mandi n 879.8
2.17/4
Nano n 875.1
1.95/5
Toni García n 778
1.54/4
Christian Rutjens n 582.6
0.92/1
Lincoln Red Imps FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jaylan Hankins n 889
47/6
Twente
Twente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Guilherme Martinho Peixoto n 418.3
6.24/1
1.21/0
—
M. Kjølø n 834.1
2.35/1
1.34/0
—
D. Rots n 859
2.15/3
1.15/1
—
W. Weghorst n 889.8
1.66/4
26/4
—
A. Adelgaard n 876.5
1.56/4
0.73/1
—
Twente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Thorvaldsen n 824.4
4.25/2
2.83/2
Filip Thorvaldsen n 847.1
3.67/4
2.46/3
W. Weghorst n 889.8
2.88/7
27/5
Y. Taha n 885.4
2.48/6
0.96/1
S. Ørjasæter n 874.6
2.37/6
1.15/1
Twente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pjaca n 842.3
0.83/0
0.31/0
W. Weghorst n 889.8
0.65/0
0.43/0
Y. Taha n 885.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
Filip Thorvaldsen n 847.1
0.51/1
0.21/0
D. Weidmann n 879.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
Twente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. van den Belt n 819.3
2.93/1
M. Kjølø n 834.1
2.64/3
A. Adelgaard n 876.5
2.47/4
R. Zerrouki n 892.9
2.16/4
D. Rots n 859
2.16/2
Twente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Drommel n 889.1
3.25/4
L. Unnerstall n 893.8
2.37/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lincoln Red Imps FC v Twente — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Lincoln Red Imps FCDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
TwenteWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Lincoln Red Imps FC#29 pos0 pts0 pl0 GD
Twente#19 pos0 pts0 pl0 GD

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln Red Imps FC v Twente is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente?
Recent form — Lincoln Red Imps FC 1W 1D 3L; Twente 4W 1D 0L.

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