1899 Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş prediction

UEFA Europa League · · PreZero Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.4% of 645 landed (95% range 61.7–69%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

1899 Hoffenheim host Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Beşiktaş have scored in six consecutive matches.

Form and the table

1899 Hoffenheim have lost their last three matches. Both teams scored in 10 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 15 results (67%). At home, 1899 Hoffenheim have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.86.

Eight of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Beşiktaş have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.14.

1899 Hoffenheim (29th) and Beşiktaş (fourth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Beşiktaş the stronger side, 241 rating points above 1899 Hoffenheim (Beşiktaş 1812, 1899 Hoffenheim 1571, after at least 23 rated matches each).

Team news

1899 Hoffenheim have two names on the availability list: L. Engelns (out, Off the roster) and A. Hajdari (doubtful, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. By TACTIX Impact, Bambasé Conté (4.6 per match over seven appearances, one goal and three assists) and Adam Daghim (4.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) have been 1899 Hoffenheim’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1899 Hoffenheim (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bambasé Conté averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 487 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Adam Daghim averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 532 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Beşiktaş have three names on the availability list: C. Keles (out, Off the roster), M. Rashica (out, Off the roster) and V. Cerny (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. By TACTIX Impact, Dušan Vlahović (5.1 per match over six appearances, six goals) and Orkun Kökçü (4.4 per match over eight appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Beşiktaş’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Beşiktaş (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dušan Vlahović averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 459 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances. Orkun Kökçü averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 980 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · PreZero Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 4L · Beşiktaş 4W 0D 1L

As of 13 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers 1899 Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2.38
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
8.25 / 6.75
Corners
against 4.13 / 3.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1899 Hoffenheim for / againstLineBeşiktaş for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.25our book
2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
8.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
19.13 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 9 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 15 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Wimmer n 863.9
36/5
1.65/3
—
T. Lemperle n 865.6
2.96/4
00/0
—
A. Hajdari n 875.3
2.58/5
0.42/1
—
O. Kabak n 888.6
2.48/5
0.93/3
—
K. Machida n 868
2.36/5
0.32/0
—
1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Max Moerstedt n 821.9
4.13/2
3.13/2
A. Hložek n 866.9
37/3
14/1
F. Asllani n 827.6
2.45/1
1.64/0
T. Lemperle n 865.6
2.26/4
1.26/1
B. Conté n 846
2.25/3
1.25/0
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Max Moerstedt n 821.9
0.51/0
0.51/0
V. Gendrey n 811
11/0
00/0
B. Touré n 825.6
0.92/0
00/0
A. Daghim n 862.9
0.42/0
0.42/0
F. Asllani n 827.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bernardo n 861.8
3.17/4
B. Conté n 846
2.46/3
P. Wimmer n 863.9
2.17/3
M. Rots n 868.5
26/2
V. Gendrey n 811
22/0
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Baumann n 890
25/3
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Miretti n 826.1
2.24/1
1.33/0
—
E. Agbadou n 874.1
26/5
0.32/0
—
W. Ndidi n 830.1
1.93/1
0.71/1
—
Tiago Djaló n 867.9
1.86/3
0.83/1
—
S. Özcan n 874.4
1.56/3
1.46/2
—
Beşiktaş — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rashica n 822.9
4.46/2
2.53/1
Dušan Vlahović n 876.4
3.78/8
2.18/4
Oh Hyeon-Gyu n 844.3
3.36/2
24/2
I. Fakili n 839
2.96/2
1.45/0
Leandro Trossard n 861.6
2.44/4
1.14/1
Beşiktaş — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dušan Vlahović n 876.4
1.25/2
00/0
O. Kökçü n 876.4
0.32/0
0.63/1
I. Fakili n 839
0.62/0
0.31/0
V. Černý n 867.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Olaitan n 866.6
00/0
0.73/1
Beşiktaş — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Ouattara n 847.5
2.66/2
Emirhan Topçu n 880.4
2.45/5
E. Agbadou n 874.1
2.37/4
Tiago Djaló n 867.9
2.37/4
K. Yılmaz n 847.1
2.15/4
Beşiktaş — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 890
24/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind 1899 Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1899 HoffenheimLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
BeşiktaşWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
1899 Hoffenheim#29 pos0 pts1 pl-2 GD
Beşiktaş#4 pos3 pts1 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
1899 Hoffenheim scored0
Beşiktaş scored4
1899 Hoffenheim conceded2
Beşiktaş conceded1

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the recent form of 1899 Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş?
Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 4L; Beşiktaş 4W 0D 1L.

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