St. Truiden v FC Iberia 1999 prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Daio Wasabi Stayen

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for St. Truiden v FC Iberia 1999, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.32 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 189 landed (95% range 71.3–83.1%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

St. Truiden host FC Iberia 1999 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is St. Truiden to win.

Form and the table

St. Truiden have lost their last three matches. Nine of St. Truiden’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of St. Truiden’s last 15 results (53%). At home, St. Truiden have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00.

Eight of FC Iberia 1999’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of FC Iberia 1999’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, FC Iberia 1999 have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.63.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Ilias Sebaoui (5.3 per match over eight appearances, two goals and three assists) and Abdoulaye Sissako (5.0 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been St. Truiden’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for St. Truiden (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ilias Sebaoui averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 709 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. Abdoulaye Sissako averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 705 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Daio Wasabi Stayen
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: St. Truiden 1W 0D 4L · FC Iberia 1999 1W 2D 2L

TACTIX runs St. Truiden v FC Iberia 1999 (UEFA Europa Conference League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 13 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 2 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.75 / 6.25
Corners
against 3 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
4.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2.25 / 3.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 4 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSt. Truiden for / againstLineFC Iberia 1999 for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
3our book
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 3 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 2.25 against n 4
Shots
15.63 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
5.25 for · 4.25 against n 4
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.5 against n 4
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 16.25 against n 4
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3.5 for · 1.5 against n 4
St. Truiden
St. Truiden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nelson Ishiwatari n 851.9
36/5
1.54/2
—
S. Shinkawa n 815.6
2.93/1
1.41/1
—
N. Mbuku n 840
24/2
2.85/3
—
Samed Baždar n 854.1
1.96/3
14/1
—
I. Sebaoui n 888.6
1.57/4
1.97/5
—
St. Truiden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Samed Baždar n 854.1
3.36/5
1.55/2
I. Sebaoui n 888.6
2.98/6
0.84/2
Frederic Soelle Soelle n 872
2.37/4
1.45/2
N. Mbuku n 840
2.34/2
1.14/0
Oumar Diouf n 824.4
2.34/1
0.92/0
St. Truiden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Merlen n 876.8
0.42/1
0.63/1
Samed Baždar n 854.1
13/2
00/0
I. Sebaoui n 888.6
0.32/0
0.42/1
K. Matsuzawa n 843.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
Frederic Soelle Soelle n 872
0.53/0
00/0
St. Truiden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nelson Ishiwatari n 851.9
4.68/4
W. Janssens n 831.1
3.37/2
A. Sissako n 888.1
2.88/7
N. Mbuku n 840
2.85/3
V. Musliu n 881.1
2.47/5
St. Truiden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Kokubo n 884.4
3.75/5
FC Iberia 1999
FC Iberia 1999 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Kutsia n 841.5
1.93/3
1.13/1
—
V. Selimović n 571.2
1.84/2
0.31/0
—
I. Alhassan n 836.8
0.62/0
0.62/0
—
G. Makaridze n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
FC Iberia 1999 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Alhassan n 836.8
2.14/2
0.31/0
V. Selimović n 571.2
0.81/1
00/0
G. Kutsia n 841.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
G. Makaridze n 890
00/0
00/0
FC Iberia 1999 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Alhassan n 836.8
00/0
0.31/0
G. Makaridze n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Selimović n 571.2
00/0
00/0
G. Kutsia n 841.5
00/0
00/0
FC Iberia 1999 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Alhassan n 836.8
1.53/1
G. Kutsia n 841.5
0.83/0
V. Selimović n 571.2
0.31/0
FC Iberia 1999 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Makaridze n 890
1.44/1

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind St. Truiden v FC Iberia 1999 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
St. TruidenLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
FC Iberia 1999DDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
St. Truiden#6 pos0 pts0 pl0 GD
FC Iberia 1999#34 pos0 pts0 pl0 GD

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win St. Truiden v FC Iberia 1999?
TACTIX’s free model pick for St. Truiden v FC Iberia 1999 is Home win (best price 1.32 at Betano).
What is the recent form of St. Truiden and FC Iberia 1999?
Recent form — St. Truiden 1W 0D 4L; FC Iberia 1999 1W 2D 2L.

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