Trabzonspor v Heart of Midlothian prediction
Team pages: Trabzonspor · Heart of Midlothian
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Trabzonspor v Heart of Midlothian, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.
The match
Trabzonspor host Heart of Midlothian in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Trabzonspor or Heart of Midlothian (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Both teams scored in 12 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).
Heart of Midlothian have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
11 of Trabzonspor’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Trabzonspor’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Trabzonspor have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.00.
11 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Heart of Midlothian have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.57.
Trabzonspor have won their last three matches in all competitions. Trabzonspor (third) and Heart of Midlothian (19th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Trabzonspor the stronger side, 46 rating points above Heart of Midlothian (Trabzonspor 1613, Heart of Midlothian 1567, after at least nine rated matches each).
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, Mohamed Salah (7.8 per match over eight appearances, eight goals and four assists) and Franculino (5.3 per match over five appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Trabzonspor’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Trabzonspor (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohamed Salah averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 1085 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Franculino averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 772 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.
By TACTIX Impact, Josh Mcpake (6.3 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and five assists) and L. Mendy (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) have been Heart of Midlothian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Heart of Midlothian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Mcpake averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 863 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. L. Mendy averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 793 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Papara Park
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Trabzonspor 4W 0D 1L · Heart of Midlothian 1W 2D 2L
Trabzonspor v Heart of Midlothian (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Trabzonspor for / against | Line | Heart of Midlothian for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.71 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.38 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.71 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.29 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.38 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.57 for · 16 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.86 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
Trabzonspor
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mendy n 8 | 26.5 | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| B. Bouchouari n 8 | 71.6 | 2.2 | 2.7 | — |
| S. Akaydin n 8 | 71 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| S. Lopes Cabral n 8 | 47.6 | 1.7 | 1.9 | — |
| O. Tufan n 8 | 40.8 | 1.7 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Salah n 8 | 76.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Franculino n 8 | 52.1 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| E. Muçi n 8 | 54.9 | 2.3 | 1 |
| R. Malinovskyi n 8 | 53.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| M. Mimaroğlu n 8 | 66.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Salah n 8 | 76.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Franculino n 8 | 52.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| M. Mimaroğlu n 8 | 66.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| E. Muçi n 8 | 54.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| P. Onuachu n 8 | 56.9 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Melih Kabasakal n 8 | 57.9 | 3.5 |
| B. Mendy n 8 | 26.5 | 3.4 |
| Fabinho n 8 | 60.8 | 3 |
| T. Jabol-Folcarelli n 8 | 76.5 | 2.4 |
| B. Bouchouari n 8 | 71.6 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Onana n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
Heart of Midlothian
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ba-Sy n 8 | 37 | 4 | 1.5 | — |
| S. Guendouz n 8 | 41.1 | 2.5 | 3.3 | — |
| Ageu n 8 | 24.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 | — |
| J. Williams n 8 | 39.3 | 2 | 1.1 | — |
| Cláudio Braga n 8 | 77.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cláudio Braga n 8 | 77.8 | 3 | 1 |
| S. Guendouz n 8 | 41.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| Josh Mcpake n 8 | 69.1 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Sabah Kerjota n 8 | 31.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| R. Mato n 8 | 17.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Mcpake n 8 | 69.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| R. Mato n 8 | 17.1 | 0 | 0.7 |
| C. Miller n 8 | 62.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| James wilson n 8 | 60.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| L. Mendy n 8 | 85.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Sabah Kerjota n 8 | 31.4 | 3.9 |
| R. Mato n 8 | 17.1 | 3.3 |
| C. Borchgrevink n 8 | 61.5 | 3.1 |
| H. Milne n 8 | 67.6 | 2.8 |
| S. Guendouz n 8 | 41.1 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Beau Reus n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Trabzonspor v Heart of Midlothian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Trabzonspor v Heart of Midlothian?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Trabzonspor v Heart of Midlothian is Home or Away (best price 1.20 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of Trabzonspor and Heart of Midlothian?
- Recent form — Trabzonspor 4W 0D 1L; Heart of Midlothian 1W 2D 2L.
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